Alex Bregman
CHC
· 154 appearances tracked
21
HRs
13.6%
HR Rate
16.1%
Avg HR/FB
88.6
Avg EV
0.143
ISO
#25
Best Rank
HR Profile
Season-to-date · live-tape thresholds
No HR profile for this matchup yet.
The percentile ladder populates once this batter is on a scored slate.
Pitch Analysis
season · as of 2026-10-17
Pitch
Seen
Barrel%
HR
K%
Fastball
59.9%
11
Breaking
30.5%
14
Offspeed
9.5%
2
All
100%
6.3%
27
14.7%
Barrel vs. Whiff
BRL
K
Fastball
Breaking
Offspeed
Barrel & whiff rates by pitch family.
K% shown per family; true swing-whiff pending.
Batter vs. Pitcher
head-to-head
NO SAMPLE · 0 PA
—
AVG
—
SLG
—
HR
No probable pitcher set for this matchup. Lean on the season profile and the modifiers below.
Modifiers
0 of 4 active
Ballpark —
Pitcher form —
Platoon —
Weather —
Edge by rate
· batter ●
vs pitcher-allowed ●
K%
14.7
vs
—
Batter rates are season-to-date; pitcher-allowed shown where tracked.
HR Days
21 this season · avg 376 ft
Date
Opp · Pitcher
Pitch
EV
Dist
Sep 16
vs ATL · JR Ritchie
—
105.4
376
HR by month
Sep
All Appearances
154 tracked · 21 HR · 12 top‑50
Date
Opp · Pitcher
BIP
Max EV
Result
HR
Sep 27
@ BOS · BOS Bullpen Proxy
4
104.0
HR
4 BIP
Sep 25
@ BOS · Alec Gamboa
3
97.0
3 BIP
Sep 20
@ CIN · Rhett Lowder
1
96.1
1 BIP
Sep 19
@ CIN · Nick Lodolo
3
90.9
3 BIP
Sep 18
@ CIN · Chase Burns
5
103.6
5 BIP
Sep 16
vs ATL · JR Ritchie
4
105.4
HR
4 BIP
Sep 15
vs ATL · Martín Pérez
2
88.1
2 BIP
Sep 14
vs ATL · Reynaldo López
4
89.4
4 BIP
Sep 13
vs PIT · Bubba Chandler
3
93.2
3 BIP
Sep 12
vs PIT · Paul Skenes
2
89.4
2 BIP
Sep 11
vs PIT · Wilber Dotel
4
102.4
HR
4 BIP
Sep 9
@ MIL · Logan Henderson
2
99.6
2 BIP
Sep 8
@ MIL · Jacob Misiorowski
5
100.9
5 BIP
Sep 7
@ MIL · Robert Gasser
3
102.9
3 BIP
Sep 6
@ MIA · Tyler Phillips
2
92.8
2 BIP
Sep 5
@ MIA · Ryan Gusto
2
89.9
2 BIP
Sep 4
@ MIA · Janson Junk
4
99.5
4 BIP
Sep 3
vs MIL · Logan Henderson
3
104.2
3 BIP
Sep 2
vs MIL · Jacob Misiorowski
4
105.5
HR
4 BIP
Sep 1
vs MIL · Robert Gasser
3
97.1
3 BIP
Aug 31
vs MIL · Kyle Harrison
6
100.6
HR
6 BIP
Aug 30
vs CIN · Chase Burns
3
97.5
3 BIP
Aug 29
vs CIN · Andrew Abbott
5
102.3
HR
5 BIP
Aug 28
vs CIN · Rhett Lowder
4
99.2
4 BIP
Aug 26
@ AZ · Eduardo Rodriguez
3
93.5
3 BIP
Aug 25
@ AZ · Brandon Pfaadt
3
69.7
3 BIP
Aug 24
@ AZ · Merrill Kelly
5
102.0
5 BIP
Aug 23
@ SEA · Bryce Miller
3
80.5
3 BIP
Aug 22
@ SEA · SEA Bullpen Proxy
2
104.7
HR
2 BIP
Aug 21
@ SEA · Emerson Hancock
4
102.6
HR
4 BIP
Aug 19
vs CWS · Sean Newcomb
3
101.5
3 BIP
Aug 18
vs CWS · Bryan Hudson
5
97.6
5 BIP
Aug 17
vs CWS · Luis Castillo
4
101.1
4 BIP
Aug 16
vs STL · Hunter Dobbins
3
92.4
3 BIP
Aug 15
vs STL · Michael McGreevy
3
97.9
3 BIP
Aug 14
vs STL · Matthew Liberatore
3
95.3
3 BIP
Aug 13
@ WSH · Cade Cavalli
2
98.8
2 BIP
Aug 12
@ WSH · WSH Bullpen Proxy
3
98.4
HR
3 BIP
Aug 11
@ WSH · Jake Irvin
3
104.1
HR
3 BIP
Aug 9
@ KC · Randy Dobnak
5
101.0
5 BIP
Aug 8
@ KC · Seth Lugo
3
106.5
3 BIP
Aug 7
@ KC · Daniel Lynch IV
4
96.0
4 BIP
Aug 6
vs TOR · Dylan Cease
3
99.7
HR
3 BIP
Aug 5
vs LAD · Eric Lauer
5
99.8
5 BIP
Aug 4
vs LAD · Tarik Skubal
4
96.8
4 BIP
Aug 3
vs LAD · Justin Wrobleski
2
103.2
2 BIP
Aug 2
vs NYY · Gerrit Cole
3
100.9
3 BIP
Aug 1
vs NYY · Max Fried
2
99.2
2 BIP
Jul 31
vs NYY · Will Warren
4
101.3
4 BIP
Jul 30
@ STL · Andre Pallante
4
102.9
4 BIP
Jul 29
@ STL · Dustin May
3
101.2
3 BIP
Jul 28
@ STL · Michael McGreevy
4
98.0
4 BIP
Jul 27
@ STL · Matthew Liberatore
5
100.0
HR
5 BIP
Jul 25
@ PIT · Paul Skenes
3
95.0
3 BIP
Jul 24
@ PIT · Jared Jones
3
84.5
3 BIP
Jul 22
vs DET · Keider Montero
2
76.9
2 BIP
Jul 21
vs DET · Framber Valdez
4
95.9
4 BIP
Jul 20
vs DET · Jack Flaherty
3
93.7
3 BIP
Jul 19
vs MIN · Zebby Matthews
4
101.4
HR
4 BIP
Jul 18
vs MIN · Taj Bradley
2
98.4
2 BIP
Jul 17
vs MIN · Bailey Ober
1
90.2
1 BIP
Jul 12
@ CIN · Andrew Abbott
5
102.3
HR
5 BIP
Jul 11
@ CIN · Nick Lodolo
4
93.4
HR
4 BIP
Jul 10
@ CIN · Hunter Greene
1
87.4
1 BIP
Jul 9
@ BAL · Trevor Rogers
3
100.8
3 BIP
Jul 8
@ BAL · Dean Kremer
5
103.0
5 BIP
Jul 7
@ BAL · Shane Baz
5
96.8
5 BIP
Jul 5
vs STL · Matthew Liberatore
3
95.1
3 BIP
Jul 4
vs STL · Kyle Leahy
2
96.8
2 BIP
Jul 3
vs STL · Andre Pallante
4
97.8
4 BIP
Jul 1
vs SD · Walker Buehler
5
103.4
5 BIP
Jun 30
vs SD · JP Sears
3
100.9
HR
3 BIP
Jun 29
vs SD · Griffin Canning
4
102.2
4 BIP
Jun 28
@ MIL · Brandon Woodruff
3
93.7
3 BIP
Jun 27
@ MIL · Kyle Harrison
3
100.9
3 BIP
Jun 26
@ MIL · Jacob Misiorowski
2
100.0
2 BIP
Jun 25
@ NYM · Freddy Peralta
3
98.7
3 BIP
Jun 24
@ NYM · Sean Manaea
2
96.6
2 BIP
Jun 23
@ NYM · Kodai Senga
4
95.2
4 BIP
Jun 22
@ NYM · Kodai Senga
0
—
—
Jun 21
vs TOR · Dylan Cease
0
—
—
Jun 20
vs TOR · Patrick Corbin
4
84.6
4 BIP
Jun 19
vs TOR · Kevin Gausman
4
97.8
4 BIP
Jun 17
vs COL · COL Bullpen Proxy
2
95.3
2 BIP
Jun 16
vs COL · Ryan Feltner
1
88.3
1 BIP
Jun 15
vs COL · Michael Lorenzen
4
99.3
4 BIP
Jun 14
@ SF · Logan Webb
4
99.0
4 BIP
Jun 13
@ SF · Trevor McDonald
4
100.4
4 BIP
Jun 12
@ SF · Landen Roupp
3
96.0
3 BIP
Jun 11
@ COL · Ryan Feltner
3
103.5
HR
3 BIP
Jun 10
@ COL · Michael Lorenzen
2
74.0
2 BIP
Jun 9
@ COL · Tomoyuki Sugano
4
100.6
4 BIP
Jun 7
vs SF · Trevor McDonald
4
97.5
4 BIP
Jun 6
vs SF · Landen Roupp
1
86.9
1 BIP
Jun 5
vs SF · Robbie Ray
4
87.2
4 BIP
Jun 4
vs ATH · J.T. Ginn
3
94.2
3 BIP
Jun 3
vs ATH · Jeffrey Springs
4
93.5
4 BIP
Jun 2
vs ATH · Gage Jump
3
92.7
3 BIP
May 31
@ STL · Matthew Liberatore
3
100.5
HR
3 BIP
May 30
@ STL · Kyle Leahy
3
98.4
3 BIP
May 29
@ STL · Andre Pallante
4
106.4
4 BIP
May 28
@ PIT · Paul Skenes
4
92.6
4 BIP
May 27
@ PIT · Bubba Chandler
5
97.6
5 BIP
May 26
@ PIT · Braxton Ashcraft
3
95.8
3 BIP
May 25
@ PIT · Carmen Mlodzinski
3
105.6
3 BIP
May 24
vs HOU · Peter Lambert
3
96.1
3 BIP
May 23
vs HOU · Kai-Wei Teng
4
96.8
4 BIP
May 22
vs HOU · Spencer Arrighetti
3
95.2
3 BIP
May 20
vs MIL · Kyle Harrison
3
92.4
3 BIP
May 19
vs MIL · Jacob Misiorowski
2
91.2
2 BIP
May 18
vs MIL · Brandon Sproat
3
99.8
3 BIP
May 17
@ CWS · Erick Fedde
5
96.4
5 BIP
May 16
@ CWS · Davis Martin
2
104.2
2 BIP
May 15
@ CWS · Sean Burke
5
103.7
5 BIP
May 14
@ ATL · Chris Sale
3
103.1
3 BIP
May 13
@ ATL · JR Ritchie
3
102.1
3 BIP
May 12
@ ATL · Grant Holmes
4
102.0
HR
4 BIP
May 10
@ TEX · Jacob deGrom
0
—
—
May 9
@ TEX · Jack Leiter
2
97.6
2 BIP
May 8
@ TEX · Kumar Rocker
2
76.3
2 BIP
May 7
vs CIN · Rhett Lowder
3
88.6
3 BIP
May 6
vs CIN · Brady Singer
2
98.8
2 BIP
May 5
vs CIN · Andrew Abbott
4
102.1
4 BIP
May 4
vs CIN · Chase Petty
3
106.0
3 BIP
May 3
vs AZ · Merrill Kelly
3
75.4
3 BIP
May 2
vs AZ · Ryne Nelson
2
97.5
2 BIP
May 1
vs AZ · Zac Gallen
4
99.3
4 BIP
Apr 29
@ SD · Matt Waldron
3
96.6
3 BIP
Apr 28
@ SD · Walker Buehler
2
101.3
2 BIP
Apr 27
@ SD · Randy Vásquez
3
104.0
3 BIP
Apr 26
@ LAD · Justin Wrobleski
3
103.3
3 BIP
Apr 25
@ LAD · Roki Sasaki
2
96.8
2 BIP
Apr 24
@ LAD · Emmet Sheehan
3
107.3
HR
3 BIP
Apr 23
vs PHI · Cristopher Sánchez
4
96.8
4 BIP
Apr 22
vs PHI · Kyle Backhus
5
101.5
5 BIP
Apr 21
vs PHI · Jesús Luzardo
4
102.3
4 BIP
Apr 20
vs PHI · Aaron Nola
3
102.6
3 BIP
Apr 19
vs NYM · Tobias Myers
3
91.5
3 BIP
Apr 18
vs NYM · Freddy Peralta
4
104.6
4 BIP
Apr 17
vs NYM · Kodai Senga
4
93.8
4 BIP
Apr 15
@ PHI · Jesús Luzardo
1
96.6
1 BIP
Apr 11
vs BOS · Kyle Leahy
5
100.2
5 BIP
Apr 10
vs PIT · Carmen Mlodzinski
4
99.4
4 BIP
Apr 8
vs MIL · Shane Drohan
1
100.3
1 BIP
Apr 7
vs MIL · Jacob Misiorowski
5
101.0
5 BIP
Apr 6
vs MIL · Brandon Woodruff
3
83.5
3 BIP
Apr 5
vs SD · Walker Buehler
7
100.4
7 BIP
Apr 4
vs SD · Randy Vásquez
0
—
—
Apr 1
vs BOS · Mike Burrows
3
103.3
3 BIP
Mar 31
vs BOS · Hunter Brown
4
104.9
4 BIP
Mar 30
vs BOS · Lance McCullers Jr.
4
105.6
4 BIP
Mar 29
vs WSH · Jake Irvin
4
103.8
HR
4 BIP
Mar 28
vs BOS · Brady Singer
4
108.3
4 BIP
Mar 26
vs BOS · Andrew Abbott
3
102.0
3 BIP
Ballpark
park factor · wind · spray
Ballpark conditions unavailable — this batter isn’t on a scored slate with park & weather inputs.
TONIGHT
board — not posted yet
next game —
Dueness now
0.00×
not yet due — gap ÷ cadence
Cadence
6 gm
median between HRs, game-days
Current gap
0 gm
since his last HR, Sep 27
Season
21 HR
154 games · 0 HR last 14d
Rhythm tightness
his gaps between HRs, in game-days — tight columns = metronome, spread = streaky
one dot per gap · 20 gaps · median 6 gm · MAD ± 3.5 gm · now marker = current gap
SunMonTueWedThuFriSat
Rhythm observation, not a prediction — the “g+n” counters and crossing marks only read his own history. See tonight’s board for the model’s actual ranking. Model picks · For entertainment.
Common questions about Alex Bregman
Will Alex Bregman hit a home run today?
Alex Bregman is not on today's TheHomeRuns slate. This season he has homered 21 times in 154 scored games (about 14% of games). Check back when he next appears on the daily board.
How often does Alex Bregman hit home runs?
Across 154 scored games this season, Alex Bregman has 21 home runs — one every 7.3 games, or about 14% of his scored games.
Model output for entertainment and research. Not gambling advice.