Colt Keith
LHB
DET
· 108 appearances tracked
7
HRs
6.5%
HR Rate
6.8%
Avg HR/FB
90.0
Avg EV
0.117
ISO
#47
Best Rank
HR Profile
Season-to-date · live-tape thresholds
ISO0.147
Avg EV89.0
Barrel%8.1%
HR/FB vs RHP13.2%
Avg HR Dist385
Match%8.8%
Season HR%
6.5%
14D Pace
0.0%
Pitch Analysis
season · as of 2026-08-31
Pitch
Seen
Barrel%
HR
K%
Fastball
55.1%
4
Breaking
21.5%
3
Offspeed
23.4%
2
All
100%
7.3%
9
19.0%
Barrel vs. Whiff
BRL
K
Fastball
Breaking
Offspeed
Barrel & whiff rates by pitch family.
Batter vs. Pitcher
vs Taj Bradley · RHP · DET
15 PA · since 2026
.000
AVG
.000
SLG
0
HR
0-for-12 and 3 walks across 15 plate appearances since 2026.
Modifiers
2 of 4 active
Target Neutral
Pitcher form Steady
Platoon Edge
Weather +2
Edge by rate
· batter ●
vs pitcher-allowed ●
Barrel%
8.1
vs
—
HR/FB
13.2
vs
20.3 ▼ risk
K%
19.0
vs
—
Batter rates are season-to-date; pitcher-allowed shown where tracked. HR/FB compared head-to-head.
HR Days
recent home runs
No home runs captured on a scored slate yet.
All Appearances
108 tracked · 7 HR · 1 top‑50
Date
Opp · Pitcher
BIP
Max EV
Result
HR
Aug 30
vs LAD · Tyler Glasnow
3
108.3
3 BIP
Aug 26
vs TB · Freddy Peralta
2
82.8
2 BIP
Aug 24
vs TB · Drew Rasmussen
1
91.2
1 BIP
Aug 22
@ KC · Michael Wacha
2
108.0
2 BIP
Aug 19
@ PIT · Paul Skenes
2
101.8
2 BIP
Aug 18
@ PIT · Braxton Ashcraft
3
105.7
3 BIP
Aug 17
@ PIT · Carmen Mlodzinski
3
103.1
3 BIP
Aug 16
vs CWS · Sean Burke
2
99.0
HR
2 BIP
Aug 14
vs CWS · Sean Newcomb
3
104.6
3 BIP
Aug 11
vs CLE · Tanner Bibee
4
97.9
4 BIP
Aug 9
@ SF · Logan Webb
3
102.4
3 BIP
Aug 8
@ SF · Landen Roupp
0
—
—
Aug 7
@ SF · JT Brubaker
1
97.5
1 BIP
Aug 6
@ SEA · Bryce Miller
4
101.4
4 BIP
Aug 5
@ SEA · Bryan Woo
3
107.9
3 BIP
Aug 4
@ SEA · Emerson Hancock
4
85.3
4 BIP
Aug 1
@ ATH · Jack Perkins
3
103.5
3 BIP
Jul 31
@ ATH · Jeffrey Springs
0
—
—
Jul 28
vs BAL · Dean Kremer
3
93.2
3 BIP
Jul 27
vs BAL · Kyle Bradish
3
104.2
3 BIP
Jul 26
vs KC · Luinder Avila
4
97.0
4 BIP
Jul 25
vs KC · Michael Wacha
3
85.7
3 BIP
Jul 24
vs KC · Beck Way
2
100.4
2 BIP
Jul 23
vs KC · Randy Dobnak
2
87.3
2 BIP
Jul 22
@ CHC · Colin Rea
2
90.1
2 BIP
Jul 21
@ CHC · David Peterson
1
84.7
1 BIP
Jul 20
@ CHC · Jameson Taillon
2
100.6
2 BIP
Jul 19
@ LAA · Ryan Johnson
1
93.8
1 BIP
Jul 18
@ LAA · Grayson Rodriguez
5
103.4
5 BIP
Jul 17
@ LAA · Reid Detmers
0
—
—
Jul 12
vs PHI · Zack Wheeler
2
94.2
2 BIP
Jul 10
vs PHI · Aaron Nola
4
101.9
HR
4 BIP
Jul 7
vs ATH · J.T. Ginn
2
103.1
HR
2 BIP
Jul 5
@ TEX · Kumar Rocker
1
98.3
1 BIP
Jul 4
@ TEX · Cal Quantrill
2
100.2
2 BIP
Jul 2
@ TEX · Nathan Eovaldi
1
102.3
HR
1 BIP
Jul 1
@ NYY · Will Warren
2
94.6
2 BIP
Jun 30
@ NYY · Cam Schlittler
3
102.9
3 BIP
Jun 28
vs HOU · Hunter Brown
4
98.6
4 BIP
Jun 27
vs HOU · Kai-Wei Teng
4
100.2
4 BIP
Jun 26
vs HOU · Spencer Arrighetti
3
100.3
HR
3 BIP
Jun 25
vs HOU · Tatsuya Imai
3
99.4
3 BIP
Jun 22
vs NYY · Gerrit Cole
3
103.8
3 BIP
Jun 21
vs CWS · Davis Martin
5
103.5
5 BIP
Jun 19
vs CWS · Brandon Eisert
2
106.8
2 BIP
Jun 17
@ HOU · Peter Lambert
2
94.0
2 BIP
Jun 16
@ HOU · Hunter Brown
0
—
—
Jun 15
@ HOU · Kai-Wei Teng
3
108.8
HR
3 BIP
Jun 14
@ CLE · Gavin Williams
0
—
—
Jun 12
@ CLE · Tanner Bibee
2
103.2
2 BIP
Jun 11
vs MIN · Zebby Matthews
4
101.5
HR
4 BIP
Jun 10
vs MIN · Mike Paredes
3
102.6
3 BIP
Jun 9
vs MIN · Taj Bradley
2
98.0
2 BIP
Jun 7
vs SEA · Luis Castillo
2
80.0
2 BIP
Jun 6
vs SEA · Bryce Miller
2
96.1
2 BIP
Jun 5
vs SEA · Bryan Woo
1
99.5
1 BIP
Jun 3
@ TB · Nick Martinez
3
102.2
3 BIP
Jun 1
@ TB · Griffin Jax
3
97.9
3 BIP
May 31
@ CWS · Sean Burke
3
99.3
3 BIP
May 28
vs LAA · Grayson Rodriguez
2
105.0
2 BIP
May 27
vs LAA · José Soriano
2
98.2
2 BIP
May 26
vs LAA · Jack Kochanowicz
2
105.7
2 BIP
May 24
@ BAL · Brandon Young
5
100.0
5 BIP
May 22
@ BAL · Chris Bassitt
2
72.6
2 BIP
May 20
vs CLE · Tanner Bibee
5
92.9
5 BIP
May 18
vs CLE · Slade Cecconi
4
95.2
4 BIP
May 17
vs TOR · Kevin Gausman
2
85.8
2 BIP
May 15
vs TOR · Trey Yesavage
2
89.3
2 BIP
May 14
@ NYM · Nolan McLean
0
—
—
May 13
@ NYM · Christian Scott
3
104.2
3 BIP
May 12
@ NYM · Freddy Peralta
2
94.3
2 BIP
May 10
@ KC · Noah Cameron
2
79.4
2 BIP
May 9
@ KC · Michael Wacha
1
76.9
1 BIP
May 8
@ KC · Kris Bubic
2
67.6
2 BIP
May 6
vs BOS · Sonny Gray
3
86.8
3 BIP
May 5
vs BOS · Jovani Morán
0
—
—
May 4
vs BOS · Payton Tolle
2
94.2
2 BIP
May 3
vs TEX · Jack Leiter
3
93.7
3 BIP
May 2
vs TEX · Kumar Rocker
2
104.0
2 BIP
May 1
vs TEX · MacKenzie Gore
0
—
—
Apr 30
@ ATL · Bryce Elder
4
96.5
4 BIP
Apr 28
@ ATL · Martín Pérez
2
102.2
2 BIP
Apr 26
@ CIN · Rhett Lowder
1
105.6
1 BIP
Apr 25
@ CIN · Brady Singer
3
101.9
3 BIP
Apr 23
vs MIL · Brandon Sproat
2
89.9
2 BIP
Apr 22
vs MIL · Chad Patrick
3
106.6
3 BIP
Apr 21
vs MIL · Kyle Harrison
1
95.5
1 BIP
Apr 20
@ BOS · Sonny Gray
4
101.2
4 BIP
Apr 19
@ BOS · Garrett Crochet
0
—
—
Apr 18
@ BOS · Brayan Bello
3
98.3
3 BIP
Apr 17
@ BOS · Ranger Suarez
0
—
—
Apr 15
vs KC · Seth Lugo
2
98.9
2 BIP
Apr 14
vs KC · Cole Ragans
1
77.2
1 BIP
Apr 12
vs MIA · Sandy Alcantara
4
101.0
4 BIP
Apr 11
vs MIA · Janson Junk
2
86.8
2 BIP
Apr 10
vs MIA · Chris Paddack
4
99.9
4 BIP
Apr 9
@ MIN · Mick Abel
3
105.8
3 BIP
Apr 8
@ MIN · Bailey Ober
2
104.8
2 BIP
Apr 7
@ MIN · Taj Bradley
2
97.6
2 BIP
Apr 6
@ MIN · Joe Ryan
3
101.1
3 BIP
Apr 5
vs STL · Kyle Leahy
2
104.8
2 BIP
Apr 4
vs STL · Dustin May
2
105.9
2 BIP
Apr 1
@ AZ · Zac Gallen
4
103.8
4 BIP
Mar 31
@ AZ · Brandon Pfaadt
2
105.5
2 BIP
Mar 30
@ AZ · Michael Soroka
3
104.9
3 BIP
Mar 28
@ SD · Randy Vásquez
2
94.1
2 BIP
Mar 27
@ SD · Michael King
1
84.2
1 BIP
Mar 26
@ SD · Nick Pivetta
4
104.0
4 BIP
Ballpark
Target Field · open-air
Park Factor
0.935
Wind
3 mph from WSW
Temp
85°F
Roof
Open
TimeWindTempFIT
6:40p
3 ↑
85°
+1
7:40p
2 ↑
83°
+1
8:40p
3 ↑
81°
+2
9:40p
3 ↑
79°
+2
10:40p
3 ↑
78°
+0
+1
Neutral alignment
proxy spray · live hourly FIT · open-air wind signal
HIT LOCATIONS'25–'26
Game-window avg wind · blowing out to center (from NW)
TONIGHT
board — not posted yet
next game Mon 8/31
Dueness now
1.40×
overdue — gap ÷ cadence
Cadence
5 gm
median between HRs, game-days
Current gap
7 gm
since his last HR, Aug 16
Season
7 HR
108 games · 0 HR last 14d
Rhythm tightness
his gaps between HRs, in game-days — tight columns = metronome, spread = streaky
one dot per gap · 6 gaps · median 5 gm · MAD ± 2.0 gm · now marker = current gap
SunMonTueWedThuFriSat
Rhythm observation, not a prediction — the “g+n” counters and crossing marks only read his own history. See tonight’s board for the model’s actual ranking. Model picks · For entertainment.
Score Breakdown
Base 38 → 38
ISO (Power)
Barrel Matchup
Park Factor
Pitcher FIP
season hr rate
HR/FB Matchup
Exit Velocity
recent hr density 14d
Common questions about Colt Keith
Will Colt Keith hit a home run today?
Colt Keith is on today's TheHomeRuns slate, ranked #111 among tonight's scored batters for home run likelihood, facing Taj Bradley at Target Field. That's a model ranking, not a prediction of a certain outcome — even the model's top-ranked bats homer in roughly one of five games. Not gambling advice.
How often does Colt Keith hit home runs?
Across 108 scored games this season, Colt Keith has 7 home runs — one every 15.4 games, or about 6% of his scored games.
Has Colt Keith homered off Taj Bradley before?
Not yet — Colt Keith has faced Taj Bradley 15 times without a home run.
Model output for entertainment and research. Not gambling advice.