2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Ketel Marte 6 HRs · 2 Junior Caminero 6 HRs · 3 Joc Pederson 5 HRs · 4 Dansby Swanson 5 HRs · 5 Bryce Harper 5 HRs · 6 Wyatt Langford 5 HRs · 7 Hunter Goodman 4 HRs · 8 Kazuma Okamoto 4 HRs · 9 Kerry Carpenter 4 HRs · 10 CJ Abrams 4 HRs · 11 Caleb Durbin 4 HRs · 12 Brandon Marsh 4 HRs 1 Ketel Marte 6 HRs · 2 Junior Caminero 6 HRs · 3 Joc Pederson 5 HRs · 4 Dansby Swanson 5 HRs · 5 Bryce Harper 5 HRs · 6 Wyatt Langford 5 HRs · 7 Hunter Goodman 4 HRs · 8 Kazuma Okamoto 4 HRs · 9 Kerry Carpenter 4 HRs · 10 CJ Abrams 4 HRs · 11 Caleb Durbin 4 HRs · 12 Brandon Marsh 4 HRs
Unlucky Barrels
Batters who crushed the ball (105+ mph exit velo) without getting paid off — a rolling 7-day view ending on the selected date.
25 batters · 7 days ending 2026-07-01
Historical Snapshot
Validated pre-game snapshot. This view was captured before first pitch.
refresh_11 - 2026-07-01T11:00:31-04:00
Barrel-Rich, HR-Poor · 7 days ending 2026-07-01
25 batters
Batter Hard-Hit Games HRs Gap Avg Max EV Peak EV Appearances
Yandy Díaz 4 0 +4 109.0 mph 113.0 mph 5
Miguel Andujar 3 0 +3 107.0 mph 108.4 mph 3
Riley Greene 4 1 +3 106.0 mph 110.8 mph 5
Isaac Collins 3 0 +3 105.3 mph 110.4 mph 5
Kyle Stowers 3 0 +3 104.7 mph 110.1 mph 5
Jake Burger 4 1 +3 104.4 mph 108.1 mph 6
Julio Rodríguez 3 0 +3 103.6 mph 110.3 mph 6
Chase DeLauter 2 0 +2 106.6 mph 110.7 mph 3
Konnor Griffin 3 1 +2 106.1 mph 110.0 mph 4
Matt Olson 2 0 +2 105.4 mph 110.3 mph 4
Kyle Schwarber 3 1 +2 103.8 mph 110.4 mph 6
Randy Arozarena 3 1 +2 103.5 mph 108.3 mph 6
Dylan Crews 2 0 +2 103.3 mph 107.1 mph 6
Lars Nootbaar 2 0 +2 103.1 mph 106.5 mph 5
Casey Schmitt 2 0 +2 103.0 mph 110.7 mph 5
Blaze Alexander 2 0 +2 102.6 mph 106.8 mph 4
Freddie Freeman 2 0 +2 100.9 mph 109.6 mph 5
Noelvi Marte 2 0 +2 100.4 mph 109.5 mph 4
Brett Baty 2 0 +2 100.2 mph 111.0 mph 6
Amed Rosario 2 0 +2 99.6 mph 109.3 mph 5
Jakob Marsee 2 0 +2 99.0 mph 106.0 mph 5
Griffin Conine 2 0 +2 98.5 mph 110.9 mph 3
Nick Kurtz 2 0 +2 98.1 mph 107.7 mph 5
James Wood 3 1 +2 98.0 mph 113.6 mph 6
George Springer 2 0 +2 97.2 mph 106.6 mph 5
🍀
Six home runs to freedom

Luck runs out eventually

Sign up to see every barrel-rich batter due for regression — the ones crushing the ball without the HRs to show for it.

19 more waiting in the on-deck circle
What this means: A "barrel" is a batted ball with exit velocity ≥95 mph and a launch angle in the sweet spot (roughly 25–30°). These are the hardest-hit, best-angled balls — the ones that usually leave the yard. When a batter keeps barreling but not homering, they're getting unlucky. The Gap column shows how many barrel games exceeded their HR count. High gap + high EV = prime regression candidate.
LD 3.3.42 · build 543

The top 10 picks. Every morning.

Free daily home run predictions from the model, in your inbox before first pitch.

No spam. Unsubscribe anytime. Just picks and results.