2026
Brice Matthews

Brice Matthews

HOU · 46 appearances tracked
5 HRs
10.9% HR Rate
23.4% Avg HR/FB
87.9 Avg EV
0.159 ISO
#15 Best Rank
as of 2026-10-17
HR Profile Season-to-date · live-tape thresholds
No HR profile for this matchup yet. The percentile ladder populates once this batter is on a scored slate.
Pitch Analysis season · as of 2026-10-17
Pitch Seen Barrel% HR K%
Fastball 59.7%
13.5%
7
25.9%
Breaking 25.3%
0.0%
0
37.3%
Offspeed 15.0%
0.0%
0
45.7%
All 100% 8.5% 7 31.8%
Barrel vs. Whiff BRL K
Fastball Breaking Offspeed
Crushes the fastball — whiffs climb on breaking & offspeed. K% shown per family; true swing-whiff pending.
Batter vs. Pitcher head-to-head
NO SAMPLE · 0 PA
—
AVG
—
SLG
—
HR
No probable pitcher set for this matchup. Lean on the season profile and the modifiers below.
Modifiers 0 of 4 active
Ballpark — Pitcher form — Platoon — Weather —
Edge by rate · batter ● vs pitcher-allowed ●
K% 31.8 vs —
31.8
Batter rates are season-to-date; pitcher-allowed shown where tracked.
HR Days 5 this season · avg 366 ft
Date Opp · Pitcher Pitch EV Dist
May 6 Tyler Glasnow · Minute Maid Park — 104.9 366.0
HR by month
1
May
All Appearances 46 tracked · 5 HR · 8 top‑50
Date Opp · Pitcher BIP Max EV Result HR
Sep 20 vs ATL · Martín Pérez 2 79.8 2 BIP
Jul 12 @ TEX · MacKenzie Gore 0 — —
Jul 10 @ TEX · Cal Quantrill 3 83.7 3 BIP
Jul 8 @ WSH · Foster Griffin 3 92.7 3 BIP
Jul 7 @ WSH · Andrew Alvarez 2 96.9 2 BIP
Jul 6 @ WSH · Miles Mikolas 3 103.3 HR 3 BIP
Jun 27 @ DET · Framber Valdez 3 76.9 3 BIP
Jun 25 @ DET · Troy Melton 1 96.3 1 BIP
Jun 24 @ TOR · Trey Yesavage 1 98.4 1 BIP
Jun 23 @ TOR · TOR Bullpen Proxy 2 81.7 2 BIP
Jun 20 vs CLE · Joey Cantillo 2 86.2 2 BIP
Jun 16 vs DET · Framber Valdez 2 95.5 2 BIP
Jun 15 vs DET · Troy Melton 3 97.3 3 BIP
Jun 14 @ KC · Stephen Kolek 1 107.1 1 BIP
Jun 13 @ KC · Noah Cameron 4 105.3 HR 4 BIP
Jun 12 @ KC · Luinder Avila 1 107.5 HR 1 BIP
Jun 10 @ LAA · Reid Detmers 2 100.4 2 BIP
Jun 8 @ LAA · Grayson Rodriguez 2 56.5 2 BIP
Jun 7 vs ATH · Gage Jump 1 59.7 1 BIP
Jun 2 vs PIT · Bubba Chandler 3 96.8 3 BIP
May 28 @ TEX · Nathan Eovaldi 1 99.1 1 BIP
May 27 @ TEX · Jacob deGrom 3 99.5 3 BIP
May 26 @ TEX · Jack Leiter 2 93.9 2 BIP
May 24 @ CHC · Shota Imanaga 3 98.8 3 BIP
May 23 @ CHC · Colin Rea 4 104.7 4 BIP
May 22 @ CHC · Jameson Taillon 1 108.7 1 BIP
May 20 @ MIN · Joe Ryan 0 — —
May 18 @ MIN · Kendry Rojas 2 79.6 2 BIP
May 17 vs TEX · Nathan Eovaldi 3 89.8 3 BIP
May 16 vs TEX · Jacob deGrom 3 106.0 3 BIP
May 15 vs TEX · Jack Leiter 3 101.9 3 BIP
May 14 vs SEA · Luis Castillo 3 90.5 3 BIP
May 13 vs SEA · Bryce Miller 4 106.9 4 BIP
May 12 vs SEA · Bryan Woo 4 106.2 4 BIP
May 11 vs SEA · George Kirby 1 99.0 1 BIP
May 10 @ CIN · Andrew Abbott 3 97.7 3 BIP
May 9 @ CIN · Chase Burns 3 74.5 3 BIP
May 6 vs LAD · Tyler Glasnow 2 104.9 HR 2 BIP
May 5 vs LAD · Shohei Ohtani 0 — —
May 4 vs LAD · Yoshinobu Yamamoto 2 98.5 2 BIP
May 3 @ BOS · Ranger Suarez 4 97.5 4 BIP
May 2 @ BOS · Connelly Early 2 104.9 HR 2 BIP
Apr 30 @ BAL · Chris Bassitt 6 103.7 6 BIP
Apr 29 @ BAL · Chris Bassitt 0 — —
Apr 25 vs NYY · Ryan Weathers 2 91.3 2 BIP
Apr 24 vs NYY · Will Warren 2 108.9 2 BIP
Ballpark park factor · wind · spray
Ballpark conditions unavailable — this batter isn’t on a scored slate with park & weather inputs.
August 2026
All batters →
TONIGHT board — not posted yet next game —
Dueness now
0.56×
not yet due — gap ÷ cadence
Cadence
9 gm
median between HRs, game-days
Current gap
5 gm
since his last HR, Jul 6
Season
5 HR
46 games · 0 HR last 14d
Rhythm tightness
his gaps between HRs, in game-days — tight columns = metronome, spread = streaky
one dot per gap · 4 gaps · median 9 gm · MAD ± 6.5 gm · now marker = current gap
SunMonTueWedThuFriSat

Rhythm observation, not a prediction — the “g+n” counters and crossing marks only read his own history. See tonight’s board for the model’s actual ranking. Model picks · For entertainment.

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Six home runs to freedom

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Common questions about Brice Matthews

Will Brice Matthews hit a home run today?

Brice Matthews is not on today's TheHomeRuns slate. This season he has homered 5 times in 46 scored games (about 11% of games). Check back when he next appears on the daily board.

How often does Brice Matthews hit home runs?

Across 46 scored games this season, Brice Matthews has 5 home runs — one every 9.2 games, or about 11% of his scored games.

Model output for entertainment and research. Not gambling advice.

THR 3.3.180 · build 681
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