Chandler Simpson
TB
· 146 appearances tracked
0
HRs
0.0%
HR Rate
2.7%
Avg HR/FB
83.8
Avg EV
0.055
ISO
#83
Best Rank
HR Profile
Season-to-date · live-tape thresholds
ISO0.049
Avg EV83.7
Barrel%—
HR/FB vs RHP0.0%
Avg HR Dist0
Match%5.5%
Season HR%
0.0%
14D Pace
0.0%
Pitch Analysis
season · as of 2026-10-17
Pitch
Seen
Barrel%
HR
K%
Fastball
68.2%
0
Breaking
19.1%
0
Offspeed
12.6%
0
All
100%
0.0%
0
7.9%
Barrel vs. Whiff
BRL
K
Fastball
Breaking
Offspeed
Barrel & whiff rates by pitch family.
K% shown per family; true swing-whiff pending.
Batter vs. Pitcher
vs Shawn Armstrong · RHP · TB
SMALL SAMPLE · 3 PA · since 2026
—
AVG
—
SLG
0
HR
0-for-0 across 3 plate appearances since 2026. Thin sample — lean on the season profile.
Modifiers
1 of 4 active
Progressive Neutral
Pitcher form Cold
Platoon —
Weather -1
Edge by rate
· batter ●
vs pitcher-allowed ●
HR/FB
0.0
vs
11.1 ▼ risk
K%
7.9
vs
—
Batter rates are season-to-date; pitcher-allowed shown where tracked. HR/FB compared head-to-head.
HR Days
recent home runs
No home runs captured on a scored slate yet.
All Appearances
146 tracked · 0 HR · 0 top‑50
Date
Opp · Pitcher
BIP
Max EV
Result
HR
Sep 25
@ PHI · Cristopher Sánchez
2
79.0
2 BIP
Sep 24
@ NYY · Cam Schlittler
5
94.7
5 BIP
Sep 22
@ NYY · Carlos Rodón
6
105.3
6 BIP
Sep 20
vs BOS · Patrick Sandoval
3
98.5
3 BIP
Sep 19
vs BOS · Brayan Bello
4
98.4
4 BIP
Sep 18
vs BOS · Ranger Suarez
5
100.9
5 BIP
Sep 17
vs ATH · Jeffrey Springs
5
94.2
5 BIP
Sep 16
vs ATH · Brady Basso
4
101.3
4 BIP
Sep 15
vs ATH · Jack Perkins
3
98.0
3 BIP
Sep 13
vs HOU · Hayden Wesneski
5
99.5
5 BIP
Sep 12
vs HOU · Peter Lambert
4
97.0
4 BIP
Sep 11
vs HOU · Miguel Ullola
3
95.6
3 BIP
Sep 10
@ ATL · Martín Pérez
3
84.5
3 BIP
Sep 9
@ ATL · Reynaldo López
3
98.9
3 BIP
Sep 8
@ ATL · AJ Smith-Shawver
4
91.7
4 BIP
Sep 6
@ TEX · MacKenzie Gore
5
96.9
5 BIP
Sep 5
@ TEX · Jacob deGrom
4
98.9
4 BIP
Sep 4
@ TEX · Trevor Williams
3
93.2
3 BIP
Sep 3
@ TEX · Cal Quantrill
4
92.0
4 BIP
Sep 2
vs NYM · NYM Bullpen Proxy
4
86.7
4 BIP
Sep 1
vs NYM · Sean Manaea
3
92.7
3 BIP
Aug 31
vs NYM · Robert Stock
4
76.9
4 BIP
Aug 30
vs SD · Robbie Ray
4
85.0
4 BIP
Aug 29
vs SD · Walker Buehler
4
94.0
4 BIP
Aug 28
vs SD · Casey Mize
4
97.2
4 BIP
Aug 26
@ DET · Troy Melton
4
89.4
4 BIP
Aug 25
@ DET · Jackson Jobe
3
75.9
3 BIP
Aug 24
@ DET · Framber Valdez
4
87.9
4 BIP
Aug 23
@ BAL · Shane Baz
3
100.6
3 BIP
Aug 22
@ BAL · Brandon Young
4
90.2
4 BIP
Aug 21
@ BAL · Trevor Rogers
3
92.0
3 BIP
Aug 20
vs TOR · Shane Bieber
4
95.6
4 BIP
Aug 19
vs TOR · Max Scherzer
3
88.8
3 BIP
Aug 18
vs TOR · José Soriano
5
96.7
5 BIP
Aug 17
vs BAL · Brandon Young
4
95.2
4 BIP
Aug 16
vs BAL · Trevor Rogers
4
92.5
4 BIP
Aug 15
vs BAL · Kyle Bradish
5
96.6
5 BIP
Aug 14
vs BAL · Chris Bassitt
3
85.2
3 BIP
Aug 11
@ ATH · Mason Barnett
5
91.2
5 BIP
Aug 10
@ ATH · Jacob Lopez
5
90.6
5 BIP
Aug 9
@ SEA · Emerson Hancock
5
89.1
5 BIP
Aug 8
@ SEA · George Kirby
4
87.8
4 BIP
Aug 7
@ SEA · Logan Gilbert
4
88.7
4 BIP
Aug 5
@ COL · Tomoyuki Sugano
4
100.4
4 BIP
Aug 4
@ COL · Gabriel Hughes
5
96.6
5 BIP
Aug 3
@ COL · Michael Lorenzen
4
87.6
4 BIP
Aug 2
vs CWS · Anthony Kay
4
99.7
4 BIP
Aug 1
vs CWS · Jordan Hicks
4
98.4
4 BIP
Jul 31
vs CWS · Erick Fedde
3
91.8
3 BIP
Jul 29
vs TEX · MacKenzie Gore
2
82.3
2 BIP
Jul 28
vs TEX · Cal Quantrill
4
106.8
4 BIP
Jul 26
vs CLE · Parker Messick
3
88.7
3 BIP
Jul 25
vs CLE · Tanner Bibee
3
96.5
3 BIP
Jul 24
vs CLE · Joey Cantillo
5
86.4
5 BIP
Jul 23
@ TOR · Shane Bieber
3
78.7
3 BIP
Jul 22
@ TOR · Braydon Fisher
3
90.4
3 BIP
Jul 21
@ TOR · Kevin Gausman
5
98.1
5 BIP
Jul 20
@ TOR · Dylan Cease
2
83.8
2 BIP
Jul 19
@ BOS · Sonny Gray
4
95.9
4 BIP
Jul 18
@ BOS · BOS Bullpen Proxy
3
93.0
3 BIP
Jul 17
@ BOS · Jake Bennett
3
86.2
3 BIP
Jul 12
vs SEA · Emerson Hancock
4
84.4
4 BIP
Jul 11
vs SEA · Logan Gilbert
4
93.9
4 BIP
Jul 10
vs SEA · Luis Castillo
4
87.8
4 BIP
Jul 9
vs NYY · Paul Blackburn
4
96.5
4 BIP
Jul 8
vs NYY · Gerrit Cole
4
100.0
4 BIP
Jul 7
vs NYY · Will Warren
4
100.8
4 BIP
Jul 6
vs NYY · Cam Schlittler
3
90.5
3 BIP
Jul 5
@ HOU · Peter Lambert
3
97.5
3 BIP
Jul 3
@ HOU · Spencer Arrighetti
0
—
—
Jul 2
@ KC · Stephen Kolek
4
87.1
4 BIP
Jul 1
@ KC · Seth Lugo
4
96.2
4 BIP
Jun 30
@ KC · Noah Cameron
4
96.3
4 BIP
Jun 28
vs AZ · Merrill Kelly
4
93.5
4 BIP
Jun 27
vs AZ · AZ Bullpen Proxy
3
98.2
3 BIP
Jun 25
vs KC · Seth Lugo
5
97.9
5 BIP
Jun 24
vs KC · Noah Cameron
3
80.7
3 BIP
Jun 23
vs KC · Luinder Avila
2
92.5
2 BIP
Jun 22
vs KC · Michael Wacha
4
94.4
4 BIP
Jun 21
vs WSH · Andrew Alvarez
3
94.3
3 BIP
Jun 20
vs WSH · Cade Cavalli
4
98.7
4 BIP
Jun 19
vs WSH · PJ Poulin
4
93.1
4 BIP
Jun 17
@ LAD · Shohei Ohtani
4
97.6
4 BIP
Jun 16
@ LAD · Justin Wrobleski
3
93.3
3 BIP
Jun 15
@ LAD · Eric Lauer
0
—
—
Jun 14
@ LAA · Grayson Rodriguez
4
92.8
4 BIP
Jun 13
@ LAA · José Soriano
4
91.8
4 BIP
Jun 12
@ LAA · Sam Aldegheri
3
92.6
3 BIP
Jun 9
vs BOS · Payton Tolle
2
67.9
2 BIP
Jun 5
@ MIA · MIA Bullpen Proxy
2
90.3
2 BIP
Jun 3
vs DET · Troy Melton
3
94.5
3 BIP
Jun 2
vs DET · Jack Flaherty
3
84.8
3 BIP
Jun 1
vs DET · Ty Madden
2
93.0
2 BIP
May 31
vs LAA · Jack Kochanowicz
5
98.1
5 BIP
May 30
vs LAA · Reid Detmers
2
91.5
2 BIP
May 29
vs LAA · Walbert Ureña
4
82.0
4 BIP
May 27
@ BAL · Trey Gibson
4
93.6
4 BIP
May 26
@ BAL · Shane Baz
3
99.1
3 BIP
May 25
@ BAL · Kyle Bradish
5
97.1
5 BIP
May 24
@ NYY · Ryan Weathers
3
90.3
3 BIP
May 22
@ NYY · Gerrit Cole
5
98.4
5 BIP
May 20
vs BAL · Shane Baz
3
89.5
3 BIP
May 19
vs BAL · Kyle Bradish
3
91.0
3 BIP
May 18
vs BAL · Trevor Rogers
4
88.0
4 BIP
May 17
vs MIA · Eury Pérez
3
77.1
3 BIP
May 16
vs MIA · Sandy Alcantara
4
96.8
4 BIP
May 15
vs MIA · Janson Junk
4
99.4
4 BIP
May 13
@ TOR · Dylan Cease
3
93.5
3 BIP
May 12
@ TOR · Patrick Corbin
0
—
—
May 11
@ TOR · Kevin Gausman
5
93.5
5 BIP
May 10
@ BOS · Payton Tolle
4
84.8
4 BIP
May 9
@ BOS · Payton Tolle
0
—
—
May 8
@ BOS · Connelly Early
2
97.0
2 BIP
May 7
@ BOS · Jake Bennett
2
98.7
2 BIP
May 6
vs TOR · Patrick Corbin
4
96.4
4 BIP
May 5
vs TOR · Kevin Gausman
4
97.7
4 BIP
May 3
vs SF · Tyler Mahle
3
79.5
3 BIP
May 2
vs SF · Landen Roupp
3
91.2
3 BIP
May 1
vs SF · Robbie Ray
3
91.2
3 BIP
Apr 29
@ CLE · Gavin Williams
4
89.5
4 BIP
Apr 28
@ CLE · Tanner Bibee
4
97.3
4 BIP
Apr 27
@ CLE · Parker Messick
4
89.9
4 BIP
Apr 26
vs MIN · Simeon Woods Richardson
4
98.2
4 BIP
Apr 25
vs MIN · Bailey Ober
0
—
—
Apr 24
vs MIN · Taj Bradley
3
91.9
3 BIP
Apr 22
vs CIN · Brandon Williamson
4
96.0
4 BIP
Apr 21
vs CIN · Chase Burns
4
106.3
4 BIP
Apr 20
vs CIN · Rhett Lowder
5
97.7
5 BIP
Apr 19
@ PIT · Mitch Keller
3
99.1
3 BIP
Apr 18
@ PIT · Paul Skenes
6
91.1
6 BIP
Apr 17
@ PIT · Bubba Chandler
4
86.3
4 BIP
Apr 16
@ CWS · Jordan Leasure
5
99.9
5 BIP
Apr 15
@ CWS · Sean Burke
4
89.3
4 BIP
Apr 12
vs NYY · Cam Schlittler
4
93.3
4 BIP
Apr 11
vs NYY · Max Fried
1
34.2
1 BIP
Apr 10
vs NYY · Luis Gil
4
96.1
4 BIP
Apr 8
vs CHC · Colin Rea
4
93.9
4 BIP
Apr 7
vs CHC · Javier Assad
4
99.7
4 BIP
Apr 6
vs CHC · Jameson Taillon
4
97.9
4 BIP
Apr 5
@ MIN · Simeon Woods Richardson
5
97.8
5 BIP
Apr 4
@ MIN · Mick Abel
5
91.4
5 BIP
Apr 1
@ MIL · Jacob Misiorowski
3
77.6
3 BIP
Mar 31
@ MIL · Brandon Woodruff
3
93.7
3 BIP
Mar 30
@ MIL · Kyle Harrison
3
67.3
3 BIP
Mar 29
@ STL · Dustin May
4
100.1
4 BIP
Mar 28
@ STL · Michael McGreevy
3
86.0
3 BIP
Ballpark
Progressive Field · open-air
Park Factor
0.950
Wind
9 mph from W
Temp
50°F
Roof
Open
TimeWindTempFIT
8:00p
9 ↗
50°
-3
9:00p
9 ↗
50°
-1
10:00p
10 ↗
49°
+2
11:00p
10 ↗
49°
+4
12:00a
10 ↗
48°
+4
+1
Neutral alignment
proxy spray · live hourly FIT · open-air wind signal
HIT LOCATIONS'25–'26
Game-window avg wind · blowing out to pull (from WSW)
TONIGHT
board — not posted yet
next game —
Dueness now
—
fewer than 3 HRs — not enough to read a rhythm
Cadence
—
median between HRs, game-days
Current gap
—
no HRs yet
Season
0 HR
146 games · 0 HR last 14d
Rhythm tightness
his gaps between HRs, in game-days — tight columns = metronome, spread = streaky
0 gaps on record — not enough to read a rhythm (needs 3+ HRs).
dueness — · honest empty state, never a fake number
SunMonTueWedThuFriSat
Rhythm observation, not a prediction — the “g+n” counters and crossing marks only read his own history. See tonight’s board for the model’s actual ranking. Model picks · For entertainment.
Score Breakdown
Base 16 → 16
ISO (Power)
Park Factor
Pitcher FIP
HR/FB Matchup
season hr rate
Barrel Matchup
recent hr density 14d
Exit Velocity
Common questions about Chandler Simpson
Will Chandler Simpson hit a home run today?
Chandler Simpson is on today's TheHomeRuns slate, ranked #16 among tonight's scored batters for home run likelihood, facing Shawn Armstrong at Progressive Field. That's a model ranking, not a prediction of a certain outcome — even the model's top-ranked bats homer in roughly one of five games. Not gambling advice.
Has Chandler Simpson homered off Shawn Armstrong before?
Not yet — Chandler Simpson has faced Shawn Armstrong 3 times without a home run.
Model output for entertainment and research. Not gambling advice.