2026
Adley Rutschman

Adley Rutschman

BAL · 83 appearances tracked
9 HRs
10.8% HR Rate
14.7% Avg HR/FB
89.3 Avg EV
0.196 ISO
#12 Best Rank
as of 2026-10-17
HR Profile Season-to-date · live-tape thresholds
No HR profile for this matchup yet. The percentile ladder populates once this batter is on a scored slate.
Pitch Analysis season · as of 2026-10-17
Pitch Seen Barrel% HR K%
Fastball 52.9%
10.8%
11
14.8%
Breaking 24.0%
3.1%
2
22.4%
Offspeed 23.0%
2.6%
0
13.8%
All 100% 7.0% 13 16.4%
Barrel vs. Whiff BRL K
Fastball Breaking Offspeed
Crushes the fastball — whiffs climb on breaking & offspeed. K% shown per family; true swing-whiff pending.
Batter vs. Pitcher head-to-head
NO SAMPLE · 0 PA
—
AVG
—
SLG
—
HR
No probable pitcher set for this matchup. Lean on the season profile and the modifiers below.
Modifiers 0 of 4 active
Ballpark — Pitcher form — Platoon — Weather —
Edge by rate · batter ● vs pitcher-allowed ●
K% 16.4 vs —
16.4
Batter rates are season-to-date; pitcher-allowed shown where tracked.
HR Days 9 this season · avg 394 ft
Date Opp · Pitcher Pitch EV Dist
Apr 24 Brayan Bello · Camden Yards — 103.4 393.0
Apr 30 Peter Lambert · Camden Yards — 101.4 397.0
May 13 Max Fried · Camden Yards — 100.1 393.0
HR by month
2
1
Apr May
All Appearances 83 tracked · 9 HR · 17 top‑50
Date Opp · Pitcher BIP Max EV Result HR
Sep 27 vs CHC · Shota Imanaga 2 103.2 HR 2 BIP
Sep 25 vs CHC · Clay Holmes 4 104.9 4 BIP
Sep 24 vs CLE · Daniel Espino 1 86.8 1 BIP
Sep 23 vs CLE · Foster Griffin 3 93.1 3 BIP
Sep 22 vs CLE · Parker Messick 4 98.8 4 BIP
Sep 20 vs BOS · Griffin Jax 3 101.4 3 BIP
Sep 19 vs BOS · Freddy Peralta 3 93.4 3 BIP
Sep 17 vs BOS · Tyler Alexander 3 101.4 3 BIP
Sep 16 vs BOS · MacKenzie Gore 4 91.3 4 BIP
Sep 15 vs BOS · Jacob deGrom 4 98.8 4 BIP
Sep 13 vs KC · Noah Cameron 4 105.9 4 BIP
Sep 12 vs KC · Randy Dobnak 3 104.7 3 BIP
Sep 11 vs KC · Seth Lugo 1 83.2 1 BIP
Sep 7 vs LAA · Grayson Rodriguez 3 112.1 HR 3 BIP
Sep 6 vs BOS · Kyle Bradish 3 93.5 3 BIP
Sep 4 vs BOS · Shane Baz 2 91.4 2 BIP
Sep 3 vs BOS · Brandon Young 4 103.6 HR 4 BIP
Aug 30 vs BOS · Will Warren 3 99.8 3 BIP
Aug 29 vs BOS · Carlos Rodón 4 95.3 4 BIP
Aug 28 vs BOS · Cam Schlittler 2 104.4 2 BIP
Aug 24 vs BOS · Sandy Alcantara 4 105.6 4 BIP
Aug 22 vs SF · Blade Tidwell 3 97.1 3 BIP
Aug 21 vs SF · Logan Webb 3 96.9 3 BIP
Aug 18 vs AZ · Merrill Kelly 4 107.0 HR 4 BIP
Aug 17 vs AZ · Mitch Bratt 5 102.3 5 BIP
Aug 16 vs BOS · Lake Bachar 1 90.4 1 BIP
Aug 15 vs BOS · Jared Jones 1 68.7 1 BIP
Aug 14 vs BOS · Bubba Chandler 2 100.6 2 BIP
Aug 12 vs BOS · José Soriano 2 73.1 2 BIP
Jul 18 @ HOU · Spencer Arrighetti 3 98.3 3 BIP
Jul 17 @ HOU · Peter Lambert 2 92.5 2 BIP
Jul 11 vs KC · Noah Cameron 4 93.8 4 BIP
Jul 10 vs KC · Luinder Avila 3 105.9 3 BIP
Jul 9 vs CHC · David Peterson 2 103.8 2 BIP
Jul 8 vs CHC · Colin Rea 4 99.3 4 BIP
Jul 7 vs CHC · Matthew Boyd 4 108.2 4 BIP
Jul 5 @ CIN · Nick Lodolo 5 102.0 5 BIP
Jul 4 @ CIN · CIN Bullpen Proxy 4 97.3 4 BIP
Jul 3 @ CIN · Brady Singer 2 96.5 2 BIP
Jul 1 vs CWS · Noah Schultz 2 103.4 2 BIP
Jun 29 vs CWS · Sean Burke 3 94.5 3 BIP
Jun 28 vs WSH · Zack Littell 3 91.9 3 BIP
Jun 20 @ LAD · Yoshinobu Yamamoto 0 — —
Jun 19 @ LAD · Roki Sasaki 0 — —
Jun 18 @ SEA · Bryan Woo 2 90.1 2 BIP
Jun 17 @ SEA · George Kirby 4 97.7 4 BIP
Jun 16 @ SEA · Logan Gilbert 4 92.4 4 BIP
Jun 14 vs SD · Walker Buehler 2 76.2 2 BIP
Jun 12 vs SD · Griffin Canning 3 95.0 3 BIP
Jun 11 vs SEA · Bryan Woo 2 100.5 2 BIP
Jun 7 @ TOR · Kevin Gausman 3 100.7 3 BIP
Jun 6 @ TOR · Braydon Fisher 4 102.5 4 BIP
Jun 5 @ TOR · Trey Yesavage 4 104.6 HR 4 BIP
Jun 4 @ BOS · Brayan Bello 4 107.2 4 BIP
Jun 3 @ BOS · Payton Tolle 5 104.4 5 BIP
Jun 2 @ BOS · Connelly Early 3 101.3 3 BIP
May 31 vs TOR · Spencer Miles 3 102.6 3 BIP
May 30 vs TOR · Trey Yesavage 2 99.9 2 BIP
May 28 vs TOR · Patrick Corbin 4 107.9 4 BIP
May 27 vs TB · Steven Matz 4 105.6 4 BIP
May 25 vs TB · Shane McClanahan 4 106.5 4 BIP
May 24 vs DET · Troy Melton 3 99.0 3 BIP
May 22 vs DET · Jack Flaherty 5 108.2 5 BIP
May 20 @ TB · Steven Matz 3 96.5 3 BIP
May 19 @ TB · Griffin Jax 4 108.7 4 BIP
May 18 @ TB · Shane McClanahan 3 103.0 HR 3 BIP
May 16 @ WSH · Cade Cavalli 3 106.7 3 BIP
May 15 @ WSH · Zack Littell 2 102.4 2 BIP
May 13 vs NYY · Max Fried 4 100.1 HR 4 BIP
Apr 30 vs HOU · Peter Lambert 4 101.4 HR 4 BIP
Apr 26 vs BOS · Connelly Early 4 102.4 4 BIP
Apr 24 vs BOS · Brayan Bello 5 103.4 HR 5 BIP
Apr 11 vs SF · Logan Webb 0 — —
Apr 10 vs SF · Landen Roupp 5 89.8 5 BIP
Apr 8 @ CWS · Sean Burke 2 87.8 2 BIP
Apr 7 @ CWS · Shane Smith 0 — —
Apr 6 @ CWS · Grant Taylor 2 101.3 2 BIP
Apr 5 @ PIT · Braxton Ashcraft 0 — —
Apr 4 @ PIT · Carmen Mlodzinski 4 106.0 4 BIP
Apr 1 vs TEX · Nathan Eovaldi 0 — —
Mar 30 vs TEX · Jack Leiter 3 102.4 3 BIP
Mar 28 vs MIN · Taj Bradley 1 69.4 1 BIP
Mar 26 vs MIN · Joe Ryan 4 99.3 4 BIP
Ballpark park factor · wind · spray
Ballpark conditions unavailable — this batter isn’t on a scored slate with park & weather inputs.
October 2026
All batters →
TONIGHT board — not posted yet next game —
Dueness now
0.00×
not yet due — gap ÷ cadence
Cadence
7 gm
median between HRs, game-days
Current gap
0 gm
since his last HR, Sep 27
Season
9 HR
83 games · 0 HR last 14d
Rhythm tightness
his gaps between HRs, in game-days — tight columns = metronome, spread = streaky
one dot per gap · 8 gaps · median 7 gm · MAD ± 5.5 gm · now marker = current gap
SunMonTueWedThuFriSat

Rhythm observation, not a prediction — the “g+n” counters and crossing marks only read his own history. See tonight’s board for the model’s actual ranking. Model picks · For entertainment.

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Six home runs to freedom

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Common questions about Adley Rutschman

Will Adley Rutschman hit a home run today?

Adley Rutschman is not on today's TheHomeRuns slate. This season he has homered 9 times in 83 scored games (about 11% of games). Check back when he next appears on the daily board.

How often does Adley Rutschman hit home runs?

Across 83 scored games this season, Adley Rutschman has 9 home runs — one every 9.2 games, or about 11% of his scored games.

Model output for entertainment and research. Not gambling advice.

THR 3.3.180 · build 681
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