2026-09-04 · STL @ COL
Anatomy of a Homer: Ivan Herrera's 430-footer
Ivan Herrera off Jordan Romano · Coors Field
103.5
Exit velo (mph)
26°
Launch angle
430
Distance (ft)
77.7
Bat speed (mph)
+500
Morning line
The situation
Top of the 9th, 1-2 count, two on, STL trailing 6-4. It was the go-ahead swing. Win probability moved 62 points on one pitch.
The pitch
Jordan Romano threw a slider at 84.2 mph, in the strike zone, pitch 4 of the at-bat.
The swing
Bat speed 77.7 mph, attack angle 10°, contact at 103.5 mph off the bat, 26° launch.
The flight
430 feet, a barrel by classification.
The park
Coors Field, empirical park factor 1.01, 92 degrees, Partly Cloudy, 17 mph, Out To LF.
Where it was — slider, 84.2 mph (catcher's view)
What the board saw.
Our model ranked Ivan Herrera #140 on the morning slate; he hit 2nd.
The morning line was +500.
See how the full board did on the track record.
Data: MLB Statcast, our empirical park factors, and the morning odds snapshot. Model output for entertainment and research. Not gambling advice.