0
HRs allowed
0.0%
HR rate (pool)
15.8%
Overall HR/FB
Leak meter
STINGY
LEAKY
72
season HR/FB pctile vs MLB pitchers — higher = more HR-prone
Tonight's read
vulnerability percentile · model flags
no model flags today
Vulnerability 72th pctile (season HR/FB pctile vs MLB pitchers)
Where he leaks
quality of contact allowed · season
Barrel% allowed
22.2%
Hard-Hit% allowed
50.0%
Fly-ball rate
—
max EV allowed 107.9
Batted-ball xSLG splits and HR spray direction aren't tracked for pitchers yet.
Recent form
HR allowed by scored game day
7D · 0 HR
15D · 0 HR
30D · 0 HR
Dot size = HRs allowed that game day · scored pool only.
Threat Matrix
tonight's lineup × his arsenal families
No lineup yet — the Threat Matrix fills in when today's slate lists batters against Mick Abel.
Arsenal ledger
per-pitch damage against · season
PitchUseEVLAHRRV/100Damage
Fastball Hard
42.7%
81.6
31.5°
0
+0.5
Changeup Offspeed
16.6%
86.2
15.1°
0
-1.9
Slider Breaking
14.6%
82.4
22.4°
0
-1.7
Curveball Breaking
11.3%
74.0
-9.4°
0
+0.8
Sweeper Breaking
10.2%
72.5
22.1°
0
-1.1
RV/100 = run value against per 100 pitches — higher = more damage allowed. Damage bar is scaled across his own arsenal.
Full ledger
pool + season datapoints · pctile-chipped where ranked
Pool matchups18
HRs allowed (pool)0
Pool HR rate0.0%
Pool HR/game day0.0
Top-15 matchups3
HRs to top-150
Overall HR/FB15.8% 72
HR/9—
FIP—
xFIP—
FIP − xFIP—
Barrel% allowed22.2%
Hard-Hit% allowed50.0%
FB%—
K/9—
BB/9—
WHIP—
IP—
Pool = tracked matchup population · pctile chips = MLB-wide percentile (hot ≥ 85) · as of 2026-09-01
Fastball
Hard · 42.7% usage
+0.5
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against81.6 mph
Avg launch angle31.5°
HRs allowed0
Pitches167
Changeup
Offspeed · 16.6% usage
-1.9
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against86.2 mph
Avg launch angle15.1°
HRs allowed0
Pitches65
Slider
Breaking · 14.6% usage
-1.7
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against82.4 mph
Avg launch angle22.4°
HRs allowed0
Pitches57
Curveball
Breaking · 11.3% usage
+0.8
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against74.0 mph
Avg launch angle-9.4°
HRs allowed0
Pitches44
Sweeper
Breaking · 10.2% usage
-1.1
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against72.5 mph
Avg launch angle22.1°
HRs allowed0
Pitches40
Usage by handedness
what tonight's lefties/righties will see
Per-handedness pitch usage isn't tracked yet — the arsenal cache is a season aggregate.
Zone map
damage by location
Per-zone damage isn't tracked yet for pitchers.
Pitcher vs. Batter
career PA vs tonight's listed order
No listed order yet — BvP rows appear when today's slate lists batters against Mick Abel.
BvP under 20 PA is noise — use it for pitch-mix memory, not projection. Context only: not part of the model score.
HR Log
0 allowed · scored pool
No home runs allowed in our scored matchups.
Game-day log
last 2 scored game days · pool
DateStadiumMatchupsHRMax EV
2026-04-09
9
0
105.8
2026-04-04
9
0
107.9
Box-score start lines (IP · H · ER · K · BB · pitch counts) aren't tracked yet — this is his scored-pool day log, matchups our model actually graded.
Tonight
park factor · wind · temp
Ballpark conditions unavailable — Mick Abel isn't on a scored slate with park & weather inputs.
Fences vs his leak
wall distance · damage overlay
Mick Abel isn't on a scored slate — no park to compare his damage against.
Venue splits
HRs allowed by venue · pool
VenueFacedHRRate
18
0
0%
HRs allowed ÷ scored matchups at each park. Rate is per scored matchup, not HR/9 — box-score innings aren't tracked.
Common questions about Mick Abel
How many home runs has Mick Abel allowed this season?
Mick Abel has allowed 0 home runs across 2 scored game days in the TheHomeRuns pool this season.
Which batters have homered off Mick Abel?
In the TheHomeRuns scored pool, the batters with home runs against Mick Abel include Brandon Nimmo (1), Dansby Swanson (1), Francisco Lindor (1) and 3 more.
Model output for entertainment and research. Not gambling advice.