2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Junior Caminero 7 HRs · 2 Ketel Marte 6 HRs · 3 Dansby Swanson 5 HRs · 4 Manny Machado 5 HRs · 5 Brandon Marsh 5 HRs · 6 Bryce Harper 5 HRs · 7 Joc Pederson 5 HRs · 8 Wyatt Langford 5 HRs · 9 Carter Jensen 4 HRs · 10 Hunter Goodman 4 HRs · 11 Jac Caglianone 4 HRs · 12 Caleb Durbin 4 HRs 1 Junior Caminero 7 HRs · 2 Ketel Marte 6 HRs · 3 Dansby Swanson 5 HRs · 4 Manny Machado 5 HRs · 5 Brandon Marsh 5 HRs · 6 Bryce Harper 5 HRs · 7 Joc Pederson 5 HRs · 8 Wyatt Langford 5 HRs · 9 Carter Jensen 4 HRs · 10 Hunter Goodman 4 HRs · 11 Jac Caglianone 4 HRs · 12 Caleb Durbin 4 HRs
Byron Buxton
Byron Buxton
MIN · RHB
Byron Buxton

Byron Buxton

RHB
MIN · 71 appearances tracked
23 HRs
32.4% HR Rate
28.2% Avg HR/FB
89.7 Avg EV
0.283 ISO
#1 Best Rank
as of 2026-07-03
HR Profile Season-to-date · live-tape thresholds
ISO
98
0.317
Avg EV
74
90.6
Barrel%
93
12.6%
HR/FB vs RHP
97
32.3%
Avg HR Dist
73
402
Match%
97
27.3%
Season HR%
32.4%
14D Pace
22.2%
ISO EV BRL HR/FB DIST MATCH
98
74
93
97
73
97
ISOEVBRLHR/FBDISTMATCH
BBE 33 · season HR% & 14D pace unranked
Pitch Analysis season · as of 2026-07-03
Pitch Seen Barrel% HR K%
Fastball 52.3%
21.9%
19
21.8%
Breaking 30.2%
16.1%
7
27.4%
Offspeed 17.5%
14.8%
1
32.7%
All 100% 19.5% 27 24.9%
Barrel vs. Whiff BRL K
Fastball Breaking Offspeed
Crushes the fastball — whiffs climb on breaking & offspeed.
Batter vs. Pitcher vs Gerrit Cole · RHP · MIN
SMALL SAMPLE · 5 PA · since 2022
.400
AVG
1.600
SLG
2
HR
2-for-5 with 2 homers across 5 plate appearances since 2022. Thin sample — lean on the season profile.
Modifiers 2 of 4 active
Yankee Stadium +HR Pitcher form Cold Platoon Even Weather Neutral
Edge by rate · batter vs pitcher-allowed
Barrel% 12.6 vs
12.6
HR/FB 32.3 vs 16.7 ▲ edge
32.3
16.7
K% 24.9 vs
24.9
Batter rates are season-to-date; pitcher-allowed shown where tracked. HR/FB compared head-to-head.
HR Days 23 this season · avg 410 ft
Date Opp · Pitcher Pitch EV Dist
Apr 13 Garrett Crochet · Target Field 105.4 420.0
Apr 30 Kevin Gausman · Target Field 101.8 375.0
May 5 Cade Cavalli · Nationals Park 106.4 387.0
May 13 Max Meyer · Target Field 105.2 418.0
May 22 @ BOS · Payton Tolle 109.4 419.0
May 27 @ CWS · David Sandlin 106.3 417.0
Jun 4 vs KC · Seth Lugo 109.6 430
Jun 9 @ DET · Troy Melton 111.9 428
Jun 10 @ DET · Framber Valdez 107.0 413
Jun 12 vs STL · Kyle Leahy 108.5 425
Jun 13 vs STL · Matthew Liberatore 106.5 420
Jun 15 @ TEX · MacKenzie Gore 103.4 398
Jun 20 @ AZ · Yilber Díaz 104.5 402
Jun 22 vs LAD · Will Klein 106.8 394
HR by month
2
4
8
Apr May Jun
All Appearances 71 tracked · 23 HR · 49 top‑50
Date Opp · Pitcher BIP Max EV Result HR
Jun 28 vs COL · Ryan Feltner 3 93.3 3 BIP
Jun 27 vs COL · Michael Lorenzen 4 96.0 4 BIP
Jun 26 vs COL · Tomoyuki Sugano 5 106.1 5 BIP
Jun 24 vs LAD · Shohei Ohtani 3 81.0 3 BIP
Jun 23 vs LAD · Justin Wrobleski 4 105.1 4 BIP
Jun 22 vs LAD · Eric Lauer 3 106.8 HR 3 BIP
Jun 21 @ AZ · AZ Bullpen Proxy 4 107.2 4 BIP
Jun 20 @ AZ · Zac Gallen 4 104.5 HR 4 BIP
Jun 19 @ AZ · Michael Soroka 3 103.7 3 BIP
Jun 18 @ TEX · Jack Leiter 4 92.6 4 BIP
Jun 16 @ TEX · Kumar Rocker 4 102.9 4 BIP
Jun 15 @ TEX · MacKenzie Gore 2 104.6 HR 2 BIP
Jun 14 vs STL · Michael McGreevy 3 111.8 3 BIP
Jun 13 vs STL · Matthew Liberatore 2 106.5 HR 2 BIP
Jun 12 vs STL · Kyle Leahy 3 108.5 HR 3 BIP
Jun 11 @ DET · Keider Montero 3 102.3 3 BIP
Jun 10 @ DET · Framber Valdez 4 107.0 HR 4 BIP
Jun 9 @ DET · Troy Melton 1 111.9 HR 1 BIP
Jun 5 vs KC · Michael Wacha 1 105.5 1 BIP
Jun 4 vs KC · Seth Lugo 4 109.6 HR 4 BIP
Jun 3 vs CWS · Erick Fedde 4 105.7 4 BIP
Jun 2 vs CWS · Davis Martin 3 95.2 3 BIP
Jun 1 vs CWS · David Sandlin 3 84.7 3 BIP
May 30 @ PIT · Mitch Keller 2 95.8 2 BIP
May 28 @ CWS · Davis Martin 1 102.5 1 BIP
May 27 @ CWS · David Sandlin 3 106.3 HR 3 BIP
May 26 @ CWS · Sean Burke 3 97.9 3 BIP
May 25 @ CWS · Anthony Kay 2 105.0 2 BIP
May 23 @ BOS · Jovani Morán 2 107.0 2 BIP
May 22 @ BOS · Payton Tolle 3 109.4 HR 3 BIP
May 20 vs HOU · Mike Burrows 3 85.5 3 BIP
May 19 vs HOU · Jason Alexander 4 102.6 4 BIP
May 18 vs HOU · Tatsuya Imai 0
May 13 vs MIA · Max Meyer 3 108.2 HR 3 BIP
May 12 vs MIA · Eury Pérez 3 104.4 3 BIP
May 10 @ CLE · Gavin Williams 2 97.5 2 BIP
May 9 @ CLE · Tanner Bibee 3 107.1 HR 3 BIP
May 8 @ CLE · Parker Messick 4 110.4 HR 4 BIP
May 7 @ WSH · Jake Irvin 3 107.3 3 BIP
May 6 @ WSH · Miles Mikolas 2 84.1 2 BIP
May 5 @ WSH · Cade Cavalli 5 106.4 HR 5 BIP
May 2 vs TOR · Dylan Cease 4 99.6 HR 4 BIP
May 1 vs TOR · Patrick Corbin 4 109.3 HR 4 BIP
Apr 30 vs TOR · Kevin Gausman 4 104.2 HR 4 BIP
Apr 29 vs SEA · George Kirby 4 107.7 4 BIP
Apr 28 vs SEA · Logan Gilbert 4 100.7 HR 4 BIP
Apr 27 vs SEA · Luis Castillo 3 104.2 HR 3 BIP
Apr 25 @ TB · Shane McClanahan 3 107.0 3 BIP
Apr 24 @ TB · Drew Rasmussen 3 95.4 3 BIP
Apr 23 @ NYM · Christian Scott 3 108.7 3 BIP
Apr 22 @ NYM · Clay Holmes 3 107.6 HR 3 BIP
Apr 21 @ NYM · Nolan McLean 2 101.2 HR 2 BIP
Apr 19 vs CIN · Brady Singer 3 55.9 3 BIP
Apr 18 vs CIN · Andrew Abbott 3 101.4 3 BIP
Apr 17 vs CIN · Brandon Williamson 4 105.8 4 BIP
Apr 14 vs BOS · Sonny Gray 4 108.0 HR 4 BIP
Apr 13 vs BOS · Garrett Crochet 4 105.4 HR 4 BIP
Apr 11 @ TOR · Eric Lauer 4 99.6 4 BIP
Apr 10 @ TOR · Patrick Corbin 2 84.9 2 BIP
Apr 9 vs DET · Jack Flaherty 1 95.0 1 BIP
Apr 8 vs DET · Framber Valdez 4 97.7 4 BIP
Apr 7 vs DET · Tarik Skubal 3 109.3 3 BIP
Apr 6 vs DET · Casey Mize 4 104.5 4 BIP
Apr 5 vs TB · Nick Martinez 3 94.8 3 BIP
Apr 4 vs TB · Steven Matz 0
Apr 2 @ KC · Cole Ragans 3 105.2 3 BIP
Apr 1 @ KC · Noah Cameron 2 98.1 2 BIP
Mar 30 @ KC · Kris Bubic 3 97.3 3 BIP
Mar 29 @ BAL · Shane Baz 2 95.7 2 BIP
Mar 28 @ BAL · Kyle Bradish 3 99.1 3 BIP
Mar 26 @ BAL · Trevor Rogers 3 101.3 3 BIP
Ballpark Yankee Stadium · open-air
Park Factor 1.191 Wind 8 mph from NW Temp 84°F Roof Open
TimeWindTempFIT
7:05p 8 84° -1
8:05p 8 84° -1
9:05p 8 84° -1
10:05p 8 84° -1
11:05p 8 84° -1
-1
Neutral alignment
true spray · game-window FIT · open-air wind signal
HIT LOCATIONS'25–'26
8 mph 4% 4% 26% 33% 33% OPPO PULL Yankee Stadium
Game-window avg wind · blowing straight in (from NW)
Score Breakdown Base 75 → 75
ISO (Power)
+28.2
Barrel Matchup
+17.4
Park Factor
+11.6
season hr rate
+5.9
HR/FB Matchup
+4.3
Pitcher FIP
+4.3
recent hr density 14d
+2.4
Exit Velocity
+1.2
Six home runs to freedom

Byron Buxton's full profile is waiting

Upgrade to see today’s matchup, HR profile, pitch analysis, HR history, ballpark conditions, and every signal behind this batter profile.

71 more waiting in the on-deck circle
LD 3.3.51 · build 552

The top 10 picks. Every morning.

Free daily home run predictions from the model, in your inbox before first pitch.

No spam. Unsubscribe anytime. Just picks and results.