2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Max Muncy 9 HRs · 2 Pete Alonso 6 HRs · 3 Pete Crow-Armstrong 6 HRs · 4 Cal Raleigh 5 HRs · 5 Rafael Devers 5 HRs · 6 Heriberto Hernández 5 HRs · 7 Brooks Lee 5 HRs · 8 Tristan Peters 5 HRs · 9 Luis García Jr. 4 HRs · 10 Jordan Walker 4 HRs · 11 Nick Sogard 4 HRs · 12 Sal Stewart 4 HRs 1 Max Muncy 9 HRs · 2 Pete Alonso 6 HRs · 3 Pete Crow-Armstrong 6 HRs · 4 Cal Raleigh 5 HRs · 5 Rafael Devers 5 HRs · 6 Heriberto Hernández 5 HRs · 7 Brooks Lee 5 HRs · 8 Tristan Peters 5 HRs · 9 Luis García Jr. 4 HRs · 10 Jordan Walker 4 HRs · 11 Nick Sogard 4 HRs · 12 Sal Stewart 4 HRs
Colt Keith
Colt Keith
DET · LHB
Colt Keith

Colt Keith

LHB
DET · 107 appearances tracked
7 HRs
6.5% HR Rate
6.7% Avg HR/FB
90.0 Avg EV
0.117 ISO
#47 Best Rank
as of 2026-08-30
HR Profile Season-to-date · live-tape thresholds
ISO
43
0.147
Avg EV
49
89.0
Barrel%
34
7.2%
HR/FB vs RHP
52
13.2%
Avg HR Dist
20
385
Match%
23
8.3%
Season HR%
6.5%
14D Pace
14.3%
ISO EV BRL HR/FB DIST MATCH
43
49
34
52
20
23
ISOEVBRLHR/FBDISTMATCH
BBE 19 · season HR% & 14D pace unranked
Pitch Analysis season · as of 2026-08-30
Pitch Seen Barrel% HR K%
Fastball 55.9%
6.8%
4
12.9%
Breaking 18.9%
15.2%
3
26.8%
Offspeed 25.3%
3.0%
2
27.4%
All 100% 7.3% 9 19.1%
Barrel vs. Whiff BRL K
Fastball Breaking Offspeed
Barrel & whiff rates by pitch family. K% shown per family; true swing-whiff pending.
Batter vs. Pitcher vs Tyler Glasnow · RHP · DET
NO SAMPLE · 0 PA
AVG
SLG
HR
No prior plate appearances vs Tyler Glasnow in our data. Lean on the season profile and the modifiers below.
Modifiers 1 of 4 active
Comerica Neutral Pitcher form Steady Platoon Edge Weather Neutral
Edge by rate · batter vs pitcher-allowed
Barrel% 7.2 vs
7.2
HR/FB 13.2 vs 11.1 ▲ edge
13.2
11.1
K% 19.1 vs
19.1
Batter rates are season-to-date; pitcher-allowed shown where tracked. HR/FB compared head-to-head.
HR Days recent home runs
No home runs captured on a scored slate yet.
All Appearances 107 tracked · 7 HR · 1 top‑50
Date Opp · Pitcher BIP Max EV Result HR
Aug 26 vs TB · Freddy Peralta 2 82.8 2 BIP
Aug 24 vs TB · Drew Rasmussen 1 91.2 1 BIP
Aug 22 @ KC · Michael Wacha 2 108.0 2 BIP
Aug 19 @ PIT · Paul Skenes 2 101.8 2 BIP
Aug 18 @ PIT · Braxton Ashcraft 3 105.7 3 BIP
Aug 17 @ PIT · Carmen Mlodzinski 3 103.1 3 BIP
Aug 16 vs CWS · Sean Burke 2 99.0 HR 2 BIP
Aug 14 vs CWS · Sean Newcomb 3 104.6 3 BIP
Aug 11 vs CLE · Tanner Bibee 4 97.9 4 BIP
Aug 9 @ SF · Logan Webb 3 102.4 3 BIP
Aug 8 @ SF · Landen Roupp 0
Aug 7 @ SF · JT Brubaker 1 97.5 1 BIP
Aug 6 @ SEA · Bryce Miller 4 101.4 4 BIP
Aug 5 @ SEA · Bryan Woo 3 107.9 3 BIP
Aug 4 @ SEA · Emerson Hancock 4 85.3 4 BIP
Aug 1 @ ATH · Jack Perkins 3 103.5 3 BIP
Jul 31 @ ATH · Jeffrey Springs 0
Jul 28 vs BAL · Dean Kremer 3 93.2 3 BIP
Jul 27 vs BAL · Kyle Bradish 3 104.2 3 BIP
Jul 26 vs KC · Luinder Avila 4 97.0 4 BIP
Jul 25 vs KC · Michael Wacha 3 85.7 3 BIP
Jul 24 vs KC · Beck Way 2 100.4 2 BIP
Jul 23 vs KC · Randy Dobnak 2 87.3 2 BIP
Jul 22 @ CHC · Colin Rea 2 90.1 2 BIP
Jul 21 @ CHC · David Peterson 1 84.7 1 BIP
Jul 20 @ CHC · Jameson Taillon 2 100.6 2 BIP
Jul 19 @ LAA · Ryan Johnson 1 93.8 1 BIP
Jul 18 @ LAA · Grayson Rodriguez 5 103.4 5 BIP
Jul 17 @ LAA · Reid Detmers 0
Jul 12 vs PHI · Zack Wheeler 2 94.2 2 BIP
Jul 10 vs PHI · Aaron Nola 4 101.9 HR 4 BIP
Jul 7 vs ATH · J.T. Ginn 2 103.1 HR 2 BIP
Jul 5 @ TEX · Kumar Rocker 1 98.3 1 BIP
Jul 4 @ TEX · Cal Quantrill 2 100.2 2 BIP
Jul 2 @ TEX · Nathan Eovaldi 1 102.3 HR 1 BIP
Jul 1 @ NYY · Will Warren 2 94.6 2 BIP
Jun 30 @ NYY · Cam Schlittler 3 102.9 3 BIP
Jun 28 vs HOU · Hunter Brown 4 98.6 4 BIP
Jun 27 vs HOU · Kai-Wei Teng 4 100.2 4 BIP
Jun 26 vs HOU · Spencer Arrighetti 3 100.3 HR 3 BIP
Jun 25 vs HOU · Tatsuya Imai 3 99.4 3 BIP
Jun 22 vs NYY · Gerrit Cole 3 103.8 3 BIP
Jun 21 vs CWS · Davis Martin 5 103.5 5 BIP
Jun 19 vs CWS · Brandon Eisert 2 106.8 2 BIP
Jun 17 @ HOU · Peter Lambert 2 94.0 2 BIP
Jun 16 @ HOU · Hunter Brown 0
Jun 15 @ HOU · Kai-Wei Teng 3 108.8 HR 3 BIP
Jun 14 @ CLE · Gavin Williams 0
Jun 12 @ CLE · Tanner Bibee 2 103.2 2 BIP
Jun 11 vs MIN · Zebby Matthews 4 101.5 HR 4 BIP
Jun 10 vs MIN · Mike Paredes 3 102.6 3 BIP
Jun 9 vs MIN · Taj Bradley 2 98.0 2 BIP
Jun 7 vs SEA · Luis Castillo 2 80.0 2 BIP
Jun 6 vs SEA · Bryce Miller 2 96.1 2 BIP
Jun 5 vs SEA · Bryan Woo 1 99.5 1 BIP
Jun 3 @ TB · Nick Martinez 3 102.2 3 BIP
Jun 1 @ TB · Griffin Jax 3 97.9 3 BIP
May 31 @ CWS · Sean Burke 3 99.3 3 BIP
May 28 vs LAA · Grayson Rodriguez 2 105.0 2 BIP
May 27 vs LAA · José Soriano 2 98.2 2 BIP
May 26 vs LAA · Jack Kochanowicz 2 105.7 2 BIP
May 24 @ BAL · Brandon Young 5 100.0 5 BIP
May 22 @ BAL · Chris Bassitt 2 72.6 2 BIP
May 20 vs CLE · Tanner Bibee 5 92.9 5 BIP
May 18 vs CLE · Slade Cecconi 4 95.2 4 BIP
May 17 vs TOR · Kevin Gausman 2 85.8 2 BIP
May 15 vs TOR · Trey Yesavage 2 89.3 2 BIP
May 14 @ NYM · Nolan McLean 0
May 13 @ NYM · Christian Scott 3 104.2 3 BIP
May 12 @ NYM · Freddy Peralta 2 94.3 2 BIP
May 10 @ KC · Noah Cameron 2 79.4 2 BIP
May 9 @ KC · Michael Wacha 1 76.9 1 BIP
May 8 @ KC · Kris Bubic 2 67.6 2 BIP
May 6 vs BOS · Sonny Gray 3 86.8 3 BIP
May 5 vs BOS · Jovani Morán 0
May 4 vs BOS · Payton Tolle 2 94.2 2 BIP
May 3 vs TEX · Jack Leiter 3 93.7 3 BIP
May 2 vs TEX · Kumar Rocker 2 104.0 2 BIP
May 1 vs TEX · MacKenzie Gore 0
Apr 30 @ ATL · Bryce Elder 4 96.5 4 BIP
Apr 28 @ ATL · Martín Pérez 2 102.2 2 BIP
Apr 26 @ CIN · Rhett Lowder 1 105.6 1 BIP
Apr 25 @ CIN · Brady Singer 3 101.9 3 BIP
Apr 23 vs MIL · Brandon Sproat 2 89.9 2 BIP
Apr 22 vs MIL · Chad Patrick 3 106.6 3 BIP
Apr 21 vs MIL · Kyle Harrison 1 95.5 1 BIP
Apr 20 @ BOS · Sonny Gray 4 101.2 4 BIP
Apr 19 @ BOS · Garrett Crochet 0
Apr 18 @ BOS · Brayan Bello 3 98.3 3 BIP
Apr 17 @ BOS · Ranger Suarez 0
Apr 15 vs KC · Seth Lugo 2 98.9 2 BIP
Apr 14 vs KC · Cole Ragans 1 77.2 1 BIP
Apr 12 vs MIA · Sandy Alcantara 4 101.0 4 BIP
Apr 11 vs MIA · Janson Junk 2 86.8 2 BIP
Apr 10 vs MIA · Chris Paddack 4 99.9 4 BIP
Apr 9 @ MIN · Mick Abel 3 105.8 3 BIP
Apr 8 @ MIN · Bailey Ober 2 104.8 2 BIP
Apr 7 @ MIN · Taj Bradley 2 97.6 2 BIP
Apr 6 @ MIN · Joe Ryan 3 101.1 3 BIP
Apr 5 vs STL · Kyle Leahy 2 104.8 2 BIP
Apr 4 vs STL · Dustin May 2 105.9 2 BIP
Apr 1 @ AZ · Zac Gallen 4 103.8 4 BIP
Mar 31 @ AZ · Brandon Pfaadt 2 105.5 2 BIP
Mar 30 @ AZ · Michael Soroka 3 104.9 3 BIP
Mar 28 @ SD · Randy Vásquez 2 94.1 2 BIP
Mar 27 @ SD · Michael King 1 84.2 1 BIP
Mar 26 @ SD · Nick Pivetta 4 104.0 4 BIP
Ballpark Comerica Park · open-air
Park Factor 0.937 Wind 6 mph from S Temp 69°F Roof Open
TimeWindTempFIT
1:40p 6 69° -7
2:40p 6 69° -7
3:40p 6 70° -7
4:40p 7 71° -7
5:40p 7 71° -8
-7
Slight red alignment
true spray · live hourly FIT · open-air wind signal
HIT LOCATIONS'25–'26
6 mph 22% 0% 0% 56% 22% OPPO PULL Comerica Park
Game-window avg wind · blowing in from oppo (from S)
TONIGHT board — not posted yet next game Sun 8/30
Dueness now
1.20×
overdue — gap ÷ cadence
Cadence
5 gm
median between HRs, game-days
Current gap
6 gm
since his last HR, Aug 16
Season
7 HR
107 games · 0 HR last 14d
Rhythm tightness
his gaps between HRs, in game-days — tight columns = metronome, spread = streaky
one dot per gap · 6 gaps · median 5 gm · MAD ± 2.0 gm · now marker = current gap
SunMonTueWedThuFriSat

Rhythm observation, not a prediction — the “g+n” counters and crossing marks only read his own history. See tonight’s board for the model’s actual ranking. Model picks · For entertainment.

Score Breakdown Base 36 → 36
ISO (Power)
+15.4
Barrel Matchup
+10.9
Park Factor
+3.4
season hr rate
+1.9
recent hr density 14d
+1.6
HR/FB Matchup
+1.3
Pitcher FIP
+0.9
Exit Velocity
+0.9
Six home runs to freedom

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Common questions about Colt Keith

Will Colt Keith hit a home run today?

Colt Keith is on today's TheHomeRuns slate, ranked #154 among tonight's scored batters for home run likelihood, facing Tyler Glasnow at Comerica Park. That's a model ranking, not a prediction of a certain outcome — even the model's top-ranked bats homer in roughly one of five games. Not gambling advice.

How often does Colt Keith hit home runs?

Across 107 scored games this season, Colt Keith has 7 home runs — one every 15.3 games, or about 7% of his scored games.

Model output for entertainment and research. Not gambling advice.

THR 3.3.164 · build 668

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