Corey Seager
LHB
TEX
· 76 appearances tracked
12
HRs
15.8%
HR Rate
22.6%
Avg HR/FB
91.1
Avg EV
0.202
ISO
#3
Best Rank
HR Profile
Season-to-date · live-tape thresholds
ISO0.185
Avg EV91.6
Barrel%10.0%
HR/FB vs RHP20.4%
Avg HR Dist394
Match%10.6%
Season HR%
15.8%
14D Pace
9.1%
Pitch Analysis
season · as of 2026-08-30
Pitch
Seen
Barrel%
HR
K%
Fastball
50.7%
7
Breaking
33.7%
3
Offspeed
15.6%
3
All
100%
14.6%
13
25.2%
Barrel vs. Whiff
BRL
K
Fastball
Breaking
Offspeed
Barrel & whiff rates by pitch family.
Batter vs. Pitcher
vs Dustin May · RHP · TEX
NO SAMPLE · 0 PA
—
AVG
—
SLG
—
HR
No prior plate appearances vs Dustin May in our data. Lean on the season profile and the modifiers below.
Modifiers
2 of 4 active
American Family Neutral
Pitcher form Steady
Platoon Edge
Weather +4
Edge by rate
· batter ●
vs pitcher-allowed ●
Barrel%
10.0
vs
—
HR/FB
20.4
vs
12.2 ▲ edge
K%
25.2
vs
—
Batter rates are season-to-date; pitcher-allowed shown where tracked. HR/FB compared head-to-head.
HR Days
12 this season · avg 391 ft
Date
Opp · Pitcher
Pitch
EV
Dist
Mar 28
Aaron Nola · Citizens Bank Park
—
103.2
392.0
Mar 31
Zach Eflin · Camden Yards
—
101.7
395.0
Apr 10
Tyler Glasnow · Dodger Stadium
—
108.8
409.0
May 6
Will Warren · Yankee Stadium
—
101.7
350.0
Jun 11
@ KC · Michael Wacha
—
100.0
391
Aug 8
vs BAL · Grant Wolfram
—
107.7
418
Aug 20
vs WSH · Andrew Alvarez
—
103.4
382
HR by month
May
Jun
Aug
All Appearances
76 tracked · 12 HR · 33 top‑50
Date
Opp · Pitcher
BIP
Max EV
Result
HR
Aug 29
@ MIL · Shane Drohan
2
98.8
2 BIP
Aug 28
@ MIL · Logan Henderson
3
104.3
3 BIP
Aug 26
@ CWS · Sean Burke
2
93.9
2 BIP
Aug 25
@ CWS · Anthony Kay
2
98.9
2 BIP
Aug 24
@ CWS · José Urquidy
4
106.9
4 BIP
Aug 23
vs LAA · Yusei Kikuchi
3
100.6
3 BIP
Aug 22
vs LAA · Ryan Johnson
3
104.4
3 BIP
Aug 21
vs LAA · Reid Detmers
3
102.4
3 BIP
Aug 20
vs WSH · Andrew Alvarez
3
103.4
HR
3 BIP
Aug 19
vs WSH · Cade Cavalli
3
101.0
3 BIP
Aug 18
vs WSH · WSH Bullpen Proxy
4
107.6
4 BIP
Aug 15
@ ATH · J.T. Ginn
2
105.0
2 BIP
Aug 14
@ ATH · ATH Bullpen Proxy
1
99.3
1 BIP
Aug 13
@ LAA · Walbert Ureña
2
88.6
2 BIP
Aug 12
@ LAA · George Klassen
4
106.6
HR
4 BIP
Aug 11
@ LAA · Ryan Johnson
3
101.0
3 BIP
Aug 10
@ LAA · Reid Detmers
5
104.3
5 BIP
Aug 9
vs BAL · Cade Povich
4
91.1
4 BIP
Aug 8
vs BAL · Kyle Bradish
4
107.7
HR
4 BIP
Aug 7
vs BAL · Shane Baz
2
95.6
2 BIP
Aug 4
vs SF · Blade Tidwell
4
108.0
4 BIP
Aug 3
vs SF · Logan Webb
2
100.2
2 BIP
Aug 2
@ HOU · Peter Lambert
2
100.6
2 BIP
Aug 1
@ HOU · Ronel Blanco
2
99.6
2 BIP
Jul 31
@ HOU · Hunter Brown
2
106.9
2 BIP
Jun 30
@ CLE · Tanner Bibee
0
—
—
Jun 28
@ TOR · TOR Bullpen Proxy
1
101.5
1 BIP
Jun 27
@ TOR · Dylan Cease
1
98.5
HR
1 BIP
Jun 25
@ TOR · Kevin Gausman
3
92.6
3 BIP
Jun 11
@ KC · Michael Wacha
4
104.6
HR
4 BIP
Jun 10
@ KC · Seth Lugo
4
106.4
4 BIP
Jun 9
@ KC · Stephen Kolek
2
104.8
2 BIP
Jun 6
vs CLE · Tanner Bibee
3
88.6
3 BIP
Jun 5
vs CLE · Parker Messick
4
105.1
HR
4 BIP
May 24
@ LAA · Reid Detmers
0
—
—
May 22
@ LAA · Grayson Rodriguez
0
—
—
May 19
@ COL · Sammy Peralta
0
—
—
May 18
@ COL · Jose Quintana
0
—
—
May 15
@ HOU · Spencer Arrighetti
0
—
—
May 13
vs AZ · Ryne Nelson
2
89.9
2 BIP
May 12
vs AZ · Zac Gallen
3
89.9
3 BIP
May 11
vs AZ · Michael Soroka
3
93.7
3 BIP
May 10
vs CHC · Jameson Taillon
2
103.6
2 BIP
May 9
vs CHC · Edward Cabrera
1
94.1
1 BIP
May 8
vs CHC · Ben Brown
3
99.8
3 BIP
May 7
@ NYY · Paul Blackburn
2
107.7
2 BIP
May 6
@ NYY · Will Warren
3
101.7
HR
3 BIP
May 5
@ NYY · Elmer Rodríguez
2
99.4
2 BIP
May 3
@ DET · Tyler Holton
2
103.9
2 BIP
May 2
@ DET · Keider Montero
4
107.9
4 BIP
May 1
@ DET · Jack Flaherty
2
105.5
2 BIP
Apr 29
vs NYY · Elmer Rodríguez
2
102.8
2 BIP
Apr 28
vs NYY · Cam Schlittler
2
109.3
2 BIP
Apr 27
vs NYY · Max Fried
1
102.9
1 BIP
Apr 26
vs ATH · J.T. Ginn
4
108.4
4 BIP
Apr 25
vs ATH · Jeffrey Springs
4
92.2
4 BIP
Apr 24
vs ATH · Luis Severino
4
106.4
4 BIP
Apr 23
vs PIT · Bubba Chandler
3
104.7
HR
3 BIP
Apr 22
vs PIT · Braxton Ashcraft
2
91.9
2 BIP
Apr 19
@ SEA · Bryan Woo
1
71.5
1 BIP
Apr 18
@ SEA · George Kirby
3
98.4
3 BIP
Apr 17
@ SEA · Logan Gilbert
4
109.4
4 BIP
Apr 14
@ ATH · Jeffrey Springs
3
89.8
3 BIP
Apr 11
@ LAD · Emmet Sheehan
2
96.6
2 BIP
Apr 10
@ LAD · Tyler Glasnow
2
108.8
HR
2 BIP
Apr 8
vs SEA · Bryan Woo
2
97.5
2 BIP
Apr 7
vs SEA · George Kirby
1
79.4
1 BIP
Apr 6
vs SEA · Logan Gilbert
3
104.7
3 BIP
Apr 5
vs CIN · Chase Burns
2
98.1
2 BIP
Apr 4
vs CIN · Rhett Lowder
4
107.4
4 BIP
Apr 1
@ BAL · Trevor Rogers
4
101.8
HR
4 BIP
Mar 31
@ BAL · Zach Eflin
3
107.5
HR
3 BIP
Mar 30
@ BAL · Chris Bassitt
3
104.4
3 BIP
Mar 29
@ PHI · Jesús Luzardo
3
106.7
3 BIP
Mar 28
@ PHI · Aaron Nola
2
103.2
HR
2 BIP
Mar 26
@ PHI · Cristopher Sánchez
3
110.3
3 BIP
Ballpark
American Family Field · open-air
Park Factor
0.911
Wind
13 mph from SW
Temp
86°F
Roof
Retractable
TimeWindTempFIT
1:10p
13 ←
86°
+2
2:10p
12 ←
86°
+1
3:10p
12 ←
86°
+1
4:10p
11 ←
85°
-1
5:10p
9 ←
83°
-3
+0
Neutral alignment
proxy spray · live hourly FIT · open-air wind signal
HIT LOCATIONS'25–'26
Game-window avg wind · blowing across to oppo (from SW)
TONIGHT
board — not posted yet
next game Sun 8/30
Dueness now
1.33×
overdue — gap ÷ cadence
Cadence
6 gm
median between HRs, game-days
Current gap
8 gm
since his last HR, Aug 20
Season
12 HR
76 games · 1 HR last 14d
Rhythm tightness
his gaps between HRs, in game-days — tight columns = metronome, spread = streaky
one dot per gap · 11 gaps · median 6 gm · MAD ± 3 gm · now marker = current gap
SunMonTueWedThuFriSat
Rhythm observation, not a prediction — the “g+n” counters and crossing marks only read his own history. See tonight’s board for the model’s actual ranking. Model picks · For entertainment.
Score Breakdown
Base 45 → 45
ISO (Power)
Barrel Matchup
season hr rate
Park Factor
HR/FB Matchup
Pitcher FIP
Exit Velocity
recent hr density 14d
Common questions about Corey Seager
Will Corey Seager hit a home run today?
Corey Seager is on today's TheHomeRuns slate, ranked #99 among tonight's scored batters for home run likelihood, facing Dustin May at American Family Field. That's a model ranking, not a prediction of a certain outcome — even the model's top-ranked bats homer in roughly one of five games. Not gambling advice.
How often does Corey Seager hit home runs?
Across 76 scored games this season, Corey Seager has 12 home runs — one every 6.3 games, or about 16% of his scored games.
Model output for entertainment and research. Not gambling advice.