0
HRs allowed
0%
HR rate (pool)
18.5%
Overall HR/FB
5.69
FIP
3.9
xFIP
#2
Leakiest SP today (of 32, by FIP−xFIP)
Leak meter
STINGY
LEAKY
85
season HR/FB pctile vs MLB pitchers — higher = more HR-prone
Tonight's read
vulnerability percentile · model flags
no model flags today
Vulnerability 85th pctile (season HR/FB pctile vs MLB pitchers)
4 of 6 listed bats hold the platoon edge
Where he leaks
quality of contact allowed · season
Barrel% allowed
—
Hard-Hit% allowed
—
Fly-ball rate
—
Batted-ball xSLG splits and HR spray direction aren't tracked for pitchers yet.
Recent form
HR allowed by scored game day
Not enough scored game days for a trend line yet.
Dot size = HRs allowed that game day · scored pool only.
Threat Matrix
tonight's lineup × his arsenal families
FB 73.8%
BRK 17.3%
Overall
Score
Neutral · 3
Long shots · 3 — below the fade line
Read the columns: the fastball family (73.8% usage) carries his damage — FB is the leak.
4 of 6 listed bats hold the platoon edge.
Cells are each batter's season damage vs that family (not vs this pitcher specifically).
Arsenal ledger
per-pitch damage against · season
PitchUseEVLAHRRV/100Damage
Sinker Hard
26.8%
80.4
18.4°
0
-2.2
Cutter Hard
25.6%
89.1
20.5°
0
+2.5
Fastball Hard
21.4%
88.4
27.1°
2
+12.6
Sweeper Breaking
17.3%
97.3
-3.2°
0
+3.3
RV/100 = run value against per 100 pitches — higher = more damage allowed. Damage bar is scaled across his own arsenal.
Full ledger
pool + season datapoints · pctile-chipped where ranked
Pool matchups0
HRs allowed (pool)0
Pool HR rate0%
Pool HR/game day—
Top-15 matchups0
HRs to top-150
Overall HR/FB18.5% 85
HR/9—
FIP5.69 91
xFIP3.9
FIP − xFIP—
Barrel% allowed—
Hard-Hit% allowed—
FB%—
K/9—
BB/9—
WHIP—
IP—
Pool = tracked matchup population · pctile chips = MLB-wide percentile (hot ≥ 85) · as of 2026-07-18
Sinker
Hard · 26.8% usage
-2.2
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against80.4 mph
Avg launch angle18.4°
HRs allowed0
Pitches45
Cutter
Hard · 25.6% usage
+2.5
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against89.1 mph
Avg launch angle20.5°
HRs allowed0
Pitches43
Fastball
Hard · 21.4% usage
+12.6
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against88.4 mph
Avg launch angle27.1°
HRs allowed2
Pitches36
Sweeper
Breaking · 17.3% usage
+3.3
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against97.3 mph
Avg launch angle-3.2°
HRs allowed0
Pitches29
Usage by handedness
what tonight's lefties/righties will see
Per-handedness pitch usage isn't tracked yet — the arsenal cache is a season aggregate.
Zone map
damage by location
Per-zone damage isn't tracked yet for pitchers.
Pitcher vs. Batter
career PA vs tonight's listed order
BatterPAHHRKwOBALast damage
BvP under 20 PA is noise — use it for pitch-mix memory, not projection. Context only: not part of the model score.
HR Log
0 allowed · scored pool
No home runs allowed in our scored matchups.
Game-day log
last 0 scored game days · pool
No scored game days yet for Logan Allen.
Box-score start lines (IP · H · ER · K · BB · pitch counts) aren't tracked yet — this is his scored-pool day log, matchups our model actually graded.
Tonight — Progressive Field
open-air · game-window conditions
Park Factor
0.998
Wind
11 mph from S
Temp
75°F
Roof
Open
TimeWindTempFIT
7:10p
11
75°
-10
8:10p
11
75°
-10
9:10p
11
75°
-10
10:10p
11
75°
-10
11:10p
11
75°
-10
-10
Slight red alignment
park + weather FIT · batter-neutral signal
Game-window avg wind 11 mph from S
FIT = park + game-window weather HR signal, batter-neutral. Per-batter spray overlays live on each batter's profile.
Fences vs his leak
wall distance · damage overlay
Wall-distance overlays aren't tracked yet.
Venue splits
his HR/9 by venue
Per-venue HR splits aren't tracked yet.