2026-08-28 · PHI @ LAA
Anatomy of a Homer: Edmundo Sosa's 404-footer
Edmundo Sosa off Sammy Peralta · Angel Stadium
108.5
Exit velo (mph)
23°
Launch angle
404
Distance (ft)
77.1
Bat speed (mph)
+625
Morning line
The situation
Top of the 9th, 1-1 count, the bases loaded, PHI trailing 3-1. It was the go-ahead swing. Win probability moved 77 points on one pitch.
The pitch
Sammy Peralta threw a changeup at 85.0 mph, in the strike zone, down, pitch 3 of the at-bat.
The swing
Bat speed 77.1 mph, attack angle 9°, contact at 108.5 mph off the bat, 23° launch.
The flight
404 feet, a barrel by classification.
The park
Angel Stadium, 89 degrees, Clear, 5 mph, R To L.
Where it was — changeup, 85.0 mph (catcher's view)
What the board saw.
Edmundo Sosa wasn't ranked on our board that day — some days the game beats the model, and we say so.
The morning line was +625.
See how the full board did on the track record.
Data: MLB Statcast, our empirical park factors, and the morning odds snapshot. Model output for entertainment and research. Not gambling advice.