Dylan Crews
RHB
WSH
· 71 appearances tracked
10
HRs
14.1%
HR Rate
16.3%
Avg HR/FB
90.7
Avg EV
0.142
ISO
#18
Best Rank
HR Profile
Season-to-date · live-tape thresholds
ISO0.147
Avg EV90.5
Barrel%8.2%
HR/FB vs RHP11.9%
Avg HR Dist407
Match%10.7%
Season HR%
14.1%
14D Pace
0.0%
Pitch Analysis
season · as of 2026-08-29
Pitch
Seen
Barrel%
HR
K%
Fastball
64.8%
6
Breaking
23.1%
3
Offspeed
12.1%
1
All
100%
9.3%
10
24.3%
Barrel vs. Whiff
BRL
K
Fastball
Breaking
Offspeed
Barrel & whiff rates by pitch family.
K% shown per family; true swing-whiff pending.
Batter vs. Pitcher
vs Janson Junk · RHP · WSH
SMALL SAMPLE · 6 PA · since 2026
.500
AVG
1.000
SLG
0
HR
3-for-6 across 6 plate appearances since 2026. Thin sample — lean on the season profile.
Modifiers
2 of 4 active
Nationals +HR
Pitcher form Steady
Platoon Even
Weather +5
Edge by rate
· batter ●
vs pitcher-allowed ●
Barrel%
8.2
vs
—
HR/FB
11.9
vs
17.1 ▼ risk
K%
24.3
vs
—
Batter rates are season-to-date; pitcher-allowed shown where tracked. HR/FB compared head-to-head.
HR Days
recent home runs
No home runs captured on a scored slate yet.
All Appearances
71 tracked · 10 HR · 20 top‑50
Date
Opp · Pitcher
BIP
Max EV
Result
HR
Aug 29
vs MIA · Sandy Alcantara
3
84.3
3 BIP
Aug 28
vs MIA · Eury Pérez
3
89.2
3 BIP
Aug 27
vs COL · Gabriel Hughes
3
103.7
3 BIP
Aug 26
vs COL · Tanner Gordon
2
103.4
2 BIP
Aug 25
vs COL · COL Bullpen Proxy
3
98.6
3 BIP
Aug 24
vs COL · Ryan Feltner
1
91.8
1 BIP
Aug 23
@ MIA · Janson Junk
4
108.4
4 BIP
Aug 22
@ MIA · Eury Pérez
4
103.3
4 BIP
Aug 21
@ MIA · Ryan Gusto
3
101.4
3 BIP
Aug 20
@ TEX · Jacob deGrom
1
96.9
1 BIP
Aug 18
@ TEX · Cal Quantrill
3
99.5
3 BIP
Aug 16
@ NYM · Christian Scott
3
101.5
3 BIP
Aug 15
@ NYM · Sean Manaea
3
92.8
3 BIP
Aug 13
vs CHC · Kevin Gausman
3
106.9
3 BIP
Aug 12
vs CHC · David Peterson
4
97.3
4 BIP
Aug 11
vs CHC · Shota Imanaga
3
105.6
HR
3 BIP
Aug 9
vs CIN · Brady Singer
3
102.1
3 BIP
Aug 8
vs CIN · Chase Burns
3
102.9
3 BIP
Aug 7
vs CIN · Chase Petty
2
100.7
2 BIP
Aug 6
@ PHI · Cristopher Sánchez
1
94.4
1 BIP
Aug 5
@ PHI · Andrew Painter
4
100.4
4 BIP
Aug 4
@ PHI · Jesús Luzardo
4
101.5
4 BIP
Aug 3
@ PHI · Aaron Nola
0
—
—
Aug 2
@ ATL · JR Ritchie
3
102.4
3 BIP
Aug 1
@ ATL · Reynaldo López
3
104.4
3 BIP
Jul 31
@ ATL · Bryce Elder
4
100.8
4 BIP
Jul 30
@ ATL · Grant Holmes
2
86.9
2 BIP
Jul 28
vs TOR · Shane Bieber
2
103.0
HR
2 BIP
Jul 27
vs TOR · Max Scherzer
2
107.6
2 BIP
Jul 26
vs AZ · Kohl Drake
5
99.5
5 BIP
Jul 25
vs AZ · Mitch Bratt
0
—
—
Jul 24
vs AZ · Eduardo Rodriguez
3
103.2
HR
3 BIP
Jul 22
@ COL · Gabriel Hughes
2
101.8
2 BIP
Jul 19
@ ATH · Jacob Lopez
2
106.9
HR
2 BIP
Jul 12
vs NYY · Will Warren
2
90.9
2 BIP
Jul 11
vs NYY · Cam Schlittler
3
90.4
3 BIP
Jul 10
vs NYY · Ryan Weathers
2
93.9
2 BIP
Jul 8
vs HOU · Spencer Arrighetti
4
98.7
4 BIP
Jul 6
vs HOU · Mike Burrows
3
104.8
3 BIP
Jul 5
vs PIT · Bubba Chandler
3
106.7
HR
3 BIP
Jul 4
vs PIT · Braxton Ashcraft
1
—
1 BIP
Jul 3
vs PIT · Mitch Keller
3
108.3
3 BIP
Jul 1
@ BOS · Payton Tolle
2
112.3
2 BIP
Jun 30
@ BOS · Connelly Early
5
102.6
5 BIP
Jun 29
@ BOS · Ranger Suarez
3
107.1
3 BIP
Jun 28
@ BAL · Kyle Bradish
2
107.0
2 BIP
Jun 27
@ BAL · Brandon Young
2
95.9
2 BIP
Jun 26
@ BAL · Trevor Rogers
3
103.6
3 BIP
Jun 25
vs PHI · Cristopher Sánchez
3
103.8
3 BIP
Jun 23
vs PHI · Jesús Luzardo
3
101.8
3 BIP
Jun 22
vs PHI · Tim Mayza
4
104.1
4 BIP
Jun 21
@ TB · Nick Martinez
1
107.6
1 BIP
Jun 20
@ TB · Ian Seymour
4
109.6
HR
4 BIP
Jun 17
vs KC · Luinder Avila
4
83.6
4 BIP
Jun 16
vs KC · Michael Wacha
3
92.7
3 BIP
Jun 15
vs KC · Mitch Spence
4
108.4
HR
4 BIP
Jun 14
vs SEA · Emerson Hancock
5
104.4
5 BIP
Jun 13
vs SEA · Luis Castillo
2
92.2
2 BIP
Jun 12
vs SEA · Bryce Miller
3
109.5
HR
3 BIP
Jun 10
@ SF · Robbie Ray
5
100.2
5 BIP
Jun 7
@ AZ · Michael Soroka
3
111.2
3 BIP
Jun 6
@ AZ · Eduardo Rodriguez
4
108.6
HR
4 BIP
Jun 3
vs MIA · Max Meyer
2
101.7
2 BIP
Jun 2
vs MIA · Lake Bachar
2
106.1
2 BIP
May 30
vs SD · Michael King
3
103.5
3 BIP
May 29
vs SD · Lucas Giolito
5
105.2
5 BIP
May 26
@ CLE · Joey Cantillo
4
103.6
4 BIP
May 25
@ CLE · Tanner Bibee
4
105.3
4 BIP
May 24
@ ATL · Martín Pérez
2
100.9
2 BIP
May 23
@ ATL · Grant Holmes
3
102.6
HR
3 BIP
May 19
vs NYM · Nolan McLean
4
89.5
4 BIP
Ballpark
Nationals Park · open-air
Park Factor
1.202
Wind
10 mph from SW
Temp
83°F
Roof
Open
TimeWindTempFIT
12:15p
10 ↑
83°
+17
1:15p
10 ↑
83°
+17
2:15p
10 ↑
83°
+17
3:15p
9 ↑
85°
+16
4:15p
7 ↑
87°
+15
+16
Strong green alignment
true spray · live hourly FIT · open-air wind signal
HIT LOCATIONS'25–'26
Game-window avg wind · blowing out to center (from SW)
TONIGHT
board — not posted yet
next game Sun 8/30
Dueness now
3.75×
overdue — gap ÷ cadence
Cadence
4 gm
median between HRs, game-days
Current gap
15 gm
since his last HR, Aug 11
Season
10 HR
71 games · 0 HR last 14d
Rhythm tightness
his gaps between HRs, in game-days — tight columns = metronome, spread = streaky
one dot per gap · 9 gaps · median 4 gm · MAD ± 2 gm · now marker = current gap
SunMonTueWedThuFriSat
Rhythm observation, not a prediction — the “g+n” counters and crossing marks only read his own history. See tonight’s board for the model’s actual ranking. Model picks · For entertainment.
Score Breakdown
Base 49 → 49
ISO (Power)
Barrel Matchup
Park Factor
season hr rate
Pitcher FIP
HR/FB Matchup
Exit Velocity
recent hr density 14d
Common questions about Dylan Crews
Will Dylan Crews hit a home run today?
Dylan Crews is on today's TheHomeRuns slate, ranked #59 among tonight's scored batters for home run likelihood, facing Janson Junk at Nationals Park. That's a model ranking, not a prediction of a certain outcome — even the model's top-ranked bats homer in roughly one of five games. Not gambling advice.
How often does Dylan Crews hit home runs?
Across 71 scored games this season, Dylan Crews has 10 home runs — one every 7.1 games, or about 14% of his scored games.
Has Dylan Crews homered off Janson Junk before?
Not yet — Dylan Crews has faced Janson Junk 6 times without a home run.
Model output for entertainment and research. Not gambling advice.