2026
Fernando Tatis Jr.

Fernando Tatis Jr.

SD · 75 appearances tracked
9 HRs
12.0% HR Rate
9.7% Avg HR/FB
92.7 Avg EV
0.100 ISO
#26 Best Rank
as of 2026-10-06
HR Profile Season-to-date · live-tape thresholds
ISO
67
0.181
Avg EV
94
92.9
Barrel%
73
9.9%
HR/FB vs RHP
75
18.2%
Avg HR Dist
91
408
Match%
81
16.5%
Season HR%
—
12.0%
14D Pace
—
0.0%
ISO EV BRL HR/FB DIST MATCH
67
94
73
75
91
81
ISOEVBRLHR/FBDISTMATCH
BBE 41 · season HR% & 14D pace unranked
Pitch Analysis season · as of 2026-10-16
Pitch Seen Barrel% HR K%
Fastball 58.4%
12.0%
11
14.5%
Breaking 30.0%
13.0%
11
23.4%
Offspeed 11.6%
15.8%
3
25.9%
All 100% 12.7% 25 18.5%
Barrel vs. Whiff BRL K
Fastball Breaking Offspeed
Barrel & whiff rates by pitch family. K% shown per family; true swing-whiff pending.
Batter vs. Pitcher vs Dustin May · RHP · SD
21 PA · since 2026
.167
AVG
.167
SLG
0
HR
3-for-18 and 3 walks across 21 plate appearances since 2026.
Modifiers 1 of 4 active
Petco Neutral Pitcher form Steady Platoon — Weather +3
Edge by rate · batter ● vs pitcher-allowed ●
Barrel% 9.9 vs —
9.9
HR/FB 18.2 vs 10.9 ▲ edge
18.2
10.9
K% 18.5 vs —
18.5
Batter rates are season-to-date; pitcher-allowed shown where tracked. HR/FB compared head-to-head.
HR Days 9 this season · avg 361 ft
Date Opp · Pitcher Pitch EV Dist
Sep 1 @ CIN · Emilio Pagán — 100.9 361
HR by month
1
Sep
All Appearances 75 tracked · 9 HR · 10 top‑50
Date Opp · Pitcher BIP Max EV Result HR
Sep 20 vs MIA · Sandy Alcantara 4 111.1 HR 4 BIP
Sep 19 vs MIA · Eury Pérez 3 107.4 HR 3 BIP
Sep 17 @ COL · Tanner Gordon 3 107.9 3 BIP
Sep 13 @ SF · Logan Webb 3 111.1 3 BIP
Sep 12 @ SF · Cesar Perdomo 3 112.0 HR 3 BIP
Sep 9 vs WSH · Jackson Kent 5 108.3 5 BIP
Sep 7 vs WSH · Jake Irvin 3 102.9 3 BIP
Sep 6 vs NYY · Gerrit Cole 4 101.7 HR 4 BIP
Sep 5 vs NYY · Carlos Rodón 3 108.6 3 BIP
Sep 2 @ CIN · Brandon Williamson 2 105.6 2 BIP
Sep 1 @ CIN · Nick Lodolo 4 105.3 HR 4 BIP
Aug 31 @ CIN · Brady Singer 5 110.2 5 BIP
Aug 30 @ TB · Drew Rasmussen 4 105.2 4 BIP
Aug 29 @ TB · Nick Martinez 2 64.7 2 BIP
Aug 28 @ TB · Shane McClanahan 4 108.9 4 BIP
Aug 26 vs PIT · Bubba Chandler 2 103.6 2 BIP
Aug 23 vs MIN · Bailey Ober 5 115.1 HR 5 BIP
Aug 19 @ NYM · Robert Stock 3 110.3 3 BIP
Aug 18 @ NYM · Zac Thornton 4 113.2 HR 4 BIP
Aug 16 @ CLE · Tanner Bibee 5 107.9 5 BIP
Aug 15 @ CLE · Joey Cantillo 1 77.3 1 BIP
Aug 14 @ CLE · Gavin Williams 4 115.5 HR 4 BIP
Jun 4 @ PHI · Zack Wheeler 4 100.8 4 BIP
Jun 3 @ PHI · Cristopher Sánchez 2 97.8 2 BIP
Jun 2 @ PHI · Aaron Nola 4 113.5 4 BIP
May 31 @ WSH · Zack Littell 4 106.5 4 BIP
May 30 @ WSH · Foster Griffin 3 114.0 HR 3 BIP
May 29 @ WSH · Paxton Schultz 5 106.1 5 BIP
May 27 vs PHI · Cristopher Sánchez 3 91.9 3 BIP
May 25 vs PHI · Jesús Luzardo 2 75.1 2 BIP
May 24 vs ATH · Luis Medina 5 103.5 5 BIP
May 22 vs ATH · Jeffrey Springs 3 104.1 3 BIP
May 20 vs LAD · Shohei Ohtani 3 94.6 3 BIP
May 19 vs LAD · Emmet Sheehan 4 103.8 4 BIP
May 18 vs LAD · Yoshinobu Yamamoto 3 111.3 3 BIP
May 17 @ SEA · George Kirby 4 102.6 4 BIP
May 16 @ SEA · Logan Gilbert 2 95.7 2 BIP
May 15 @ SEA · Emerson Hancock 4 100.8 4 BIP
May 14 @ MIL · Kyle Harrison 2 100.9 2 BIP
May 13 @ MIL · Jacob Misiorowski 3 81.2 3 BIP
May 12 @ MIL · Brandon Sproat 3 104.1 3 BIP
May 10 vs STL · Kyle Leahy 2 105.8 2 BIP
May 9 vs STL · Dustin May 2 100.0 2 BIP
May 8 vs STL · Michael McGreevy 2 95.6 2 BIP
May 7 vs STL · Matthew Liberatore 2 112.0 2 BIP
May 6 @ SF · Adrian Houser 4 101.2 4 BIP
May 5 @ SF · Logan Webb 4 108.3 4 BIP
May 4 @ SF · Trevor McDonald 1 78.1 1 BIP
May 3 vs CWS · Anthony Kay 0 — —
May 2 vs CWS · Sean Burke 3 92.3 3 BIP
May 1 vs CWS · Noah Schultz 3 108.1 3 BIP
Apr 29 vs CHC · Jameson Taillon 4 102.8 4 BIP
Apr 28 vs CHC · Edward Cabrera 2 111.9 2 BIP
Apr 27 vs CHC · Matthew Boyd 4 112.5 4 BIP
Apr 26 @ AZ · Ryne Nelson 4 112.2 4 BIP
Apr 25 @ AZ · Zac Gallen 3 110.4 3 BIP
Apr 23 @ COL · Ryan Feltner 2 104.0 2 BIP
Apr 22 @ COL · Tomoyuki Sugano 2 109.2 2 BIP
Apr 19 @ LAA · Reid Detmers 3 100.4 3 BIP
Apr 18 @ LAA · Yusei Kikuchi 3 97.3 3 BIP
Apr 17 @ LAA · José Soriano 2 88.3 2 BIP
Apr 16 vs SEA · Luis Castillo 2 105.2 2 BIP
Apr 14 vs SEA · Bryan Woo 3 108.9 3 BIP
Apr 12 vs COL · Kyle Freeland 5 109.3 5 BIP
Apr 11 vs COL · Ryan Feltner 3 108.7 3 BIP
Apr 10 vs COL · Tomoyuki Sugano 4 104.9 4 BIP
Apr 8 @ PIT · Mitch Keller 3 95.6 3 BIP
Apr 7 @ PIT · Paul Skenes 2 100.7 2 BIP
Apr 6 @ PIT · Bubba Chandler 3 111.5 3 BIP
Apr 5 @ BOS · Ranger Suarez 3 105.3 3 BIP
Apr 4 @ BOS · Connelly Early 1 113.5 1 BIP
Apr 1 vs SF · Adrian Houser 4 107.3 4 BIP
Mar 31 vs SF · Logan Webb 2 108.3 2 BIP
Mar 30 vs SF · Landen Roupp 2 104.1 2 BIP
Mar 28 vs DET · Jack Flaherty 1 103.9 1 BIP
Ballpark Petco Park · open-air
Park Factor 0.897 Wind 5 mph from NW Temp 92°F Roof Open
TimeWindTempFIT
6:30p 5 ↙ 92° -4
7:30p 3 ↙ 90° -3
8:30p 3 ↙ 87° -3
9:30p 3 ↙ 83° -3
10:30p 3 ↙ 79° -3
-3
Neutral alignment
true spray · live hourly FIT · open-air wind signal
HIT LOCATIONS'25–'26
3 mph 16% 8% 20% 16% 40% OPPO PULL Petco Park
Game-window avg wind · blowing in from oppo (from WNW)

Open the Dueness Calendar → His month grid, rhythm tightness, and tonight’s crossing mark load on demand.

Score Breakdown Base 44 → 44
ISO (Power)
+18.5
Barrel Matchup
+14.3
season hr rate
+3.2
HR/FB Matchup
+2.6
Pitcher FIP
+2.0
Park Factor
+1.8
Exit Velocity
+1.7
recent hr density 14d
+0.0
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Common questions about Fernando Tatis Jr.

Will Fernando Tatis Jr. hit a home run today?

Fernando Tatis Jr. is on today's TheHomeRuns slate, ranked #14 among tonight's scored batters for home run likelihood, facing Dustin May at Petco Park. That's a model ranking, not a prediction of a certain outcome — even the model's top-ranked bats homer in roughly one of five games. Not gambling advice.

How often does Fernando Tatis Jr. hit home runs?

Across 75 scored games this season, Fernando Tatis Jr. has 9 home runs — one every 8.3 games, or about 12% of his scored games.

Has Fernando Tatis Jr. homered off Dustin May before?

Not yet — Fernando Tatis Jr. has faced Dustin May 21 times without a home run.

Model output for entertainment and research. Not gambling advice.

THR 3.3.180 · build 681
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