Connor Norby
RHB
MIA
· 74 appearances tracked
5
HRs
6.8%
HR Rate
12.9%
Avg HR/FB
87.5
Avg EV
0.145
ISO
#23
Best Rank
HR Profile
Season-to-date · live-tape thresholds
ISO0.140
Avg EV87.4
Barrel%7.2%
HR/FB vs RHP12.5%
Avg HR Dist393
Match%13.2%
Season HR%
6.8%
14D Pace
12.5%
Pitch Analysis
season · as of 2026-08-30
Pitch
Seen
Barrel%
HR
K%
Fastball
55.7%
3
Breaking
28.5%
3
Offspeed
15.8%
0
All
100%
7.4%
6
29.6%
Barrel vs. Whiff
BRL
K
Fastball
Breaking
Offspeed
Barrel & whiff rates by pitch family.
K% shown per family; true swing-whiff pending.
Batter vs. Pitcher
vs Tyler Mahle · RHP · MIA
SMALL SAMPLE · 2 PA · since 2025
1.000
AVG
1.000
SLG
0
HR
2-for-2 across 2 plate appearances since 2025. Thin sample — lean on the season profile.
Modifiers
2 of 4 active
Truist +HR
Pitcher form Steady
Platoon Even
Weather +1
Edge by rate
· batter ●
vs pitcher-allowed ●
Barrel%
7.2
vs
—
HR/FB
12.5
vs
21.1 ▼ risk
K%
29.6
vs
—
Batter rates are season-to-date; pitcher-allowed shown where tracked. HR/FB compared head-to-head.
HR Days
5 this season · avg 380 ft
Date
Opp · Pitcher
Pitch
EV
Dist
Apr 13
Grant Holmes · Truist Park
—
104.9
380.0
HR by month
Apr
All Appearances
74 tracked · 5 HR · 5 top‑50
Date
Opp · Pitcher
BIP
Max EV
Result
HR
Aug 29
vs COL · Martín Pérez
2
102.4
2 BIP
Aug 28
vs COL · Grant Holmes
3
89.8
3 BIP
Aug 27
vs COL · Jake Irvin
2
104.3
2 BIP
Aug 26
vs COL · Matt Waldron
4
102.4
HR
4 BIP
Aug 25
vs COL · Andrew Alvarez
2
99.8
2 BIP
Aug 24
vs COL · Cade Cavalli
3
104.5
3 BIP
Aug 23
vs CLE · Foster Griffin
1
88.1
1 BIP
Aug 17
vs LAD · Blake Snell
4
103.2
4 BIP
Aug 15
vs COL · Logan Webb
2
90.7
2 BIP
Aug 14
vs COL · Landen Roupp
1
74.0
1 BIP
Aug 12
vs COL · Merrill Kelly
3
101.6
3 BIP
Jun 23
vs TEX · Cal Quantrill
2
99.2
2 BIP
Jun 21
vs SF · Logan Webb
3
96.3
3 BIP
Jun 19
vs SF · Landen Roupp
2
101.2
2 BIP
Jun 16
@ PHI · Jesús Luzardo
2
90.7
2 BIP
Jun 14
@ PIT · Paul Skenes
1
97.6
1 BIP
Jun 13
@ PIT · Bubba Chandler
2
100.1
2 BIP
Jun 9
vs AZ · Zac Gallen
1
98.3
1 BIP
Jun 6
vs TB · Shane McClanahan
0
—
—
Jun 3
@ WSH · Andrew Alvarez
1
73.8
1 BIP
Jun 1
@ WSH · Cade Cavalli
3
97.9
3 BIP
May 31
@ NYM · Nolan McLean
4
106.9
4 BIP
May 29
@ NYM · Freddy Peralta
2
87.6
2 BIP
May 27
@ TOR · Kevin Gausman
2
102.7
2 BIP
May 26
@ TOR · Braydon Fisher
2
83.4
2 BIP
May 24
vs NYM · Christian Scott
1
56.2
1 BIP
May 23
vs NYM · Freddy Peralta
2
89.7
2 BIP
May 22
vs NYM · Tobias Myers
1
101.1
1 BIP
May 21
vs ATL · Spencer Strider
0
—
—
May 20
vs ATL · Chris Sale
3
91.2
3 BIP
May 19
vs ATL · Martín Pérez
3
96.4
3 BIP
May 18
vs ATL · JR Ritchie
2
95.2
2 BIP
May 17
@ TB · Drew Rasmussen
4
99.2
4 BIP
May 16
@ TB · Nick Martinez
4
99.1
4 BIP
May 15
@ TB · Ian Seymour
4
105.1
HR
4 BIP
May 13
@ MIN · Simeon Woods Richardson
3
100.3
3 BIP
May 12
@ MIN · Bailey Ober
3
98.0
3 BIP
May 9
vs WSH · Zack Littell
3
96.6
3 BIP
May 8
vs WSH · Foster Griffin
1
65.8
1 BIP
May 7
vs BAL · Cade Povich
2
93.5
2 BIP
May 6
vs BAL · Brandon Young
0
—
—
May 5
vs BAL · Chris Bassitt
1
98.7
1 BIP
May 4
vs PHI · Aaron Nola
1
73.7
1 BIP
May 3
vs PHI · Jesús Luzardo
1
75.9
1 BIP
May 2
vs PHI · Andrew Painter
2
101.2
2 BIP
May 1
vs PHI · Zack Wheeler
1
80.1
1 BIP
Apr 29
@ LAD · Tyler Glasnow
0
—
—
Apr 28
@ LAD · Shohei Ohtani
2
101.0
2 BIP
Apr 27
@ LAD · Yoshinobu Yamamoto
3
104.1
3 BIP
Apr 26
@ SF · Landen Roupp
1
71.2
1 BIP
Apr 25
@ SF · Robbie Ray
1
66.5
1 BIP
Apr 24
@ SF · Adrian Houser
5
104.3
HR
5 BIP
Apr 21
vs STL · Dustin May
2
96.0
2 BIP
Apr 20
vs STL · Michael McGreevy
1
92.9
1 BIP
Apr 19
vs MIL · Jacob Misiorowski
0
—
—
Apr 18
vs MIL · Brandon Woodruff
4
103.3
4 BIP
Apr 15
@ ATL · Bryce Elder
3
94.9
3 BIP
Apr 14
@ ATL · Reynaldo López
2
97.4
2 BIP
Apr 13
@ ATL · Grant Holmes
4
104.9
HR
4 BIP
Apr 12
@ DET · Tarik Skubal
1
84.6
1 BIP
Apr 11
@ DET · Casey Mize
3
91.7
3 BIP
Apr 10
@ DET · Keider Montero
1
95.5
1 BIP
Apr 9
vs CIN · Rhett Lowder
0
—
—
Apr 8
vs CIN · Brady Singer
3
100.5
HR
3 BIP
Apr 7
vs CIN · Andrew Abbott
3
86.1
3 BIP
Apr 6
vs CIN · Brandon Williamson
3
100.5
3 BIP
Apr 5
@ NYY · Max Fried
1
86.6
1 BIP
Apr 4
@ NYY · Ryan Weathers
3
100.0
3 BIP
Apr 1
vs CWS · Shane Smith
4
96.9
4 BIP
Mar 31
vs CWS · Erick Fedde
0
—
—
Mar 30
vs CWS · Davis Martin
3
86.0
3 BIP
Mar 29
vs COL · Jose Quintana
1
85.8
1 BIP
Mar 28
vs COL · Michael Lorenzen
2
81.6
2 BIP
Mar 27
vs COL · Kyle Freeland
3
104.0
3 BIP
Ballpark
Truist Park · open-air
Park Factor
1.053
Wind
6 mph from ESE
Temp
81°F
Roof
Open
TimeWindTempFIT
1:35p
6 ↙
81°
-3
2:35p
6 ↙
81°
-2
3:35p
6 ↙
82°
-1
4:35p
6 ↙
83°
+1
5:35p
5 ↙
83°
+1
-1
Neutral alignment
true spray · live hourly FIT · open-air wind signal
HIT LOCATIONS'25–'26
Game-window avg wind · blowing in from oppo (from E)
TONIGHT
board — not posted yet
next game Sun 8/30
Dueness now
0.18×
not yet due — gap ÷ cadence
Cadence
17 gm
median between HRs, game-days
Current gap
3 gm
since his last HR, Aug 26
Season
5 HR
74 games · 1 HR last 14d
Rhythm tightness
his gaps between HRs, in game-days — tight columns = metronome, spread = streaky
one dot per gap · 4 gaps · median 17 gm · MAD ± 11.0 gm · now marker = current gap
SunMonTueWedThuFriSat
Rhythm observation, not a prediction — the “g+n” counters and crossing marks only read his own history. See tonight’s board for the model’s actual ranking. Model picks · For entertainment.
Score Breakdown
Base 43 → 43
ISO (Power)
Barrel Matchup
Park Factor
Pitcher FIP
HR/FB Matchup
season hr rate
recent hr density 14d
Exit Velocity
Common questions about Connor Norby
Will Connor Norby hit a home run today?
Connor Norby is on today's TheHomeRuns slate, ranked #97 among tonight's scored batters for home run likelihood, facing Tyler Mahle at Truist Park. That's a model ranking, not a prediction of a certain outcome — even the model's top-ranked bats homer in roughly one of five games. Not gambling advice.
How often does Connor Norby hit home runs?
Across 74 scored games this season, Connor Norby has 5 home runs — one every 14.8 games, or about 7% of his scored games.
Has Connor Norby homered off Tyler Mahle before?
Not yet — Connor Norby has faced Tyler Mahle 2 times without a home run.
Model output for entertainment and research. Not gambling advice.