⚾ TheHomeRuns.org 2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Dillon Dingler 5 HRs · 4 JJ Bleday 4 HRs · 5 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 6 James Wood 4 HRs · 7 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 8 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 9 Julio Rodríguez 4 HRs · 10 Ketel Marte 4 HRs · 11 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 12 Michael Harris II 4 HRs 1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Dillon Dingler 5 HRs · 4 JJ Bleday 4 HRs · 5 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 6 James Wood 4 HRs · 7 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 8 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 9 Julio Rodríguez 4 HRs · 10 Ketel Marte 4 HRs · 11 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 12 Michael Harris II 4 HRs
Mick Abel
Mick Abel RHP MIN
18 matchups scored · 2 game days
0 HRs Allowed
0.0% HR Rate (Pool)
HR Vulnerability Snapshot Pool + today context
·
HR/9 ?Home runs allowed per 9 innings. >1.5 elite-bad (homer-friendly), 1.2–1.5 above avg, <0.9 elite-good (HR-resistant).
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HR/FB ?Pitcher's HR-per-fly-ball rate. >15% elite homer-prone, 12–15% above avg, <8% homer-resistant. League avg ~12%.
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Barrel% Allowed ?Percentage of contact against this pitcher classified as barrels (perfect EV+LA). >12% elite-bad, <5% elite-good.
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Hard-Hit% Allowed ?% of batted balls hit ≥95 mph against this pitcher. >45% elite homer-prone, <33% elite homer-resistant.
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FB% ?Fly-ball rate (% of batted balls that are fly balls). >45% extreme fly-ball pitcher — gives up many HRs. <30% ground-ball pitcher — HR-resistant.
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FIP ?Fielding Independent Pitching. >5.0 elite-bad, 4.0–5.0 above avg, <3.5 elite-good. Isolates pitcher's HR/K/BB skill from defense.
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xFIP ?FIP with HR/FB normalised to league average. Better predictor of FUTURE HR rate than FIP.
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FIP − xFIP ?Positive gap = pitcher has been UNLUCKY with HRs (regression coming). Negative = lucky (regression up). >+0.5 elite regression candidate.
0.0%
Pool HR Rate ?% of LongDong scored matchups against this pitcher that resulted in a HR. Internal benchmark.
18
Pool Matchups
0
HRs Allowed (Pool)
3
Top-15 Matchups
0
HRs to Top-15
0.0%
HR Rate
Recent HR Splits
trend vs full-pool HR rate
Window Matchups Game Days HR HR Rate HR/Game Avg Max EV Avg HR EV Avg HR LA Avg HR Dist Trend
Last 7 18 2 0 0.0% 0.0 93.7mph · · · Flat +0.0pp
Last 15 18 2 0 0.0% 0.0 93.7mph · · · Flat +0.0pp
Last 30 18 2 0 0.0% 0.0 93.7mph · · · Flat +0.0pp
Batted-Ball Damage
14 tracked BBE from 18 pool matchups
93.7
107.9
7
0
Date Batter Max EV HR EV HR LA HR Dist HR?
2026-04-09 Colt Keith 105.8mph · · · ·
2026-04-09 Riley Greene 105.0mph · · · ·
2026-04-09 Spencer Torkelson 103.3mph · · · ·
2026-04-09 Javier Baez 102.3mph · · · ·
2026-04-04 Yandy Diaz 107.9mph · · · ·
2026-04-04 Jonathan Aranda 102.0mph · · · ·
2026-04-04 Junior Caminero 100.4mph · · · ·
HRs Allowed Per Game Day
2 days · 0 total HRs
HRs Allowed
0 home runs against scored batters
No home runs allowed in our scored matchups.
Pitch Arsenal
higher RV = more hittable
Pitch Pitches Usage RV/100 Avg EV Avg LA HRs
Fastball 167 42.7% +0.5 81.4 30.2° 0
Changeup 65 16.6% -1.8 86.2 15.1° 0
Slider 57 14.6% -1.6 82.4 22.4° 0
Curveball 44 11.3% +0.8 74.0 -9.4° 0
Sweeper 40 10.2% -1.0 72.5 22.1° 0
All Scored Matchups
18 matchups · newest first
Date Batter Rank Score Tier Form HR?
2026-04-09 Gleyber Torres #62 31 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-04-09 Javier Baez #54 30 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-04-09 Colt Keith #47 35 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-09 Zach McKinstry #41 35 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-09 Wenceel Perez #28 38 ⚪ D · — ·
2026-04-09 Dillon Dingler #25 35 ⚪ D 🔥 HOT ·
2026-04-09 Spencer Torkelson #24 45 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-04-09 Riley Greene #13 50 🟠 C 📉 COOL ·
2026-04-09 Kerry Carpenter #4 50 🟠 C ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-04 Chandler Simpson #207 10 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-04-04 Jake Mangum #179 20 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-04-04 Taylor Walls #164 23 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-04 Josh Lowe #60 32 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-04 Christopher Morel #46 41 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-04-04 Jonathan Aranda #45 40 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-04 Yandy Diaz #28 38 ⚪ D 🔥 HOT ·
2026-04-04 Brandon Lowe #19 46 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-04-04 Junior Caminero #13 52 🟠 C 📈 WARM ·
LD 3.2.88

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