Brandon Nimmo
LHB
TEX
· 125 appearances tracked
13
HRs
10.4%
HR Rate
15.6%
Avg HR/FB
91.9
Avg EV
0.167
ISO
#20
Best Rank
HR Profile
Season-to-date · live-tape thresholds
ISO0.156
Avg EV92.1
Barrel%8.3%
HR/FB vs RHP12.0%
Avg HR Dist403
Match%8.0%
Season HR%
10.4%
14D Pace
8.3%
Pitch Analysis
season · as of 2026-08-30
Pitch
Seen
Barrel%
HR
K%
Fastball
57.8%
6
Breaking
27.7%
6
Offspeed
14.5%
1
All
100%
10.1%
13
21.5%
Barrel vs. Whiff
BRL
K
Fastball
Breaking
Offspeed
Barrel & whiff rates by pitch family.
K% shown per family; true swing-whiff pending.
Batter vs. Pitcher
vs Dustin May · RHP · TEX
SMALL SAMPLE · 9 PA · since 2023
.250
AVG
.375
SLG
0
HR
2-for-8 and 1 walk across 9 plate appearances since 2023. Thin sample — lean on the season profile.
Modifiers
2 of 4 active
American Family Neutral
Pitcher form Steady
Platoon Edge
Weather +2
Edge by rate
· batter ●
vs pitcher-allowed ●
Barrel%
8.3
vs
—
HR/FB
12.0
vs
12.2 ▼ risk
K%
21.5
vs
—
Batter rates are season-to-date; pitcher-allowed shown where tracked. HR/FB compared head-to-head.
HR Days
13 this season · avg 434 ft
Date
Opp · Pitcher
Pitch
EV
Dist
Aug 9
vs BAL · Cade Povich
—
107.1
434
HR by month
Aug
All Appearances
125 tracked · 13 HR · 18 top‑50
Date
Opp · Pitcher
BIP
Max EV
Result
HR
Aug 29
@ MIL · Shane Drohan
4
107.7
HR
4 BIP
Aug 28
@ MIL · Logan Henderson
1
86.6
1 BIP
Aug 26
@ CWS · Sean Burke
4
107.6
4 BIP
Aug 25
@ CWS · Anthony Kay
3
99.8
3 BIP
Aug 24
@ CWS · José Urquidy
3
107.8
3 BIP
Aug 23
vs LAA · Yusei Kikuchi
3
103.6
3 BIP
Aug 22
vs LAA · Ryan Johnson
3
105.0
3 BIP
Aug 21
vs LAA · Reid Detmers
3
100.1
3 BIP
Aug 20
vs WSH · Andrew Alvarez
3
84.0
3 BIP
Aug 19
vs WSH · Cade Cavalli
3
100.0
3 BIP
Aug 18
vs WSH · WSH Bullpen Proxy
4
106.1
4 BIP
Aug 16
@ ATH · Jacob Lopez
2
96.3
2 BIP
Aug 15
@ ATH · J.T. Ginn
4
107.8
4 BIP
Aug 14
@ ATH · ATH Bullpen Proxy
4
103.4
4 BIP
Aug 13
@ LAA · Walbert Ureña
2
91.7
2 BIP
Aug 12
@ LAA · George Klassen
3
93.7
3 BIP
Aug 11
@ LAA · Ryan Johnson
3
105.1
3 BIP
Aug 10
@ LAA · Reid Detmers
3
105.8
3 BIP
Aug 9
vs BAL · Cade Povich
3
107.1
HR
3 BIP
Aug 8
vs BAL · Kyle Bradish
2
100.3
2 BIP
Aug 7
vs BAL · Shane Baz
3
97.7
3 BIP
Aug 5
vs SF · Carson Whisenhunt
3
97.6
HR
3 BIP
Aug 4
vs SF · Blade Tidwell
4
101.9
4 BIP
Aug 3
vs SF · Logan Webb
3
95.0
3 BIP
Aug 2
@ HOU · Peter Lambert
2
103.2
HR
2 BIP
Aug 1
@ HOU · Ronel Blanco
3
85.8
3 BIP
Jul 31
@ HOU · Hunter Brown
3
83.4
3 BIP
Jul 30
@ TB · Shane McClanahan
2
108.1
2 BIP
Jul 29
@ TB · Casey Legumina
3
100.3
3 BIP
Jul 28
@ TB · Griffin Jax
2
97.0
2 BIP
Jul 27
vs SEA · George Kirby
2
106.8
2 BIP
Jul 26
vs SEA · Logan Gilbert
3
90.5
3 BIP
Jul 25
vs SEA · Bryan Woo
3
104.3
3 BIP
Jul 24
vs SEA · Bryce Miller
3
100.3
3 BIP
Jul 22
vs CWS · Anthony Kay
3
93.8
3 BIP
Jul 21
vs CWS · Noah Schultz
4
97.5
HR
4 BIP
Jul 20
vs CWS · Erick Fedde
1
105.5
1 BIP
Jul 19
@ ATL · Grant Holmes
2
85.6
2 BIP
Jul 18
@ ATL · ATL Bullpen Proxy
3
109.4
3 BIP
Jul 17
@ ATL · Chris Sale
3
95.2
3 BIP
Jul 12
vs HOU · Cristian Javier
5
102.3
5 BIP
Jul 11
vs HOU · Peter Lambert
0
—
—
Jul 10
vs HOU · Hunter Brown
3
105.2
3 BIP
Jul 9
vs LAA · Reid Detmers
4
106.0
HR
4 BIP
Jul 8
vs LAA · Walbert Ureña
1
96.8
1 BIP
Jul 7
vs LAA · José Soriano
2
89.5
2 BIP
Jul 5
vs DET · Casey Mize
3
107.0
3 BIP
Jul 4
vs DET · Jack Flaherty
3
102.4
3 BIP
Jun 28
@ TOR · TOR Bullpen Proxy
2
95.4
2 BIP
Jun 27
@ TOR · Dylan Cease
3
104.3
3 BIP
Jun 26
@ TOR · Patrick Corbin
3
98.7
3 BIP
Jun 25
@ TOR · Kevin Gausman
2
107.7
2 BIP
Jun 24
@ MIA · Eury Pérez
3
103.8
3 BIP
Jun 23
@ MIA · Sandy Alcantara
3
110.5
HR
3 BIP
Jun 22
@ MIA · Tyler Phillips
3
107.5
3 BIP
Jun 21
vs SD · Wandy Peralta
4
108.9
4 BIP
Jun 20
vs SD · Walker Buehler
3
105.0
3 BIP
Jun 19
vs SD · Randy Vásquez
4
105.8
4 BIP
Jun 18
vs MIN · Joe Ryan
5
103.0
5 BIP
Jun 16
vs MIN · Zebby Matthews
3
103.6
3 BIP
Jun 15
vs MIN · Mike Paredes
2
103.9
2 BIP
Jun 14
@ BOS · Connelly Early
5
105.6
5 BIP
Jun 12
@ BOS · Sonny Gray
1
75.8
1 BIP
Jun 11
@ KC · Michael Wacha
4
110.2
4 BIP
Jun 10
@ KC · Seth Lugo
6
106.6
6 BIP
Jun 9
@ KC · Stephen Kolek
3
104.5
3 BIP
Jun 7
vs CLE · Joey Cantillo
3
96.0
3 BIP
Jun 6
vs CLE · Tanner Bibee
2
102.4
2 BIP
Jun 5
vs CLE · Parker Messick
2
81.4
2 BIP
Jun 3
@ STL · Andre Pallante
4
95.7
4 BIP
Jun 2
@ STL · Dustin May
1
99.4
1 BIP
Jun 1
@ STL · Michael McGreevy
3
103.9
3 BIP
May 31
vs KC · Michael Wacha
1
91.1
1 BIP
May 30
vs KC · Seth Lugo
4
104.6
4 BIP
May 29
vs KC · Stephen Kolek
2
108.1
HR
2 BIP
May 28
vs HOU · Spencer Arrighetti
3
94.1
3 BIP
May 27
vs HOU · Mike Burrows
3
85.2
3 BIP
May 26
vs HOU · Jason Alexander
4
105.9
4 BIP
May 25
vs HOU · Tatsuya Imai
1
96.3
1 BIP
May 24
@ LAA · Reid Detmers
1
86.2
1 BIP
May 22
@ LAA · Grayson Rodriguez
4
108.7
HR
4 BIP
May 20
@ COL · Kyle Freeland
3
97.2
3 BIP
May 19
@ COL · Sammy Peralta
3
107.7
HR
3 BIP
May 18
@ COL · Jose Quintana
2
68.9
2 BIP
May 17
@ HOU · Peter Lambert
4
101.6
4 BIP
May 16
@ HOU · Kai-Wei Teng
3
102.8
3 BIP
May 15
@ HOU · Spencer Arrighetti
3
97.1
3 BIP
May 13
vs AZ · Ryne Nelson
2
90.1
2 BIP
May 12
vs AZ · Zac Gallen
4
108.3
4 BIP
May 11
vs AZ · Michael Soroka
3
105.0
3 BIP
May 10
vs CHC · Jameson Taillon
4
101.8
4 BIP
May 9
vs CHC · Edward Cabrera
2
97.8
2 BIP
May 8
vs CHC · Ben Brown
2
101.5
2 BIP
May 7
@ NYY · Paul Blackburn
5
108.6
5 BIP
May 6
@ NYY · Will Warren
2
104.2
2 BIP
May 5
@ NYY · Elmer Rodríguez
0
—
—
May 3
@ DET · Tyler Holton
2
101.7
2 BIP
May 2
@ DET · Keider Montero
0
—
—
May 1
@ DET · Jack Flaherty
2
103.2
2 BIP
Apr 29
vs NYY · Elmer Rodríguez
2
94.8
2 BIP
Apr 28
vs NYY · Cam Schlittler
3
96.5
3 BIP
Apr 27
vs NYY · Max Fried
4
109.0
4 BIP
Apr 26
vs ATH · J.T. Ginn
4
104.6
4 BIP
Apr 25
vs ATH · Jeffrey Springs
4
102.9
4 BIP
Apr 24
vs ATH · Luis Severino
3
105.5
3 BIP
Apr 23
vs PIT · Bubba Chandler
2
102.3
2 BIP
Apr 22
vs PIT · Braxton Ashcraft
3
108.3
3 BIP
Apr 19
@ SEA · Bryan Woo
4
106.5
4 BIP
Apr 18
@ SEA · George Kirby
4
98.4
4 BIP
Apr 17
@ SEA · Logan Gilbert
2
102.6
HR
2 BIP
Apr 16
@ ATH · Jacob Lopez
4
103.2
4 BIP
Apr 14
vs NYM · Yoshinobu Yamamoto
4
106.4
4 BIP
Apr 11
vs ATH · Jacob Lopez
4
105.7
HR
4 BIP
Apr 10
@ LAD · Tyler Glasnow
2
100.9
2 BIP
Apr 9
vs AZ · Eduardo Rodriguez
0
—
—
Apr 8
vs AZ · Ryne Nelson
4
104.5
4 BIP
Apr 7
vs AZ · Zac Gallen
4
104.4
4 BIP
Apr 5
vs NYM · Logan Webb
2
92.0
2 BIP
Apr 4
vs NYM · Landen Roupp
2
91.9
2 BIP
Apr 2
vs NYM · Robbie Ray
0
—
—
Apr 1
vs NYM · Matthew Liberatore
2
104.1
2 BIP
Mar 31
vs NYM · Andre Pallante
4
103.6
4 BIP
Mar 30
vs NYM · Kyle Leahy
4
100.8
4 BIP
Mar 29
@ PHI · Jesús Luzardo
4
103.7
HR
4 BIP
Mar 26
vs PIT · Paul Skenes
2
98.6
2 BIP
Ballpark
American Family Field · open-air
Park Factor
0.911
Wind
13 mph from SW
Temp
77°F
Roof
Retractable
TimeWindTempFIT
1:10p
13 ←
77°
+1
2:10p
12 ←
79°
+0
3:10p
12 ←
80°
+0
4:10p
11 ←
81°
-1
5:10p
9 ←
79°
-4
-1
Neutral alignment
true spray · live hourly FIT · open-air wind signal
HIT LOCATIONS'25–'26
Game-window avg wind · blowing across to oppo (from SW)
TONIGHT
board — not posted yet
next game Sun 8/30
Dueness now
0.00×
not yet due — gap ÷ cadence
Cadence
10 gm
median between HRs, game-days
Current gap
0 gm
since his last HR, Aug 29
Season
13 HR
125 games · 1 HR last 14d
Rhythm tightness
his gaps between HRs, in game-days — tight columns = metronome, spread = streaky
one dot per gap · 12 gaps · median 10 gm · MAD ± 7.0 gm · now marker = current gap
SunMonTueWedThuFriSat
Rhythm observation, not a prediction — the “g+n” counters and crossing marks only read his own history. See tonight’s board for the model’s actual ranking. Model picks · For entertainment.
Score Breakdown
Base 39 → 39
ISO (Power)
Barrel Matchup
season hr rate
Park Factor
Exit Velocity
Pitcher FIP
HR/FB Matchup
recent hr density 14d
Common questions about Brandon Nimmo
Will Brandon Nimmo hit a home run today?
Brandon Nimmo is on today's TheHomeRuns slate, ranked #133 among tonight's scored batters for home run likelihood, facing Dustin May at American Family Field. That's a model ranking, not a prediction of a certain outcome — even the model's top-ranked bats homer in roughly one of five games. Not gambling advice.
How often does Brandon Nimmo hit home runs?
Across 125 scored games this season, Brandon Nimmo has 13 home runs — one every 9.6 games, or about 10% of his scored games.
Has Brandon Nimmo homered off Dustin May before?
Not yet — Brandon Nimmo has faced Dustin May 9 times without a home run.
Model output for entertainment and research. Not gambling advice.