Evan Carter
TEX
· 102 appearances tracked
7
HRs
6.9%
HR Rate
12.5%
Avg HR/FB
88.2
Avg EV
0.142
ISO
#49
Best Rank
HR Profile
Season-to-date · live-tape thresholds
No HR profile for this matchup yet.
The percentile ladder populates once this batter is on a scored slate.
Pitch Analysis
season · as of 2026-10-17
Pitch
Seen
Barrel%
HR
K%
Fastball
56.4%
5
Breaking
24.4%
3
Offspeed
19.2%
1
All
100%
4.9%
9
25.1%
Barrel vs. Whiff
BRL
K
Fastball
Breaking
Offspeed
Crushes the fastball — whiffs climb on breaking & offspeed.
K% shown per family; true swing-whiff pending.
Batter vs. Pitcher
head-to-head
NO SAMPLE · 0 PA
—
AVG
—
SLG
—
HR
No probable pitcher set for this matchup. Lean on the season profile and the modifiers below.
Modifiers
0 of 4 active
Ballpark —
Pitcher form —
Platoon —
Weather —
Edge by rate
· batter ●
vs pitcher-allowed ●
K%
25.1
vs
—
Batter rates are season-to-date; pitcher-allowed shown where tracked.
HR Days
recent home runs
No home runs captured on a scored slate yet.
All Appearances
102 tracked · 7 HR · 1 top‑50
Date
Opp · Pitcher
BIP
Max EV
Result
HR
Sep 27
@ MIN · Dean Kremer
2
95.8
2 BIP
Sep 26
@ MIN · Bailey Ober
4
100.3
4 BIP
Sep 25
@ MIN · Joe Ryan
1
97.4
1 BIP
Sep 23
vs NYM · Nolan McLean
3
90.0
3 BIP
Sep 20
vs TOR · Spencer Miles
4
105.6
4 BIP
Sep 19
vs TOR · José Soriano
2
83.0
2 BIP
Sep 18
vs TOR · Dylan Cease
2
78.1
2 BIP
Sep 17
vs BOS · Sonny Gray
2
82.5
2 BIP
Sep 12
@ AZ · Brandon Pfaadt
1
104.4
1 BIP
Sep 11
@ AZ · Merrill Kelly
1
74.5
1 BIP
Sep 10
@ SEA · Logan Gilbert
1
81.8
1 BIP
Sep 8
@ SEA · SEA Bullpen Proxy
3
104.2
3 BIP
Sep 5
vs TB · Drew Rasmussen
2
105.9
HR
2 BIP
Sep 4
vs TB · Nick Martinez
2
91.5
2 BIP
Sep 1
vs ATH · Brady Basso
3
54.0
3 BIP
Aug 30
@ MIL · Dustin May
4
103.9
4 BIP
Aug 28
@ MIL · Logan Henderson
2
83.4
2 BIP
Aug 26
@ CWS · Sean Burke
1
98.5
1 BIP
Aug 24
@ CWS · José Urquidy
4
94.3
4 BIP
Aug 22
vs LAA · Ryan Johnson
2
104.2
2 BIP
Aug 21
vs LAA · Reid Detmers
3
101.4
3 BIP
Aug 20
vs WSH · Andrew Alvarez
2
93.6
2 BIP
Aug 19
vs WSH · Cade Cavalli
1
69.8
1 BIP
Aug 18
vs WSH · WSH Bullpen Proxy
3
95.9
3 BIP
Aug 16
@ ATH · Jacob Lopez
1
94.6
1 BIP
Aug 15
@ ATH · J.T. Ginn
2
102.3
2 BIP
Aug 14
@ ATH · ATH Bullpen Proxy
4
102.7
4 BIP
Aug 13
@ LAA · Walbert Ureña
3
95.1
3 BIP
Aug 12
@ LAA · George Klassen
2
98.5
2 BIP
Aug 11
@ LAA · Ryan Johnson
3
98.7
3 BIP
Aug 10
@ LAA · Reid Detmers
1
80.2
1 BIP
Aug 8
vs BAL · Kyle Bradish
1
71.5
1 BIP
Aug 7
vs BAL · Shane Baz
2
96.4
2 BIP
Aug 5
vs SF · Carson Whisenhunt
1
82.8
1 BIP
Aug 4
vs SF · Blade Tidwell
4
86.8
4 BIP
Aug 3
vs SF · Logan Webb
3
104.3
3 BIP
Aug 2
@ HOU · Peter Lambert
4
102.9
4 BIP
Aug 1
@ HOU · Ronel Blanco
1
75.2
1 BIP
Jul 31
@ HOU · Hunter Brown
4
101.2
4 BIP
Jul 28
@ TB · Griffin Jax
2
99.6
2 BIP
Jul 27
vs SEA · George Kirby
4
107.8
4 BIP
Jul 26
vs SEA · Logan Gilbert
1
89.1
1 BIP
Jul 25
vs SEA · Bryan Woo
1
84.5
1 BIP
Jul 24
vs SEA · Bryce Miller
3
96.5
3 BIP
Jul 20
vs CWS · Erick Fedde
4
104.7
4 BIP
Jul 19
@ ATL · Grant Holmes
2
99.4
2 BIP
Jul 18
@ ATL · ATL Bullpen Proxy
3
101.1
HR
3 BIP
Jul 12
vs HOU · Cristian Javier
2
105.0
2 BIP
Jul 11
vs HOU · Peter Lambert
3
99.6
3 BIP
Jul 10
vs HOU · Hunter Brown
3
98.4
3 BIP
Jul 8
vs LAA · Walbert Ureña
1
35.9
1 BIP
Jul 7
vs LAA · José Soriano
0
—
—
Jul 5
vs DET · Casey Mize
3
91.9
3 BIP
Jul 4
vs DET · Jack Flaherty
1
85.4
1 BIP
Jun 30
@ CLE · Tanner Bibee
2
104.0
2 BIP
Jun 29
@ CLE · Parker Messick
3
98.0
3 BIP
Jun 28
@ TOR · TOR Bullpen Proxy
1
75.8
1 BIP
Jun 12
@ BOS · Sonny Gray
0
—
—
Jun 11
@ KC · Michael Wacha
3
100.8
3 BIP
Jun 10
@ KC · Seth Lugo
3
99.0
3 BIP
Jun 9
@ KC · Stephen Kolek
4
102.0
4 BIP
Jun 6
vs CLE · Tanner Bibee
1
94.7
1 BIP
Jun 5
vs CLE · Parker Messick
1
68.6
1 BIP
Jun 3
@ STL · Andre Pallante
0
—
—
Jun 2
@ STL · Dustin May
1
68.1
1 BIP
Jun 1
@ STL · Michael McGreevy
3
104.9
3 BIP
May 29
vs KC · Stephen Kolek
3
90.8
3 BIP
May 28
vs HOU · Spencer Arrighetti
2
83.0
2 BIP
May 27
vs HOU · Mike Burrows
0
—
—
May 26
vs HOU · Jason Alexander
4
101.2
HR
4 BIP
May 25
vs HOU · Tatsuya Imai
2
96.3
2 BIP
May 24
@ LAA · Reid Detmers
0
—
—
May 22
@ LAA · Grayson Rodriguez
1
—
1 BIP
May 19
@ COL · Sammy Peralta
3
99.9
3 BIP
May 18
@ COL · Jose Quintana
1
59.9
1 BIP
May 17
@ HOU · Peter Lambert
3
100.2
3 BIP
May 16
@ HOU · Kai-Wei Teng
1
72.6
1 BIP
May 15
@ HOU · Spencer Arrighetti
3
103.0
3 BIP
May 13
vs AZ · Ryne Nelson
4
103.9
4 BIP
May 12
vs AZ · Zac Gallen
2
97.5
2 BIP
May 11
vs AZ · Michael Soroka
2
93.3
2 BIP
May 10
vs CHC · Jameson Taillon
3
98.6
HR
3 BIP
May 9
vs CHC · Edward Cabrera
2
102.5
2 BIP
May 8
vs CHC · Ben Brown
2
106.6
2 BIP
May 7
@ NYY · Paul Blackburn
4
108.2
4 BIP
May 6
@ NYY · Will Warren
2
106.2
HR
2 BIP
May 5
@ NYY · Elmer Rodríguez
2
90.7
2 BIP
May 3
@ DET · Tyler Holton
4
96.5
4 BIP
May 2
@ DET · Keider Montero
3
100.3
3 BIP
May 1
@ DET · Jack Flaherty
1
97.8
1 BIP
Apr 29
vs NYY · Elmer Rodríguez
3
85.9
3 BIP
Apr 28
vs NYY · Cam Schlittler
2
84.9
2 BIP
Apr 27
vs NYY · Max Fried
0
—
—
Apr 26
vs ATH · J.T. Ginn
3
88.1
3 BIP
Apr 25
vs ATH · Jeffrey Springs
1
75.4
1 BIP
Apr 24
vs ATH · Luis Severino
3
97.4
3 BIP
Apr 23
vs PIT · Bubba Chandler
3
99.3
HR
3 BIP
Apr 22
vs PIT · Braxton Ashcraft
2
101.9
2 BIP
Apr 19
@ SEA · Bryan Woo
4
107.7
4 BIP
Apr 18
@ SEA · George Kirby
2
85.2
2 BIP
Apr 17
@ SEA · Logan Gilbert
4
93.3
4 BIP
Apr 10
@ LAD · Tyler Glasnow
2
98.9
HR
2 BIP
Ballpark
park factor · wind · spray
Ballpark conditions unavailable — this batter isn’t on a scored slate with park & weather inputs.
TONIGHT
board — not posted yet
next game —
Dueness now
1.00×
overdue — gap ÷ cadence
Cadence
12 gm
median between HRs, game-days
Current gap
12 gm
since his last HR, Sep 5
Season
7 HR
102 games · 0 HR last 14d
Rhythm tightness
his gaps between HRs, in game-days — tight columns = metronome, spread = streaky
one dot per gap · 6 gaps · median 12 gm · MAD ± 7.5 gm · now marker = current gap
SunMonTueWedThuFriSat
Rhythm observation, not a prediction — the “g+n” counters and crossing marks only read his own history. See tonight’s board for the model’s actual ranking. Model picks · For entertainment.
Common questions about Evan Carter
Will Evan Carter hit a home run today?
Evan Carter is not on today's TheHomeRuns slate. This season he has homered 7 times in 102 scored games (about 7% of games). Check back when he next appears on the daily board.
How often does Evan Carter hit home runs?
Across 102 scored games this season, Evan Carter has 7 home runs — one every 14.6 games, or about 7% of his scored games.
Model output for entertainment and research. Not gambling advice.