Esmerlyn Valdez
PIT
· 55 appearances tracked
10
HRs
18.2%
HR Rate
33.1%
Avg HR/FB
92.0
Avg EV
0.334
ISO
#1
Best Rank
HR Profile
Season-to-date · live-tape thresholds
No HR profile for this matchup yet.
The percentile ladder populates once this batter is on a scored slate.
Pitch Analysis
season · as of 2026-10-17
Pitch
Seen
Barrel%
HR
K%
Fastball
55.6%
11
Breaking
28.3%
6
Offspeed
16.1%
0
All
100%
19.3%
17
37.8%
Barrel vs. Whiff
BRL
K
Fastball
Breaking
Offspeed
Barrel & whiff rates by pitch family.
K% shown per family; true swing-whiff pending.
Batter vs. Pitcher
head-to-head
NO SAMPLE · 0 PA
—
AVG
—
SLG
—
HR
No probable pitcher set for this matchup. Lean on the season profile and the modifiers below.
Modifiers
0 of 4 active
Ballpark —
Pitcher form —
Platoon —
Weather —
Edge by rate
· batter ●
vs pitcher-allowed ●
K%
37.8
vs
—
Batter rates are season-to-date; pitcher-allowed shown where tracked.
HR Days
10 this season · avg 395 ft
Date
Opp · Pitcher
Pitch
EV
Dist
Jun 26
vs CIN · Andrew Abbott
—
106.5
414
Jun 28
vs CIN · Pierce Johnson
—
109.8
461
Jul 9
vs ATL · Bryce Elder
—
104.3
394
Jul 11
vs MIL · Aaron Ashby
—
103.7
380
Jul 18
@ CLE · Gavin Williams
—
101.6
373
Jul 19
@ CLE · Will Dion
—
102.2
371
Jul 20
@ NYY · Ryan Weathers
—
106.6
436
Jul 26
vs CHC · Jameson Taillon
—
106.1
405
Aug 30
@ STL · Matthew Liberatore
—
97.6
355
Sep 9
@ CWS · Davis Martin
—
99.4
361
HR by month
Jul
Aug
Sep
All Appearances
55 tracked · 10 HR · 49 top‑50
Date
Opp · Pitcher
BIP
Max EV
Result
HR
Sep 11
@ CHC · Shota Imanaga
1
91.2
1 BIP
Sep 9
@ CWS · Davis Martin
2
103.4
HR
2 BIP
Sep 8
@ CWS · Sean Burke
4
100.7
4 BIP
Sep 6
vs LAA · Walbert Ureña
2
99.8
2 BIP
Sep 5
vs LAA · Yusei Kikuchi
1
105.8
1 BIP
Sep 2
vs SF · Landen Roupp
1
62.6
1 BIP
Sep 1
vs SF · Logan Webb
2
101.0
2 BIP
Aug 30
@ STL · Matthew Liberatore
3
97.6
HR
3 BIP
Aug 28
@ STL · Quinn Mathews
2
100.1
2 BIP
Aug 26
@ SD · Randy Vásquez
3
90.4
3 BIP
Aug 23
@ LAD · Blake Snell
0
—
—
Aug 22
@ LAD · Tarik Skubal
2
111.6
2 BIP
Aug 19
vs DET · Jackson Jobe
0
—
—
Aug 18
vs DET · Keider Montero
2
92.8
2 BIP
Aug 17
vs DET · Framber Valdez
2
96.3
2 BIP
Aug 16
vs BOS · Patrick Sandoval
3
102.0
3 BIP
Aug 15
vs BOS · Sonny Gray
2
103.0
2 BIP
Aug 14
vs BOS · Jake Bennett
2
110.5
2 BIP
Aug 13
@ MIA · Tyler Phillips
4
100.6
4 BIP
Aug 12
@ MIA · Janson Junk
4
99.5
4 BIP
Aug 11
@ MIA · Eury Pérez
3
97.9
3 BIP
Aug 9
vs NYM · Sean Manaea
0
—
—
Aug 8
vs NYM · NYM Bullpen Proxy
1
97.9
1 BIP
Aug 7
vs NYM · Zac Thornton
2
78.9
2 BIP
Aug 2
@ CIN · Chase Burns
0
—
—
Aug 1
@ CIN · Andrew Abbott
2
95.5
2 BIP
Jul 31
@ CIN · Hunter Greene
3
97.3
3 BIP
Jul 29
vs AZ · Eduardo Rodriguez
3
98.4
3 BIP
Jul 28
vs AZ · Brandon Pfaadt
4
101.8
4 BIP
Jul 27
vs AZ · Merrill Kelly
1
106.4
1 BIP
Jul 26
vs CHC · Jameson Taillon
2
106.1
HR
2 BIP
Jul 25
vs CHC · Shota Imanaga
1
84.2
1 BIP
Jul 24
vs CHC · Matthew Boyd
3
97.6
3 BIP
Jul 22
@ NYY · Gerrit Cole
1
110.2
1 BIP
Jul 20
@ NYY · Ryan Weathers
1
106.6
HR
1 BIP
Jul 19
@ CLE · Joey Cantillo
1
102.2
HR
1 BIP
Jul 18
@ CLE · Gavin Williams
4
108.8
HR
4 BIP
Jul 12
vs MIL · Robert Gasser
2
98.8
2 BIP
Jul 11
vs MIL · Brandon Sproat
5
109.2
HR
5 BIP
Jul 10
vs MIL · Brandon Sproat
0
—
—
Jul 9
vs ATL · Bryce Elder
3
104.3
HR
3 BIP
Jul 8
vs ATL · Grant Holmes
1
100.7
1 BIP
Jul 7
vs ATL · Hurston Waldrep
2
92.3
2 BIP
Jul 5
@ WSH · Cade Cavalli
1
83.9
1 BIP
Jul 4
@ WSH · WSH Bullpen Proxy
2
91.0
2 BIP
Jul 3
@ WSH · Foster Griffin
4
103.4
4 BIP
Jul 2
@ PHI · Alan Rangel
4
112.7
4 BIP
Jul 1
@ PHI · Zack Wheeler
4
92.4
4 BIP
Jun 30
@ PHI · Cristopher Sánchez
3
100.2
3 BIP
Jun 28
vs CIN · Brady Singer
4
109.8
HR
4 BIP
Jun 26
vs CIN · Andrew Abbott
3
106.5
HR
3 BIP
May 27
vs CHC · Jameson Taillon
0
—
—
May 26
vs CHC · Jordan Wicks
0
—
—
May 24
@ TOR · Dylan Cease
0
—
—
May 23
@ TOR · Patrick Corbin
0
—
—
Ballpark
park factor · wind · spray
Ballpark conditions unavailable — this batter isn’t on a scored slate with park & weather inputs.
TONIGHT
board — not posted yet
next game —
Dueness now
0.50×
not yet due — gap ÷ cadence
Cadence
2 gm
median between HRs, game-days
Current gap
1 gm
since his last HR, Sep 9
Season
10 HR
55 games · 0 HR last 14d
Rhythm tightness
his gaps between HRs, in game-days — tight columns = metronome, spread = streaky
one dot per gap · 9 gaps · median 2 gm · MAD ± 1 gm · now marker = current gap
SunMonTueWedThuFriSat
Rhythm observation, not a prediction — the “g+n” counters and crossing marks only read his own history. See tonight’s board for the model’s actual ranking. Model picks · For entertainment.
Common questions about Esmerlyn Valdez
Will Esmerlyn Valdez hit a home run today?
Esmerlyn Valdez is not on today's TheHomeRuns slate. This season he has homered 10 times in 55 scored games (about 18% of games). Check back when he next appears on the daily board.
How often does Esmerlyn Valdez hit home runs?
Across 55 scored games this season, Esmerlyn Valdez has 10 home runs — one every 5.5 games, or about 18% of his scored games.
Model output for entertainment and research. Not gambling advice.