Lyon Richardson
RHP
KC
3
HRs Allowed
33.3%
HR Rate (Pool)
16.7%
Overall HR/FB
5.9
FIP
5.72
xFIP
+0.18
FIP-xFIP Gap
HR Vulnerability Snapshot
?Pitcher's HR-relevant profile. Red = HR-favorable for batters, blue = HR-resistant. Same vocabulary as batter cards.
Pool + today context
3.0
Pool HR/G ?Home runs allowed per tracked LongDong game day. Used when season HR/9 is unavailable.
16.7%
Overall HR/FB ?Pitcher's overall season HR-per-fly-ball rate. Matchup rows may show handedness splits such as vs LHH or vs RHH.
82th pctile
0.0%
Barrel% Allowed ?Percentage of contact against this pitcher classified as barrels (perfect EV+LA). >12% elite-bad, <5% elite-good.
66.7%
Hard-Hit% Allowed ?% of batted balls hit ≥95 mph against this pitcher. >45% elite homer-prone, <33% elite homer-resistant.
·
FB% ?Fly-ball rate (% of batted balls that are fly balls). >45% extreme fly-ball pitcher — gives up many HRs. <30% ground-ball pitcher — HR-resistant.
5.9
FIP ?Fielding Independent Pitching. >5.0 elite-bad, 4.0–5.0 above avg, <3.5 elite-good. Isolates pitcher's HR/K/BB skill from defense.
91th pctile
5.72
xFIP ?FIP with HR/FB normalised to league average. Better predictor of FUTURE HR rate than FIP.
+0.18
FIP − xFIP ?Positive gap = pitcher has been UNLUCKY with HRs (regression coming). Negative = lucky (regression up). >+0.5 elite regression candidate.
59th pctile
33.3%
Pool HR Rate ?% of LongDong scored matchups against this pitcher that resulted in a HR. Internal benchmark.
9
Pool Matchups
3
HRs Allowed (Pool)
1
Top-15 Matchups
0
HRs to Top-15
33.3%
HR Rate
Recent HR Splits
| Window | Matchups | Game Days | HR | HR Rate | HR/Game | Avg Max EV | Avg HR EV | Avg HR LA | Avg HR Dist | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 7 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 33.3% | 3.0 | 99.1mph | 105.2mph | 26.3° | 406ft | Flat +0.0pp |
| Last 15 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 33.3% | 3.0 | 99.1mph | 105.2mph | 26.3° | 406ft | Flat +0.0pp |
| Last 30 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 33.3% | 3.0 | 99.1mph | 105.2mph | 26.3° | 406ft | Flat +0.0pp |
Batted-Ball Damage
99.1
Avg Max EV
108.1
Max EV Allowed
6
Hard-Hit Proxy · 66.7%
0
Barrel Flags · 0.0%
105.2
Avg HR EV
26.3°
Avg HR Launch
406
Avg HR Distance
| Date | Batter | Max EV | HR EV | HR LA | HR Dist | HR? |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-01 | Jac Caglianone | 108.1mph | 108.1mph | 25° | 419ft | Yes |
| 2026-06-01 | Lane Thomas | 106.3mph | 106.3mph | 28° | 409ft | Yes |
| 2026-06-01 | Michael Massey | 104.8mph | 101.1mph | 26° | 390ft | Yes |
| 2026-06-01 | Kyle Isbel | 104.6mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-06-01 | Bobby Witt Jr. | 100.3mph | · | · | · | · |
HRs Allowed Per Game Day
HRs Allowed
| Date | Batter | Rank | Score | Stadium | EV | Angle | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-01 | Jac Caglianone | #39 | 53 | Great American Ball Park | 108.1mph | 25.0° | 419ft |
| 2026-06-01 | Michael Massey | #48 | 49 | Great American Ball Park | 101.1mph | 26.0° | 390ft |
| 2026-06-01 | Lane Thomas | #122 | 32 | Great American Ball Park | 106.3mph | 28.0° | 409ft |
Quality of Contact
Barrel%
0.0%
HardHit%
66.7%
All Scored Matchups
| Date | Batter | Rank | Score | Tier | Form | HR? |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-01 | Lane Thomas | #122 | 32 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | 💥 |
| 2026-06-01 | Nick Loftin | #113 | 35 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-06-01 | Isaac Collins | #93 | 39 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-06-01 | Kyle Isbel | #89 | 40 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-01 | Vinnie Pasquantino | #80 | 42 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-06-01 | Michael Massey | #48 | 49 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | 💥 |
| 2026-06-01 | Carter Jensen | #44 | 51 | 🟠 C | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-06-01 | Jac Caglianone | #39 | 53 | 🟠 C | 📉 COOL | 💥 |
| 2026-06-01 | Bobby Witt Jr. | #14 | 64 | 🔵 C+ | ➖ NTRL | · |