Curtis Mead
RHB
WSH
· 58 appearances tracked
12
HRs
20.7%
HR Rate
24.4%
Avg HR/FB
88.8
Avg EV
0.233
ISO
#4
Best Rank
HR Profile
Season-to-date · live-tape thresholds
ISO0.253
Avg EV88.1
Barrel%9.7%
HR/FB vs RHP28.6%
Avg HR Dist400
Match%31.6%
Season HR%
20.7%
14D Pace
12.5%
Pitch Analysis
season · as of 2026-07-21
Pitch
Seen
Barrel%
HR
K%
Fastball
59.4%
11
Breaking
29.8%
5
Offspeed
10.9%
1
All
100%
11.1%
17
18.4%
Barrel vs. Whiff
BRL
K
Fastball
Breaking
Offspeed
Crushes the fastball — whiffs climb on breaking & offspeed.
Batter vs. Pitcher
vs Michael Lorenzen · RHP · WSH
SMALL SAMPLE · 2 PA · since 2025
.000
AVG
.000
SLG
0
HR
0-for-2 across 2 plate appearances since 2025. Thin sample — lean on the season profile.
Modifiers
3 of 4 active
Coors +HR
Pitcher form Cold
Platoon Even
Weather +1
Edge by rate
· batter ●
vs pitcher-allowed ●
Barrel%
9.7
vs
—
HR/FB
28.6
vs
12.8 ▲ edge
K%
18.4
vs
—
Batter rates are season-to-date; pitcher-allowed shown where tracked. HR/FB compared head-to-head.
HR Days
12 this season · avg 405 ft
Date
Opp · Pitcher
Pitch
EV
Dist
May 29
vs SD · Lucas Giolito
—
102.2
414
Jun 24
vs PHI · Jonathan Bowlan
—
102.8
394
Jun 25
vs PHI · Cristopher Sánchez
—
107.5
409
Jul 6
vs HOU · Mike Burrows
—
102.2
404
HR by month
May
Jun
Jul
All Appearances
58 tracked · 12 HR · 35 top‑50
Date
Opp · Pitcher
BIP
Max EV
Result
HR
Jul 20
@ COL · Kyle Freeland
4
106.4
4 BIP
Jul 19
@ ATH · Jacob Lopez
3
87.9
3 BIP
Jul 18
@ ATH · J.T. Ginn
0
—
—
Jul 17
@ ATH · Gage Jump
5
105.7
5 BIP
Jul 11
vs NYY · Cam Schlittler
3
100.5
HR
3 BIP
Jul 10
vs NYY · Ryan Weathers
3
84.7
3 BIP
Jul 8
vs HOU · Spencer Arrighetti
2
90.8
2 BIP
Jul 7
vs HOU · Tatsuya Imai
4
103.9
4 BIP
Jul 6
vs HOU · Mike Burrows
4
105.8
HR
4 BIP
Jul 5
vs PIT · Bubba Chandler
4
97.6
4 BIP
Jul 4
vs PIT · Braxton Ashcraft
2
106.2
2 BIP
Jul 1
@ BOS · Payton Tolle
5
103.0
5 BIP
Jun 30
@ BOS · Connelly Early
2
85.6
2 BIP
Jun 29
@ BOS · Ranger Suarez
2
108.3
2 BIP
Jun 28
@ BAL · Kyle Bradish
4
99.4
4 BIP
Jun 26
@ BAL · Trevor Rogers
3
75.5
3 BIP
Jun 25
vs PHI · Cristopher Sánchez
4
107.5
HR
4 BIP
Jun 24
vs PHI · Aaron Nola
2
102.8
HR
2 BIP
Jun 23
vs PHI · Jesús Luzardo
1
107.0
1 BIP
Jun 22
vs PHI · Tim Mayza
4
101.1
HR
4 BIP
Jun 21
@ TB · Nick Martinez
4
96.4
4 BIP
Jun 20
@ TB · Ian Seymour
2
96.0
2 BIP
Jun 17
vs KC · Luinder Avila
1
90.1
1 BIP
Jun 16
vs KC · Michael Wacha
3
104.6
HR
3 BIP
Jun 15
vs KC · Mitch Spence
3
100.0
3 BIP
Jun 13
vs SEA · Luis Castillo
3
83.1
3 BIP
Jun 12
vs SEA · Bryce Miller
2
69.6
2 BIP
Jun 10
@ SF · Robbie Ray
5
101.1
HR
5 BIP
Jun 8
@ SF · Logan Webb
2
110.1
2 BIP
Jun 7
@ AZ · Michael Soroka
2
97.3
2 BIP
Jun 6
@ AZ · Eduardo Rodriguez
4
104.3
HR
4 BIP
Jun 5
@ AZ · Merrill Kelly
2
103.8
2 BIP
Jun 3
vs MIA · Max Meyer
3
100.0
3 BIP
Jun 2
vs MIA · Lake Bachar
2
89.1
2 BIP
Jun 1
vs MIA · Sandy Alcantara
3
95.8
3 BIP
May 31
vs SD · Griffin Canning
3
107.8
3 BIP
May 29
vs SD · Lucas Giolito
3
102.2
HR
3 BIP
May 27
@ CLE · Gavin Williams
2
99.9
2 BIP
May 26
@ CLE · Joey Cantillo
2
102.7
2 BIP
May 25
@ CLE · Tanner Bibee
4
105.3
HR
4 BIP
May 24
@ ATL · Martín Pérez
4
106.6
4 BIP
May 21
vs NYM · David Peterson
3
91.9
3 BIP
May 20
vs NYM · Zach Thornton
3
83.1
3 BIP
May 18
vs NYM · Christian Scott
2
105.1
2 BIP
May 15
vs BAL · Shane Baz
3
90.0
3 BIP
May 12
@ CIN · Brady Singer
0
—
—
May 9
@ MIA · Janson Junk
0
—
—
May 7
vs MIN · Simeon Woods Richardson
4
106.2
4 BIP
May 6
vs MIN · Bailey Ober
1
81.5
1 BIP
May 5
vs MIN · Taj Bradley
4
101.0
4 BIP
May 2
vs MIL · Kyle Harrison
4
100.6
4 BIP
May 1
vs MIL · Jacob Misiorowski
2
87.6
2 BIP
Apr 29
@ NYM · David Peterson
5
105.9
HR
5 BIP
Apr 28
@ NYM · Clay Holmes
0
—
—
Apr 26
@ CWS · Bryan Hudson
4
98.3
4 BIP
Apr 25
@ CWS · Noah Schultz
1
76.4
1 BIP
Apr 19
vs SF · Robbie Ray
4
109.6
HR
4 BIP
Apr 10
@ MIL · Aaron Ashby
4
103.5
4 BIP
Ballpark
Coors Field · open-air
Park Factor
1.190
Wind
1 mph from N
Temp
85°F
Roof
Open
TimeWindTempFIT
8:40p
1 ↘
85°
+6
9:40p
1 ↘
85°
+6
10:40p
1 ↘
85°
+6
11:40p
1 ↘
85°
+6
12:40a
1 ↘
85°
+6
+6
Slight green alignment
proxy spray · game-window FIT · open-air wind signal
HIT LOCATIONS'25–'26
Game-window avg wind · blowing straight in (from N)
TONIGHT
board — not posted yet
next game Tue 7/21
Dueness now
1.00×
overdue — gap ÷ cadence
Cadence
4 gm
median between HRs, game-days
Current gap
4 gm
since his last HR, Jul 11
Season
12 HR
58 games · 1 HR last 14d
Rhythm tightness
his gaps between HRs, in game-days — tight columns = metronome, spread = streaky
one dot per gap · 11 gaps · median 4 gm · MAD ± 1 gm · now marker = current gap
SunMonTueWedThuFriSat
Rhythm observation, not a prediction — the “g+n” counters and crossing marks only read his own history. See tonight’s board for the model’s actual ranking. Model picks · For entertainment.
Score Breakdown
Base 66 → 66
ISO (Power)
Barrel Matchup
Park Factor
season hr rate
Pitcher FIP
HR/FB Matchup
recent hr density 14d
Exit Velocity