Bryan Reynolds
SHB
PIT
· 130 appearances tracked
14
HRs
10.8%
HR Rate
17.1%
Avg HR/FB
91.1
Avg EV
0.162
ISO
#10
Best Rank
HR Profile
Season-to-date · live-tape thresholds
ISO0.161
Avg EV90.5
Barrel%10.0%
HR/FB vs LHP16.7%
Avg HR Dist409
Match%8.7%
Season HR%
10.5%
14D Pace
0.0%
Pitch Analysis
season · as of 2026-08-30
Pitch
Seen
Barrel%
HR
K%
Fastball
49.8%
9
Breaking
33.2%
4
Offspeed
17.0%
2
All
100%
11.0%
15
23.8%
Barrel vs. Whiff
BRL
K
Fastball
Breaking
Offspeed
Barrel & whiff rates by pitch family.
K% shown per family; true swing-whiff pending.
Batter vs. Pitcher
vs Matthew Liberatore · LHP · PIT
15 PA · since 2022
.333
AVG
.666
SLG
1
HR
5-for-15 with 1 homer across 15 plate appearances since 2022.
Modifiers
3 of 4 active
Busch Stadium Neutral
Pitcher form Cold
Platoon Edge
Weather +4
Edge by rate
· batter ●
vs pitcher-allowed ●
Barrel%
10.0
vs
—
HR/FB
16.7
vs
17.8 ▼ risk
K%
23.8
vs
—
Batter rates are season-to-date; pitcher-allowed shown where tracked. HR/FB compared head-to-head.
HR Days
14 this season · avg 425 ft
Date
Opp · Pitcher
Pitch
EV
Dist
Mar 31
Brandon Williamson · Great American Ball Park
—
106.1
417.0
Jun 21
@ COL · Juan Mejia
—
107.0
433
HR by month
Mar
Jun
All Appearances
130 tracked · 14 HR · 13 top‑50
Date
Opp · Pitcher
BIP
Max EV
Result
HR
Aug 29
@ STL · Kyle Leahy
2
103.2
2 BIP
Aug 28
@ STL · Quinn Mathews
2
97.8
2 BIP
Aug 26
@ SD · Randy Vásquez
4
104.8
4 BIP
Aug 25
@ SD · Michael King
4
106.2
4 BIP
Aug 24
@ SD · Robbie Ray
4
95.6
4 BIP
Aug 23
@ LAD · Blake Snell
3
94.7
3 BIP
Aug 22
@ LAD · Tarik Skubal
2
93.6
2 BIP
Aug 21
@ LAD · Yoshinobu Yamamoto
3
111.5
3 BIP
Aug 19
vs DET · Jackson Jobe
4
101.3
4 BIP
Aug 18
vs DET · Keider Montero
4
113.2
4 BIP
Aug 17
vs DET · Framber Valdez
2
92.9
2 BIP
Aug 16
vs BOS · Patrick Sandoval
3
102.9
3 BIP
Aug 15
vs BOS · Sonny Gray
3
107.5
3 BIP
Aug 14
vs BOS · Jake Bennett
3
110.5
3 BIP
Aug 13
@ MIA · Tyler Phillips
3
101.7
3 BIP
Aug 12
@ MIA · Janson Junk
2
103.0
2 BIP
Aug 11
@ MIA · Eury Pérez
3
96.6
3 BIP
Aug 9
vs NYM · Sean Manaea
3
92.7
3 BIP
Aug 8
vs NYM · NYM Bullpen Proxy
2
67.9
2 BIP
Aug 7
vs NYM · Zac Thornton
4
108.4
4 BIP
Aug 6
@ MIL · Dustin May
0
—
—
Aug 5
@ MIL · Kyle Harrison
2
100.7
2 BIP
Aug 4
@ MIL · Logan Henderson
2
95.8
2 BIP
Aug 3
@ MIL · Brandon Sproat
4
94.4
4 BIP
Aug 2
@ CIN · Chase Burns
2
105.9
2 BIP
Aug 1
@ CIN · Andrew Abbott
4
102.1
4 BIP
Jul 31
@ CIN · Hunter Greene
4
99.9
4 BIP
Jul 30
@ CIN · Rhett Lowder
2
108.6
2 BIP
Jul 29
vs AZ · Eduardo Rodriguez
2
76.5
2 BIP
Jul 28
vs AZ · Brandon Pfaadt
3
101.6
HR
3 BIP
Jul 27
vs AZ · Merrill Kelly
3
101.0
3 BIP
Jul 26
vs CHC · Jameson Taillon
3
103.3
3 BIP
Jul 25
vs CHC · Shota Imanaga
3
90.7
3 BIP
Jul 24
vs CHC · Matthew Boyd
3
108.5
3 BIP
Jul 22
@ NYY · Gerrit Cole
4
93.2
4 BIP
Jul 21
@ NYY · Will Warren
0
—
—
Jul 20
@ NYY · Ryan Weathers
2
100.9
2 BIP
Jul 19
@ CLE · Joey Cantillo
1
91.0
1 BIP
Jul 18
@ CLE · Logan Allen
4
107.7
4 BIP
Jul 17
@ CLE · Gavin Williams
0
—
—
Jul 12
vs MIL · Robert Gasser
1
88.7
1 BIP
Jul 11
vs MIL · Brandon Sproat
4
99.2
4 BIP
Jul 10
vs MIL · Brandon Sproat
0
—
—
Jul 9
vs ATL · Bryce Elder
4
102.8
HR
4 BIP
Jul 8
vs ATL · Grant Holmes
2
97.3
2 BIP
Jul 7
vs ATL · Hurston Waldrep
1
93.3
1 BIP
Jul 5
@ WSH · Cade Cavalli
4
102.3
HR
4 BIP
Jul 4
@ WSH · WSH Bullpen Proxy
5
83.0
5 BIP
Jul 3
@ WSH · Foster Griffin
3
109.8
HR
3 BIP
Jul 2
@ PHI · Alan Rangel
2
99.4
2 BIP
Jul 1
@ PHI · Zack Wheeler
2
101.9
2 BIP
Jun 30
@ PHI · Cristopher Sánchez
2
105.8
2 BIP
Jun 29
@ PHI · Aaron Nola
3
96.8
3 BIP
Jun 28
vs CIN · Brady Singer
2
103.4
2 BIP
Jun 27
vs CIN · Chase Burns
2
93.6
2 BIP
Jun 26
vs CIN · Andrew Abbott
4
103.2
4 BIP
Jun 25
vs SEA · Bryce Miller
1
82.4
1 BIP
Jun 24
vs SEA · Bryan Woo
3
109.0
3 BIP
Jun 23
vs SEA · George Kirby
3
101.1
3 BIP
Jun 21
@ COL · Michael Lorenzen
4
107.0
HR
4 BIP
Jun 20
@ COL · Tomoyuki Sugano
3
96.9
3 BIP
Jun 19
@ COL · Kyle Freeland
1
101.6
1 BIP
Jun 17
@ ATH · Aaron Civale
3
106.7
3 BIP
Jun 16
@ ATH · Jack Perkins
5
105.4
HR
5 BIP
Jun 15
@ ATH · J.T. Ginn
2
103.9
2 BIP
Jun 14
vs MIA · Max Meyer
3
106.2
HR
3 BIP
Jun 13
vs MIA · Lake Bachar
3
110.1
3 BIP
Jun 12
vs MIA · Sandy Alcantara
4
95.9
4 BIP
Jun 11
vs LAD · Justin Wrobleski
3
97.3
3 BIP
Jun 10
vs LAD · Shohei Ohtani
3
101.7
3 BIP
Jun 9
vs LAD · Eric Lauer
2
111.6
HR
2 BIP
Jun 7
@ ATL · Bryce Elder
2
87.3
2 BIP
Jun 6
@ ATL · Spencer Strider
4
108.5
4 BIP
Jun 5
@ ATL · Martín Pérez
3
92.5
3 BIP
Jun 4
@ HOU · Kai-Wei Teng
3
97.5
3 BIP
Jun 3
@ HOU · Spencer Arrighetti
3
110.1
3 BIP
Jun 2
@ HOU · Mike Burrows
2
102.9
2 BIP
May 31
vs MIN · Zebby Matthews
1
85.5
1 BIP
May 30
vs MIN · Bailey Ober
3
106.4
3 BIP
May 29
vs MIN · Taj Bradley
3
110.0
HR
3 BIP
May 28
vs CHC · Colin Rea
3
106.6
HR
3 BIP
May 27
vs CHC · Jameson Taillon
4
106.4
4 BIP
May 26
vs CHC · Jordan Wicks
4
110.4
4 BIP
May 25
vs CHC · Ben Brown
3
107.5
3 BIP
May 24
@ TOR · Dylan Cease
2
87.0
2 BIP
May 23
@ TOR · Patrick Corbin
2
113.7
2 BIP
May 22
@ TOR · Kevin Gausman
1
103.1
1 BIP
May 21
@ STL · Dustin May
2
70.5
2 BIP
May 20
@ STL · Michael McGreevy
4
94.8
4 BIP
May 19
@ STL · Matthew Liberatore
3
107.2
3 BIP
May 17
vs PHI · Zack Wheeler
4
97.4
4 BIP
May 16
vs PHI · Cristopher Sánchez
4
106.6
4 BIP
May 15
vs PHI · Aaron Nola
5
104.0
5 BIP
May 14
vs COL · Chase Dollander
4
98.4
4 BIP
May 13
vs COL · Jose Quintana
4
96.4
4 BIP
May 12
vs COL · Michael Lorenzen
3
87.8
3 BIP
May 10
@ SF · Tyler Mahle
1
82.9
1 BIP
May 9
@ SF · Landen Roupp
3
105.8
3 BIP
May 7
@ AZ · Zac Gallen
3
108.4
3 BIP
May 6
@ AZ · Michael Soroka
3
106.9
3 BIP
May 5
@ AZ · Eduardo Rodriguez
2
92.5
2 BIP
May 3
vs CIN · Chase Burns
1
99.8
1 BIP
May 2
vs CIN · Rhett Lowder
2
81.6
2 BIP
May 1
vs CIN · Brady Singer
3
108.1
HR
3 BIP
Apr 30
vs STL · Hunter Dobbins
3
101.1
3 BIP
Apr 29
vs STL · Andre Pallante
2
100.0
2 BIP
Apr 28
vs STL · Kyle Leahy
2
104.8
2 BIP
Apr 27
vs STL · Dustin May
4
101.4
4 BIP
Apr 26
@ MIL · Kyle Harrison
1
80.0
1 BIP
Apr 25
@ MIL · Jacob Misiorowski
1
102.3
1 BIP
Apr 24
@ MIL · Brandon Woodruff
1
92.3
1 BIP
Apr 23
@ TEX · Jacob deGrom
2
102.6
2 BIP
Apr 22
@ TEX · Jack Leiter
5
107.6
5 BIP
Apr 19
vs TB · Shane McClanahan
3
95.6
3 BIP
Apr 18
vs TB · Drew Rasmussen
2
86.4
2 BIP
Apr 17
vs TB · Nick Martinez
2
89.7
2 BIP
Apr 12
@ CHC · Jameson Taillon
3
91.3
3 BIP
Apr 11
@ CHC · Edward Cabrera
4
109.5
4 BIP
Apr 10
@ CHC · Shota Imanaga
3
106.1
HR
3 BIP
Apr 8
vs SD · Michael King
2
99.5
2 BIP
Apr 7
vs SD · Nick Pivetta
2
105.8
2 BIP
Apr 6
vs SD · Germán Márquez
2
106.6
2 BIP
Apr 5
vs BAL · Chris Bassitt
3
104.9
3 BIP
Apr 4
vs BAL · Shane Baz
3
103.8
3 BIP
Apr 1
@ CIN · Andrew Abbott
4
107.7
HR
4 BIP
Mar 31
@ CIN · Brandon Williamson
3
106.1
HR
3 BIP
Mar 30
@ CIN · Chase Burns
3
94.6
3 BIP
Mar 29
@ NYM · Nolan McLean
2
105.1
2 BIP
Mar 28
@ NYM · David Peterson
3
91.1
3 BIP
Mar 26
@ NYM · Freddy Peralta
2
97.0
2 BIP
Ballpark
Busch Stadium · open-air
Park Factor
0.828
Wind
9 mph from SSW
Temp
85°F
Roof
Open
TimeWindTempFIT
1:15p
9 ↖
85°
+3
2:15p
9 ↖
87°
+3
3:15p
10 ↖
89°
+3
4:15p
10 ↖
90°
+3
5:15p
9 ↖
89°
+2
+3
Neutral alignment
true spray · live hourly FIT · open-air wind signal
HIT LOCATIONS'25–'26
Game-window avg wind · blowing out to oppo (from SSW)
TONIGHT
board — not posted yet
next game Sun 8/30
Dueness now
5.80×
overdue — gap ÷ cadence
Cadence
5 gm
median between HRs, game-days
Current gap
29 gm
since his last HR, Jul 28
Season
14 HR
130 games · 0 HR last 14d
Rhythm tightness
his gaps between HRs, in game-days — tight columns = metronome, spread = streaky
one dot per gap · 13 gaps · median 5 gm · MAD ± 4 gm · now marker = current gap
SunMonTueWedThuFriSat
Rhythm observation, not a prediction — the “g+n” counters and crossing marks only read his own history. See tonight’s board for the model’s actual ranking. Model picks · For entertainment.
Score Breakdown
Base 41 → 41
ISO (Power)
Barrel Matchup
Pitcher FIP
season hr rate
HR/FB Matchup
Exit Velocity
recent hr density 14d
Park Factor
Common questions about Bryan Reynolds
Will Bryan Reynolds hit a home run today?
Bryan Reynolds is on today's TheHomeRuns slate, ranked #118 among tonight's scored batters for home run likelihood, facing Matthew Liberatore at Busch Stadium. That's a model ranking, not a prediction of a certain outcome — even the model's top-ranked bats homer in roughly one of five games. Not gambling advice.
How often does Bryan Reynolds hit home runs?
Across 130 scored games this season, Bryan Reynolds has 14 home runs — one every 9.3 games, or about 11% of his scored games.
Has Bryan Reynolds homered off Matthew Liberatore before?
Yes — Bryan Reynolds has taken Matthew Liberatore deep 1 time in 15 career plate appearances against him.
Model output for entertainment and research. Not gambling advice.