2026
Graham Pauley

Graham Pauley

MIA · 39 appearances tracked
3 HRs
7.7% HR Rate
5.0% Avg HR/FB
83.7 Avg EV
0.131 ISO
#38 Best Rank
as of 2026-10-17
HR Profile Season-to-date · live-tape thresholds
No HR profile for this matchup yet. The percentile ladder populates once this batter is on a scored slate.
Pitch Analysis season · as of 2026-10-17
Pitch Seen Barrel% HR K%
Fastball 53.6%
5.4%
0
21.2%
Breaking 26.8%
0.0%
1
30.8%
Offspeed 19.6%
6.7%
0
21.1%
All 100% 4.3% 1 23.7%
Barrel vs. Whiff BRL K
Fastball Breaking Offspeed
Barrel & whiff rates by pitch family. K% shown per family; true swing-whiff pending.
Batter vs. Pitcher head-to-head
NO SAMPLE · 0 PA
—
AVG
—
SLG
—
HR
No probable pitcher set for this matchup. Lean on the season profile and the modifiers below.
Modifiers 0 of 4 active
Ballpark — Pitcher form — Platoon — Weather —
Edge by rate · batter ● vs pitcher-allowed ●
K% 23.7 vs —
23.7
Batter rates are season-to-date; pitcher-allowed shown where tracked.
HR Days recent home runs
No home runs captured on a scored slate yet.
All Appearances 39 tracked · 3 HR · 1 top‑50
Date Opp · Pitcher BIP Max EV Result HR
Sep 27 vs ATL · JR Ritchie 4 97.5 4 BIP
Sep 20 @ SD · Walker Buehler 1 76.7 1 BIP
Sep 12 vs LAD · Tyler Glasnow 1 107.8 HR 1 BIP
Sep 9 vs NYM · Robert Stock 5 107.6 5 BIP
Sep 7 vs NYM · Jonah Tong 1 102.6 HR 1 BIP
Sep 6 vs CHC · Clay Holmes 2 81.9 2 BIP
Sep 5 vs CHC · Javier Assad 1 73.2 1 BIP
Sep 3 @ KC · Michael Wacha 4 91.9 4 BIP
Sep 1 @ KC · Randy Dobnak 3 107.9 HR 3 BIP
Aug 15 @ CIN · Brady Singer 4 106.2 4 BIP
Aug 14 @ CIN · Chase Burns 2 90.8 2 BIP
Jul 30 @ NYM · Nolan McLean 3 99.5 3 BIP
Jul 28 vs PHI · Aaron Nola 1 99.7 1 BIP
Jul 26 vs SD · Walker Buehler 2 93.0 2 BIP
Jul 20 @ HOU · HOU Bullpen Proxy 1 90.2 1 BIP
Jun 28 @ STL · Kyle Leahy 2 97.0 2 BIP
Jun 26 @ STL · Michael McGreevy 3 100.0 3 BIP
May 27 @ TOR · Kevin Gausman 3 96.3 3 BIP
May 23 vs NYM · Freddy Peralta 2 96.6 2 BIP
May 13 @ MIN · Simeon Woods Richardson 0 — —
May 12 @ MIN · Bailey Ober 0 — —
May 9 vs WSH · Zack Littell 0 — —
May 8 vs WSH · Foster Griffin 0 — —
May 7 vs BAL · Cade Povich 0 — —
May 6 vs BAL · Brandon Young 0 — —
May 5 vs BAL · Chris Bassitt 3 82.0 3 BIP
May 4 vs PHI · Aaron Nola 2 87.1 2 BIP
May 3 vs PHI · Jesús Luzardo 1 94.3 1 BIP
May 2 vs PHI · Andrew Painter 2 84.0 2 BIP
May 1 vs PHI · Zack Wheeler 0 — —
Apr 29 @ LAD · Tyler Glasnow 2 93.0 2 BIP
Apr 27 @ LAD · Yoshinobu Yamamoto 0 — —
Apr 25 @ SF · Robbie Ray 0 — —
Apr 24 @ SF · Adrian Houser 2 103.3 2 BIP
Apr 21 vs STL · Dustin May 1 88.7 1 BIP
Apr 19 vs MIL · Jacob Misiorowski 0 — —
Apr 18 vs MIL · Brandon Woodruff 0 — —
Apr 15 @ ATL · Bryce Elder 4 100.9 4 BIP
Apr 10 @ DET · Keider Montero 3 101.2 3 BIP
Ballpark park factor · wind · spray
Ballpark conditions unavailable — this batter isn’t on a scored slate with park & weather inputs.
October 2026
All batters →
TONIGHT board — not posted yet next game —
Dueness now
0.50×
not yet due — gap ÷ cadence
Cadence
4 gm
median between HRs, game-days
Current gap
2 gm
since his last HR, Sep 12
Season
3 HR
39 games · 0 HR last 14d
Rhythm tightness
his gaps between HRs, in game-days — tight columns = metronome, spread = streaky
one dot per gap · 2 gaps · median 4 gm · MAD ± 1.0 gm · now marker = current gap
SunMonTueWedThuFriSat

Rhythm observation, not a prediction — the “g+n” counters and crossing marks only read his own history. See tonight’s board for the model’s actual ranking. Model picks · For entertainment.

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Six home runs to freedom

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Common questions about Graham Pauley

Will Graham Pauley hit a home run today?

Graham Pauley is not on today's TheHomeRuns slate. This season he has homered 3 times in 39 scored games (about 8% of games). Check back when he next appears on the daily board.

How often does Graham Pauley hit home runs?

Across 39 scored games this season, Graham Pauley has 3 home runs — one every 13.0 games, or about 8% of his scored games.

Model output for entertainment and research. Not gambling advice.

THR 3.3.180 · build 681
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