Adley Rutschman
SHB
BAL
· 65 appearances tracked
6
HRs
9.2%
HR Rate
15.0%
Avg HR/FB
89.4
Avg EV
0.200
ISO
#12
Best Rank
HR Profile
Season-to-date · live-tape thresholds
ISO0.168
Avg EV88.8
Barrel%7.4%
HR/FB vs RHP12.2%
Avg HR Dist400
Match%11.3%
Season HR%
9.1%
14D Pace
12.5%
Pitch Analysis
season · as of 2026-08-30
Pitch
Seen
Barrel%
HR
K%
Fastball
53.2%
8
Breaking
24.6%
1
Offspeed
22.2%
0
All
100%
7.0%
9
15.9%
Barrel vs. Whiff
BRL
K
Fastball
Breaking
Offspeed
Crushes the fastball — whiffs climb on breaking & offspeed.
K% shown per family; true swing-whiff pending.
Batter vs. Pitcher
vs Will Warren · RHP · BAL
18 PA · since 2026
.000
AVG
.000
SLG
0
HR
0-for-18 across 18 plate appearances since 2026.
Modifiers
3 of 4 active
Yankee Stadium +HR
Pitcher form Steady
Platoon Edge
Weather +4
Edge by rate
· batter ●
vs pitcher-allowed ●
Barrel%
7.4
vs
—
HR/FB
12.2
vs
20.0 ▼ risk
K%
15.9
vs
—
Batter rates are season-to-date; pitcher-allowed shown where tracked. HR/FB compared head-to-head.
HR Days
6 this season · avg 394 ft
Date
Opp · Pitcher
Pitch
EV
Dist
Apr 24
Brayan Bello · Camden Yards
—
103.4
393.0
Apr 30
Peter Lambert · Camden Yards
—
101.4
397.0
May 13
Max Fried · Camden Yards
—
100.1
393.0
HR by month
Apr
May
All Appearances
65 tracked · 6 HR · 17 top‑50
Date
Opp · Pitcher
BIP
Max EV
Result
HR
Aug 29
vs BOS · Carlos Rodón
4
95.3
4 BIP
Aug 28
vs BOS · Cam Schlittler
2
104.4
2 BIP
Aug 24
vs BOS · Sandy Alcantara
4
105.6
4 BIP
Aug 22
vs SF · Blade Tidwell
3
97.1
3 BIP
Aug 21
vs SF · Logan Webb
3
96.9
3 BIP
Aug 18
vs AZ · Merrill Kelly
4
107.0
HR
4 BIP
Aug 17
vs AZ · Mitch Bratt
5
102.3
5 BIP
Aug 16
vs BOS · Lake Bachar
1
90.4
1 BIP
Aug 15
vs BOS · Jared Jones
1
68.7
1 BIP
Aug 14
vs BOS · Bubba Chandler
2
100.6
2 BIP
Aug 12
vs BOS · José Soriano
2
73.1
2 BIP
Jul 18
@ HOU · Spencer Arrighetti
3
98.3
3 BIP
Jul 17
@ HOU · Peter Lambert
2
92.5
2 BIP
Jul 11
vs KC · Noah Cameron
4
93.8
4 BIP
Jul 10
vs KC · Luinder Avila
3
105.9
3 BIP
Jul 9
vs CHC · David Peterson
2
103.8
2 BIP
Jul 8
vs CHC · Colin Rea
4
99.3
4 BIP
Jul 7
vs CHC · Matthew Boyd
4
108.2
4 BIP
Jul 5
@ CIN · Nick Lodolo
5
102.0
5 BIP
Jul 4
@ CIN · CIN Bullpen Proxy
4
97.3
4 BIP
Jul 3
@ CIN · Brady Singer
2
96.5
2 BIP
Jul 1
vs CWS · Noah Schultz
2
103.4
2 BIP
Jun 29
vs CWS · Sean Burke
3
94.5
3 BIP
Jun 28
vs WSH · Zack Littell
3
91.9
3 BIP
Jun 20
@ LAD · Yoshinobu Yamamoto
0
—
—
Jun 19
@ LAD · Roki Sasaki
0
—
—
Jun 18
@ SEA · Bryan Woo
2
90.1
2 BIP
Jun 17
@ SEA · George Kirby
4
97.7
4 BIP
Jun 16
@ SEA · Logan Gilbert
4
92.4
4 BIP
Jun 14
vs SD · Walker Buehler
2
76.2
2 BIP
Jun 12
vs SD · Griffin Canning
3
95.0
3 BIP
Jun 11
vs SEA · Bryan Woo
2
100.5
2 BIP
Jun 7
@ TOR · Kevin Gausman
3
100.7
3 BIP
Jun 6
@ TOR · Braydon Fisher
4
102.5
4 BIP
Jun 5
@ TOR · Trey Yesavage
4
104.6
HR
4 BIP
Jun 4
@ BOS · Brayan Bello
4
107.2
4 BIP
Jun 3
@ BOS · Payton Tolle
5
104.4
5 BIP
Jun 2
@ BOS · Connelly Early
3
101.3
3 BIP
May 31
vs TOR · Spencer Miles
3
102.6
3 BIP
May 30
vs TOR · Trey Yesavage
2
99.9
2 BIP
May 28
vs TOR · Patrick Corbin
4
107.9
4 BIP
May 27
vs TB · Steven Matz
4
105.6
4 BIP
May 25
vs TB · Shane McClanahan
4
106.5
4 BIP
May 24
vs DET · Troy Melton
3
99.0
3 BIP
May 22
vs DET · Jack Flaherty
5
108.2
5 BIP
May 20
@ TB · Steven Matz
3
96.5
3 BIP
May 19
@ TB · Griffin Jax
4
108.7
4 BIP
May 18
@ TB · Shane McClanahan
3
103.0
HR
3 BIP
May 16
@ WSH · Cade Cavalli
3
106.7
3 BIP
May 15
@ WSH · Zack Littell
2
102.4
2 BIP
May 13
vs NYY · Max Fried
4
100.1
HR
4 BIP
Apr 30
vs HOU · Peter Lambert
4
101.4
HR
4 BIP
Apr 26
vs BOS · Connelly Early
4
102.4
4 BIP
Apr 24
vs BOS · Brayan Bello
5
103.4
HR
5 BIP
Apr 11
vs SF · Logan Webb
0
—
—
Apr 10
vs SF · Landen Roupp
5
89.8
5 BIP
Apr 8
@ CWS · Sean Burke
2
87.8
2 BIP
Apr 7
@ CWS · Shane Smith
0
—
—
Apr 6
@ CWS · Grant Taylor
2
101.3
2 BIP
Apr 5
@ PIT · Braxton Ashcraft
0
—
—
Apr 4
@ PIT · Carmen Mlodzinski
4
106.0
4 BIP
Apr 1
vs TEX · Nathan Eovaldi
0
—
—
Mar 30
vs TEX · Jack Leiter
3
102.4
3 BIP
Mar 28
vs MIN · Taj Bradley
1
69.4
1 BIP
Mar 26
vs MIN · Joe Ryan
4
99.3
4 BIP
Ballpark
Yankee Stadium · open-air
Park Factor
1.063
Wind
12 mph from SW
Temp
77°F
Roof
Open
TimeWindTempFIT
1:35p
12 ↑
77°
+14
2:35p
12 ↑
77°
+14
3:35p
12 ↑
78°
+14
4:35p
13 ↑
79°
+16
5:35p
11 ↑
78°
+13
+14
Slight green alignment
true spray · live hourly FIT · open-air wind signal
HIT LOCATIONS'25–'26
Game-window avg wind · blowing out to center (from WSW)
TONIGHT
board — not posted yet
next game Sun 8/30
Dueness now
1.67×
overdue — gap ÷ cadence
Cadence
3 gm
median between HRs, game-days
Current gap
5 gm
since his last HR, Aug 18
Season
6 HR
65 games · 1 HR last 14d
Rhythm tightness
his gaps between HRs, in game-days — tight columns = metronome, spread = streaky
one dot per gap · 5 gaps · median 3 gm · MAD ± 2 gm · now marker = current gap
SunMonTueWedThuFriSat
Rhythm observation, not a prediction — the “g+n” counters and crossing marks only read his own history. See tonight’s board for the model’s actual ranking. Model picks · For entertainment.
Score Breakdown
Base 47 → 47
ISO (Power)
Barrel Matchup
Park Factor
Pitcher FIP
season hr rate
HR/FB Matchup
recent hr density 14d
Exit Velocity
Common questions about Adley Rutschman
Will Adley Rutschman hit a home run today?
Adley Rutschman is on today's TheHomeRuns slate, ranked #73 among tonight's scored batters for home run likelihood, facing Will Warren at Yankee Stadium. That's a model ranking, not a prediction of a certain outcome — even the model's top-ranked bats homer in roughly one of five games. Not gambling advice.
How often does Adley Rutschman hit home runs?
Across 65 scored games this season, Adley Rutschman has 6 home runs — one every 10.8 games, or about 9% of his scored games.
Has Adley Rutschman homered off Will Warren before?
Not yet — Adley Rutschman has faced Will Warren 18 times without a home run.
Model output for entertainment and research. Not gambling advice.