2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Max Muncy 9 HRs · 2 Pete Crow-Armstrong 7 HRs · 3 Heriberto Hernández 5 HRs · 4 Cal Raleigh 5 HRs · 5 Sal Stewart 5 HRs · 6 Pete Alonso 5 HRs · 7 Rafael Devers 5 HRs · 8 Tristan Peters 5 HRs · 9 Brooks Lee 5 HRs · 10 Jeremy Peña 4 HRs · 11 Jordan Walker 4 HRs · 12 Coby Mayo 4 HRs 1 Max Muncy 9 HRs · 2 Pete Crow-Armstrong 7 HRs · 3 Heriberto Hernández 5 HRs · 4 Cal Raleigh 5 HRs · 5 Sal Stewart 5 HRs · 6 Pete Alonso 5 HRs · 7 Rafael Devers 5 HRs · 8 Tristan Peters 5 HRs · 9 Brooks Lee 5 HRs · 10 Jeremy Peña 4 HRs · 11 Jordan Walker 4 HRs · 12 Coby Mayo 4 HRs
Gabriel Moreno
Gabriel Moreno
AZ · RHB
Gabriel Moreno

Gabriel Moreno

RHB
AZ · 89 appearances tracked
9 HRs
10.1% HR Rate
14.7% Avg HR/FB
89.3 Avg EV
0.167 ISO
#17 Best Rank
as of 2026-08-31
HR Profile Season-to-date · live-tape thresholds
ISO
54
0.164
Avg EV
56
89.4
Barrel%
56
8.7%
HR/FB vs RHP
46
12.3%
Avg HR Dist
70
401
Match%
61
12.8%
Season HR%
10.0%
14D Pace
16.7%
ISO EV BRL HR/FB DIST MATCH
54
56
56
46
70
61
ISOEVBRLHR/FBDISTMATCH
BBE 35 · season HR% & 14D pace unranked
Pitch Analysis season · as of 2026-08-31
Pitch Seen Barrel% HR K%
Fastball 57.5%
8.2%
7
12.0%
Breaking 30.8%
7.4%
2
20.0%
Offspeed 11.8%
8.3%
2
15.9%
All 100% 8.0% 11 14.8%
Barrel vs. Whiff BRL K
Fastball Breaking Offspeed
Barrel & whiff rates by pitch family.
Batter vs. Pitcher vs Aaron Nola · RHP · AZ
SMALL SAMPLE · 12 PA · since 2023
.417
AVG
.417
SLG
0
HR
5-for-12 across 12 plate appearances since 2023. Thin sample — lean on the season profile.
Modifiers 2 of 4 active
Chase Neutral Pitcher form Cold Platoon Even Weather +3
Edge by rate · batter vs pitcher-allowed
Barrel% 8.7 vs
8.7
HR/FB 12.3 vs 34.2 ▼ risk
12.3
34.2
K% 14.8 vs
14.8
Batter rates are season-to-date; pitcher-allowed shown where tracked. HR/FB compared head-to-head.
HR Days recent home runs
No home runs captured on a scored slate yet.
All Appearances 89 tracked · 9 HR · 5 top‑50
Date Opp · Pitcher BIP Max EV Result HR
Aug 29 @ SF · Matt Wilkinson 3 103.1 3 BIP
Aug 28 @ SF · Blade Tidwell 3 91.7 3 BIP
Aug 27 @ SF · Landen Roupp 3 110.0 HR 3 BIP
Aug 25 vs CHC · Clay Holmes 3 97.8 3 BIP
Aug 24 vs CHC · Kevin Gausman 4 83.9 4 BIP
Aug 23 vs CIN · Andrew Abbott 2 85.2 2 BIP
Aug 22 vs CIN · Rhett Lowder 4 107.8 4 BIP
Aug 21 vs CIN · Nick Lodolo 5 105.7 5 BIP
Aug 19 @ BOS · Payton Tolle 2 104.5 2 BIP
Aug 18 @ BOS · Ranger Suarez 2 104.2 HR 2 BIP
Aug 17 @ BOS · Alec Gamboa 4 105.2 4 BIP
Aug 16 @ ATL · Bryce Elder 2 107.4 HR 2 BIP
Aug 15 @ ATL · Grant Holmes 4 100.0 4 BIP
Aug 14 @ ATL · Chris Sale 3 102.4 3 BIP
Aug 12 vs COL · Ryan Feltner 4 104.9 4 BIP
Aug 11 vs COL · Tomoyuki Sugano 3 96.8 3 BIP
Aug 10 vs COL · Gabriel Hughes 4 103.5 4 BIP
Aug 9 vs LAD · Justin Wrobleski 4 103.4 4 BIP
Aug 8 vs LAD · Yoshinobu Yamamoto 4 105.9 4 BIP
Aug 7 vs LAD · Roki Sasaki 4 99.4 4 BIP
Aug 6 vs SD · Walker Buehler 4 107.8 4 BIP
Aug 3 vs SD · Michael King 0
Aug 2 @ CLE · Gavin Williams 3 97.7 3 BIP
Aug 1 @ CLE · Parker Messick 5 84.8 5 BIP
Jul 31 @ CLE · Tanner Bibee 3 100.8 3 BIP
Jul 29 @ PIT · Jared Jones 2 101.6 HR 2 BIP
Jul 28 @ PIT · Bubba Chandler 6 99.5 6 BIP
Jul 27 @ PIT · Mitch Keller 2 99.8 2 BIP
Jul 26 @ WSH · Miles Mikolas 4 99.3 4 BIP
Jul 25 @ WSH · Foster Griffin 4 103.4 4 BIP
Jul 24 @ WSH · Carson Palmquist 4 101.5 4 BIP
Jul 23 @ STL · Michael McGreevy 5 107.2 5 BIP
Jul 22 vs ATH · Gage Jump 3 108.4 HR 3 BIP
Jul 21 vs ATH · Jack Perkins 3 94.1 3 BIP
Jul 20 vs ATH · Jeffrey Springs 3 110.9 3 BIP
Jul 19 vs STL · Andre Pallante 4 88.6 4 BIP
Jul 18 vs STL · Dustin May 3 92.4 3 BIP
Jul 17 vs STL · Michael McGreevy 3 105.7 3 BIP
Jul 12 @ LAD · Emmet Sheehan 2 102.6 2 BIP
Jul 11 @ LAD · Yoshinobu Yamamoto 2 90.4 2 BIP
Jul 10 @ LAD · Kyle Hurt 4 102.9 4 BIP
Jul 9 @ SD · Griffin Canning 3 93.5 3 BIP
Jul 8 @ SD · Michael King 4 96.5 4 BIP
Jul 7 @ SD · Germán Márquez 4 89.3 4 BIP
Jul 6 @ SD · Walker Buehler 4 94.6 4 BIP
Jul 5 vs MIL · Brandon Sproat 2 94.5 2 BIP
Jul 4 vs MIL · Brandon Woodruff 2 95.1 2 BIP
Jul 3 vs MIL · Kyle Harrison 5 107.0 5 BIP
Jul 1 vs SF · Trevor McDonald 2 75.4 2 BIP
Jun 30 vs SF · Landen Roupp 3 100.0 3 BIP
Jun 29 vs SF · Tyler Mahle 3 92.0 3 BIP
Jun 27 @ TB · Cole Sulser 4 104.5 4 BIP
Jun 26 @ TB · Nick Martinez 4 104.4 4 BIP
Jun 25 @ STL · Michael McGreevy 0
Jun 24 @ STL · Matthew Liberatore 3 96.5 3 BIP
Jun 23 @ STL · Kyle Leahy 4 105.5 4 BIP
Jun 21 vs MIN · Mike Paredes 3 99.0 3 BIP
Jun 20 vs MIN · Taj Bradley 0
Jun 19 vs MIN · Connor Prielipp 4 102.5 4 BIP
Jun 17 vs LAA · Sam Aldegheri 3 100.0 3 BIP
Jun 16 vs LAA · Reid Detmers 0
Jun 15 vs LAA · Walbert Ureña 4 104.2 4 BIP
Jun 14 @ CIN · Andrew Abbott 4 97.1 HR 4 BIP
Jun 13 @ CIN · Rhett Lowder 4 99.5 4 BIP
Jun 12 @ CIN · Nick Lodolo 3 95.7 3 BIP
Jun 11 @ MIA · Tyler Phillips 1 73.3 1 BIP
Jun 10 @ MIA · Ryan Gusto 3 100.7 3 BIP
Jun 9 @ MIA · Max Meyer 3 106.1 HR 3 BIP
Jun 7 vs WSH · Cade Cavalli 4 106.4 HR 4 BIP
Jun 6 vs WSH · Zack Littell 2 99.1 2 BIP
Jun 5 vs WSH · Foster Griffin 0
Jun 4 vs LAD · Justin Wrobleski 3 108.2 3 BIP
Jun 3 vs LAD · Shohei Ohtani 3 99.6 3 BIP
Jun 2 vs LAD · Eric Lauer 3 96.6 3 BIP
Jun 1 vs LAD · Emmet Sheehan 2 96.6 2 BIP
May 30 @ SEA · Bryan Woo 2 86.9 2 BIP
May 29 @ SEA · George Kirby 5 103.1 5 BIP
May 26 @ SF · Tyler Mahle 3 95.5 3 BIP
May 25 @ SF · Landen Roupp 2 105.3 HR 2 BIP
May 17 @ COL · Michael Lorenzen 4 103.4 4 BIP
May 15 @ COL · Kyle Freeland 3 99.7 3 BIP
Apr 25 vs SD · Germán Márquez 0
Apr 22 vs CWS · Anthony Kay 0
Apr 21 vs CWS · Sean Burke 0
Apr 19 vs TOR · Kevin Gausman 0
Apr 18 vs TOR · Max Scherzer 0
Apr 17 vs TOR · Eric Lauer 0
Apr 14 @ BAL · Trevor Rogers 0
Apr 10 @ PHI · Jesús Luzardo 1 75.7 1 BIP
Ballpark Chase Field · open-air
Park Factor 0.921 Wind 12 mph from SSE Temp 83°F Roof Retractable
TimeWindTempFIT
6:40p 12 83° +10
7:40p 9 82° +7
8:40p 9 82° +7
9:40p 9 82° +4
10:40p 9 82° +1
+6
Slight green alignment
proxy spray · live hourly FIT · open-air wind signal
HIT LOCATIONS'25–'26
9 mph 18% 10% 36% 8% 29% OPPO PULL Chase Field
Game-window avg wind · blowing out to pull (from SE)
TONIGHT board — not posted yet next game Mon 8/31
Dueness now
0.29×
not yet due — gap ÷ cadence
Cadence
7 gm
median between HRs, game-days
Current gap
2 gm
since his last HR, Aug 27
Season
9 HR
89 games · 2 HR last 14d
Rhythm tightness
his gaps between HRs, in game-days — tight columns = metronome, spread = streaky
one dot per gap · 8 gaps · median 7 gm · MAD ± 4.0 gm · now marker = current gap
SunMonTueWedThuFriSat

Rhythm observation, not a prediction — the “g+n” counters and crossing marks only read his own history. See tonight’s board for the model’s actual ranking. Model picks · For entertainment.

Score Breakdown Base 45 → 45
ISO (Power)
+16.8
Barrel Matchup
+12.7
Pitcher FIP
+5.2
season hr rate
+2.8
Park Factor
+2.7
HR/FB Matchup
+2.0
recent hr density 14d
+2.0
Exit Velocity
+1.0
Six home runs to freedom

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Common questions about Gabriel Moreno

Will Gabriel Moreno hit a home run today?

Gabriel Moreno is on today's TheHomeRuns slate, ranked #74 among tonight's scored batters for home run likelihood, facing Aaron Nola at Chase Field. That's a model ranking, not a prediction of a certain outcome — even the model's top-ranked bats homer in roughly one of five games. Not gambling advice.

How often does Gabriel Moreno hit home runs?

Across 89 scored games this season, Gabriel Moreno has 9 home runs — one every 9.9 games, or about 10% of his scored games.

Has Gabriel Moreno homered off Aaron Nola before?

Not yet — Gabriel Moreno has faced Aaron Nola 12 times without a home run.

Model output for entertainment and research. Not gambling advice.

THR 3.3.169 · build 673

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