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Study Day
📅 2026-06-14
1
Top-5 Hits
5
Top-15 Hits
38
HRs in Slate
93%
Coverage
236
Scored
What Happened
The top 15 captured 5 home runs — exceptional concentration at the top of the board.
A high-volume day with 38 HRs across scored matchups.
Pitcher vulnerability was the dominant signal — multiple arms with elevated FIP and HR/FB rates.
Why It Worked
Pitcher Vulnerability
9 of the top 15 faced pitchers with FIP ≥ 4.50
Warm Weather
7 top-15 batters played in 75°F+ conditions
HR-Friendly Parks
8 top-15 matchups in parks with factor ≥ 1.05
Hot Bats
5 top-15 batters trending HOT or WARM
Stacking Opportunities
2 same-pitcher stacks for parlay potential
🔥 High Conviction Day
0 matchups met the Golden criteria (pitcher FIP > 5.0 AND HR/FB > 20%).
Stack Alerts:
Tomoyuki Sugano: {'batter': 'Nick Kurtz', 'rank': 1, 'score': 89.0}, {'batter': 'Jonah Heim', 'rank': 4, 'score': 84.0}, {'batter': 'Max Muncy', 'rank': 6, 'score': 81.0}, {'batter': 'Tyler Soderstrom', 'rank': 10, 'score': 73.0}
PJ Poulin: {'batter': 'Dominic Canzone', 'rank': 5, 'score': 81.0}, {'batter': 'Colt Emerson', 'rank': 15, 'score': 70.0}
Top 15 Matchups
| # | Result | Batter | Pitcher | HR/FB | Score | FIP | Park | Form | Barrel | HR Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | — | Nick Kurtz | Tomoyuki Sugano | 44.5% | 89 | 5.4 | 1.22 | · | 16.8% | |
| 2 | ✅ | Hunter Goodman | Jeffrey Springs | 41.8% | 86 | 5.1 | 1.22 | 🌤️ | 11.8% | 106.4 mph · 421ft · 25.0° |
| 3 | — | Byron Buxton | Michael McGreevy | 35.7% | 85 | 4.3 | 1.02 | 🌤️ | 13.9% | |
| 4 | — | Jonah Heim | Tomoyuki Sugano | 24.7% | 84 | 5.4 | 1.22 | 🔥 | 10.5% | |
| 5 | — | Dominic Canzone | PJ Poulin | 33.3% | 81 | 5.5 | 1.04 | · | 14.3% | |
| 6 | ✅ | Max Muncy | Tomoyuki Sugano | 29.9% | 81 | 5.4 | 1.22 | · | 16.1% | 103.8 mph · 375ft · 20.0° |
| 7 | — | Corbin Carroll | Andrew Abbott | 27.9% | 78 | 4.8 | 1.13 | 🌤️ | 9.5% | |
| 8 | ✅ | James Wood | Emerson Hancock | 34.9% | 74 | 3.8 | 1.04 | 🌧️ | 16.3% | 109.4 mph · 413ft · 35.0° |
| 9 | — | Dillon Dingler | Gavin Williams | 33.8% | 74 | 3.9 | 0.90 | 🌤️ | 12.4% | |
| 10 | ✅ | Tyler Soderstrom | Tomoyuki Sugano | 32.5% | 73 | 5.4 | 1.22 | 🌧️ | 12.9% | 108.2 mph · 462ft · 22.0° |
| 11 | — | JJ Bleday | Zac Gallen | 22.2% | 72 | 5.4 | 1.13 | ❄ | 11.2% | |
| 12 | — | Pete Alonso | Walker Buehler | 32.8% | 72 | 4.2 | 1.19 | · | 10.2% | |
| 13 | — | Kyle Schwarber | Kyle Harrison | 33.9% | 71 | 3.3 | 1.00 | 🌧️ | 13.1% | |
| 14 | — | Jordan Walker | Taj Bradley | 28.5% | 71 | 4.0 | 1.02 | · | 11.8% | |
| 15 | — | Colt Emerson | PJ Poulin | 35.0% | 70 | 5.5 | 1.04 | 🌧️ | 8.6% |
All 35 HRs in Slate
Show all ranked picks that hit
| # | Batter | HR/FB | EV | Dist | LA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Hunter Goodman | 41.8% | 106.4 | 421ft | 25.0° |
| 6 | Max Muncy | 29.9% | 103.8 | 375ft | 20.0° |
| 8 | James Wood | 34.9% | 109.4 | 413ft | 35.0° |
| 10 | Tyler Soderstrom | 32.5% | 108.2 | 462ft | 22.0° |
| 16 | Ben Rice | 18.5% | 101.2 | 381ft | 32.0° |
| 23 | Alec Burleson | 25.0% | 110.4 | 397ft | 39.0° |
| 24 | Willson Contreras | 30.7% | 101.5 | 392ft | 35.0° |
| 33 | Noelvi Marte | 19.2% | 110.0 | 448ft | 27.0° |
| 39 | Jackson Chourio | 20.5% | 102.6 | 412ft | 27.0° |
| 43 | Rodolfo Durán | 21.2% | 106.3 | 432ft | 31.0° |
| 44 | Junior Caminero | 14.0% | 96.0 | 374ft | 27.0° |
| 49 | Colson Montgomery | 30.9% | 101.6 | 410ft | 34.0° |
| 58 | Gabriel Moreno | 20.4% | 97.1 | 353ft | 36.0° |
| 76 | Max Muncy | 17.9% | 103.8 | 375ft | 20.0° |
| 84 | Jeremiah Jackson | 17.0% | 99.9 | 365ft | 39.0° |
| 98 | Matt Chapman | 18.6% | 106.8 | 405ft | 20.0° |
| 111 | Marcus Semien | 14.0% | 101.1 | 403ft | 30.0° |
| 118 | Kyle Higashioka | 8.8% | 100.2 | 381ft | 25.0° |
| 121 | Tommy Troy | 8.5% | 101.8 | 355ft | 30.0° |
| 141 | Keibert Ruiz | 12.2% | 100.9 | 406ft | 32.0° |
| 151 | Freddie Freeman | 7.8% | 101.6 | 369ft | 30.0° |
| 159 | José Caballero | 11.5% | 104.9 | 420ft | 33.0° |
| 161 | JJ Wetherholt | 8.9% | 101.5 | 380ft | 32.0° |
| 165 | Bryan Reynolds | 6.5% | 105.3 | 422ft | 27.0° |
| 170 | Wyatt Langford | 7.8% | 106.8 | 418ft | 28.0° |
| 175 | Willi Castro | 8.3% | 104.5 | 444ft | 32.0° |
| 182 | Geraldo Perdomo | 8.4% | 99.1 | 400ft | 34.0° |
| 184 | Davis Schneider | 10.0% | 105.1 | 413ft | 25.0° |
| 199 | Mookie Betts | 7.1% | 105.7 | 369ft | 19.0° |
| 204 | Chase Meidroth | 7.2% | 99.2 | 366ft | 33.0° |
| 207 | Sam Antonacci | 7.1% | 104.8 | 415ft | 34.0° |
| 215 | Donovan Walton | 5.4% | 96.9 | 386ft | 33.0° |
| 220 | Ben Williamson | 5.8% | 102.8 | 394ft | 27.0° |
| 224 | Blake Perkins | 7.0% | 101.8 | 399ft | 27.0° |
| 225 | Joe Mack | 5.6% | 102.3 | 424ft | 27.0° |