Colton Cowser
LHB
BAL
· 70 appearances tracked
11
HRs
15.7%
HR Rate
18.2%
Avg HR/FB
86.3
Avg EV
0.142
ISO
#5
Best Rank
HR Profile
Season-to-date · live-tape thresholds
ISO0.148
Avg EV87.8
Barrel%9.7%
HR/FB vs RHP20.0%
Avg HR Dist414
Match%15.6%
Season HR%
15.7%
14D Pace
25.0%
Pitch Analysis
season · as of 2026-08-29
Pitch
Seen
Barrel%
HR
K%
Fastball
43.2%
6
Breaking
32.1%
5
Offspeed
24.7%
1
All
100%
10.8%
12
29.7%
Barrel vs. Whiff
BRL
K
Fastball
Breaking
Offspeed
Crushes the fastball — whiffs climb on breaking & offspeed.
Batter vs. Pitcher
vs Jack Perkins · RHP · BAL
NO SAMPLE · 0 PA
—
AVG
—
SLG
—
HR
No prior plate appearances vs Jack Perkins in our data. Lean on the season profile and the modifiers below.
Modifiers
3 of 4 active
Sutter Health +HR
Pitcher form Cold
Platoon Edge
Weather —
Edge by rate
· batter ●
vs pitcher-allowed ●
Barrel%
9.7
vs
—
HR/FB
20.0
vs
16.2 ▲ edge
K%
29.7
vs
—
Batter rates are season-to-date; pitcher-allowed shown where tracked. HR/FB compared head-to-head.
HR Days
11 this season · avg 411 ft
Date
Opp · Pitcher
Pitch
EV
Dist
Jun 11
vs SEA · Bryan Woo
—
108.5
416
Jun 21
@ LAD · Emmet Sheehan
—
104.7
406
HR by month
Jun
All Appearances
70 tracked · 11 HR · 20 top‑50
Date
Opp · Pitcher
BIP
Max EV
Result
HR
Aug 28
@ ATH · Jacob Lopez
1
92.8
1 BIP
Aug 27
@ STL · Gordon Graceffo
3
109.9
3 BIP
Aug 26
@ STL · Michael McGreevy
4
105.0
4 BIP
Aug 23
vs TB · Nick Martinez
3
99.7
HR
3 BIP
Aug 21
vs TB · Freddy Peralta
2
80.5
2 BIP
Aug 20
vs NYY · Gerrit Cole
1
89.1
1 BIP
Aug 19
vs NYY · Will Warren
3
97.8
3 BIP
Aug 16
@ TB · Freddy Peralta
3
103.6
HR
3 BIP
Aug 14
@ TB · Steven Matz
1
103.0
HR
1 BIP
Aug 10
@ MIN · Dean Kremer
3
98.2
3 BIP
Aug 9
@ TEX · Kumar Rocker
3
108.9
HR
3 BIP
Aug 8
@ TEX · Jacob deGrom
1
102.4
1 BIP
Aug 7
@ TEX · Nathan Eovaldi
2
99.1
2 BIP
Aug 6
vs LAA · Ryan Johnson
2
100.8
2 BIP
Aug 4
vs LAA · Grayson Rodriguez
2
98.1
2 BIP
Aug 2
vs PHI · Zack Wheeler
1
92.0
1 BIP
Jul 31
vs PHI · Andrew Painter
1
77.3
1 BIP
Jul 28
@ DET · Troy Melton
1
65.5
1 BIP
Jul 26
vs ATL · Reynaldo López
1
82.0
1 BIP
Jul 24
vs ATL · Grant Holmes
0
—
—
Jul 19
@ HOU · Hunter Brown
3
106.0
3 BIP
Jul 18
@ HOU · Spencer Arrighetti
2
97.1
2 BIP
Jul 17
@ HOU · Peter Lambert
4
101.5
4 BIP
Jul 12
vs KC · Seth Lugo
1
99.7
1 BIP
Jul 10
vs KC · Luinder Avila
1
95.8
1 BIP
Jul 8
vs CHC · Colin Rea
2
100.2
2 BIP
Jul 4
@ CIN · CIN Bullpen Proxy
3
95.6
3 BIP
Jul 3
@ CIN · Brady Singer
0
—
—
Jun 30
vs CWS · Erick Fedde
1
101.7
1 BIP
Jun 29
vs CWS · Sean Burke
0
—
—
Jun 28
vs WSH · Zack Littell
3
107.7
3 BIP
Jun 24
@ LAA · José Soriano
2
97.2
2 BIP
Jun 23
@ LAA · Ryan Johnson
2
101.4
2 BIP
Jun 22
@ LAA · Sam Aldegheri
2
74.4
2 BIP
Jun 21
@ LAD · Emmet Sheehan
5
104.7
HR
5 BIP
Jun 18
@ SEA · Bryan Woo
1
100.2
1 BIP
Jun 17
@ SEA · George Kirby
0
—
—
Jun 16
@ SEA · Logan Gilbert
1
79.6
1 BIP
Jun 14
vs SD · Walker Buehler
2
103.8
2 BIP
Jun 13
vs SD · Randy Vásquez
2
93.8
2 BIP
Jun 12
vs SD · Griffin Canning
0
—
—
Jun 11
vs SEA · Bryan Woo
2
108.5
HR
2 BIP
Jun 10
vs SEA · George Kirby
3
86.6
3 BIP
Jun 9
vs SEA · Logan Gilbert
1
106.3
1 BIP
Jun 8
vs SEA · Emerson Hancock
4
101.0
4 BIP
Jun 7
@ TOR · Kevin Gausman
3
111.7
HR
3 BIP
Jun 6
@ TOR · Braydon Fisher
2
105.0
HR
2 BIP
Jun 5
@ TOR · Trey Yesavage
5
111.8
5 BIP
Jun 4
@ BOS · Brayan Bello
2
101.6
2 BIP
May 31
vs TOR · Spencer Miles
3
108.0
HR
3 BIP
May 26
vs TB · Griffin Jax
1
41.5
1 BIP
May 24
vs DET · Troy Melton
3
111.5
HR
3 BIP
May 19
@ TB · Griffin Jax
1
75.2
1 BIP
May 17
@ WSH · Richard Lovelady
2
113.3
HR
2 BIP
Apr 30
vs HOU · Peter Lambert
3
77.9
3 BIP
Apr 21
@ KC · Kris Bubic
1
103.2
1 BIP
Apr 20
@ KC · Seth Lugo
0
—
—
Apr 18
@ CLE · Gavin Williams
0
—
—
Apr 17
@ CLE · Tanner Bibee
2
91.8
2 BIP
Apr 12
vs SF · Adrian Houser
2
77.0
2 BIP
Apr 11
vs SF · Logan Webb
3
109.8
3 BIP
Apr 8
@ CWS · Sean Burke
0
—
—
Apr 7
@ CWS · Shane Smith
1
51.4
1 BIP
Apr 6
@ CWS · Grant Taylor
2
104.6
2 BIP
Apr 5
@ PIT · Braxton Ashcraft
0
—
—
Apr 4
@ PIT · Carmen Mlodzinski
0
—
—
Apr 1
vs TEX · Nathan Eovaldi
3
95.8
3 BIP
Mar 30
vs TEX · Jack Leiter
2
63.2
2 BIP
Mar 28
vs MIN · Taj Bradley
1
103.9
1 BIP
Mar 26
vs MIN · Joe Ryan
2
93.5
2 BIP
Ballpark
Sutter Health Park · open-air
Park Factor
1.263
Wind
—
Temp
—
Roof
—
TimeWindTempFIT
——
——
——
——
——
——
+8
Slight green alignment
true spray · park signal · open-air wind signal
HIT LOCATIONS'25–'26
TONIGHT
board — not posted yet
next game Sat 8/29
Dueness now
1.00×
overdue — gap ÷ cadence
Cadence
3 gm
median between HRs, game-days
Current gap
3 gm
since his last HR, Aug 23
Season
11 HR
70 games · 2 HR last 14d
Rhythm tightness
his gaps between HRs, in game-days — tight columns = metronome, spread = streaky
one dot per gap · 10 gaps · median 3 gm · MAD ± 1.0 gm · now marker = current gap
SunMonTueWedThuFriSat
Rhythm observation, not a prediction — the “g+n” counters and crossing marks only read his own history. See tonight’s board for the model’s actual ranking. Model picks · For entertainment.
Score Breakdown
Base 56 → 56
ISO (Power)
Barrel Matchup
Park Factor
Pitcher FIP
season hr rate
HR/FB Matchup
recent hr density 14d
Exit Velocity
Common questions about Colton Cowser
Will Colton Cowser hit a home run today?
Colton Cowser is on today's TheHomeRuns slate, ranked #27 among tonight's scored batters for home run likelihood, facing Jack Perkins at Sutter Health Park. That's a model ranking, not a prediction of a certain outcome — even the model's top-ranked bats homer in roughly one of five games. Not gambling advice.
How often does Colton Cowser hit home runs?
Across 70 scored games this season, Colton Cowser has 11 home runs — one every 6.4 games, or about 16% of his scored games.
Model output for entertainment and research. Not gambling advice.