2026-09-21 · TOR @ BAL
Anatomy of a Homer: Pete Alonso's 400-footer
Pete Alonso off Tyler Rogers · Oriole Park at Camden Yards
112.9
Exit velo (mph)
22°
Launch angle
400
Distance (ft)
79.6
Bat speed (mph)
The situation
Bottom of the 8th, 1-1 count, a runner on, BAL trailing 3-2. It was the go-ahead swing. Win probability moved 61 points on one pitch.
The pitch
Tyler Rogers threw a sinker at 83.1 mph, in the strike zone, pitch 3 of the at-bat.
The swing
Bat speed 79.6 mph, attack angle 14°, contact at 112.9 mph off the bat, 22° launch.
The flight
400 feet, a barrel by classification.
The park
Oriole Park at Camden Yards, empirical park factor 0.98, 65 degrees, Overcast, 3 mph, In From RF.
Where it was — sinker, 83.1 mph (catcher's view)
What the board saw.
Our model ranked Pete Alonso #1 on the morning slate; he hit 2nd.
See how the full board did on the track record.
Data: MLB Statcast, our empirical park factors, and the morning odds snapshot. Model output for entertainment and research. Not gambling advice.