1
HRs allowed
16.7%
HR rate (pool)
18.5%
Overall HR/FB
5.69
FIP
3.9
xFIP
+1.79
FIP − xFIP gap
Leak meter
STINGY
LEAKY
82
season HR/FB pctile vs MLB pitchers — higher = more HR-prone
Tonight's read
vulnerability percentile · model flags
Meltdown Risk
Vulnerability 82th pctile (season HR/FB pctile vs MLB pitchers)
Where he leaks
quality of contact allowed · season
Barrel% allowed
33.3%
Hard-Hit% allowed
83.3%
Fly-ball rate
—
avg HR 100.2 EV · 387 ft
max EV allowed 107.7
Batted-ball xSLG splits and HR spray direction aren't tracked for pitchers yet.
Recent form
HR allowed by scored game day
Not enough scored game days for a trend line yet.
7D · 1 HR
15D · 1 HR
30D · 1 HR
Dot size = HRs allowed that game day · scored pool only.
Threat Matrix
tonight's lineup × his arsenal families
No lineup yet — the Threat Matrix fills in when today's slate lists batters against Logan Allen.
Arsenal ledger
per-pitch damage against · season
PitchUseEVLAHRRV/100Damage
Cutter Hard
26.4%
84.2
29.5°
2
+2.7
Fastball Hard
26.1%
83.2
27.9°
2
+6.3
Sweeper Breaking
18.1%
89.6
14.4°
1
+3.9
Sinker Hard
17.5%
80.8
14.7°
0
-3.1
Changeup Offspeed
11.8%
73.5
-10.2°
0
+2.2
RV/100 = run value against per 100 pitches — higher = more damage allowed. Damage bar is scaled across his own arsenal.
Full ledger
pool + season datapoints · pctile-chipped where ranked
Pool matchups6
HRs allowed (pool)1
Pool HR rate16.7%
Pool HR/game day1.0
Top-15 matchups0
HRs to top-150
Overall HR/FB18.5% 82
HR/9—
FIP5.69 92
xFIP3.9
FIP − xFIP+1.79 98
Barrel% allowed33.3%
Hard-Hit% allowed83.3%
FB%—
K/9—
BB/9—
WHIP—
IP—
Pool = tracked matchup population · pctile chips = MLB-wide percentile (hot ≥ 85) · as of 2026-09-01
Cutter
Hard · 26.4% usage
+2.7
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against84.2 mph
Avg launch angle29.5°
HRs allowed2
Pitches92
Fastball
Hard · 26.1% usage
+6.3
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against83.2 mph
Avg launch angle27.9°
HRs allowed2
Pitches91
Sweeper
Breaking · 18.1% usage
+3.9
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against89.6 mph
Avg launch angle14.4°
HRs allowed1
Pitches63
Sinker
Hard · 17.5% usage
-3.1
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against80.8 mph
Avg launch angle14.7°
HRs allowed0
Pitches61
Changeup
Offspeed · 11.8% usage
+2.2
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against73.5 mph
Avg launch angle-10.2°
HRs allowed0
Pitches41
Usage by handedness
what tonight's lefties/righties will see
Per-handedness pitch usage isn't tracked yet — the arsenal cache is a season aggregate.
Zone map
damage by location
Per-zone damage isn't tracked yet for pitchers.
Pitcher vs. Batter
career PA vs tonight's listed order
No listed order yet — BvP rows appear when today's slate lists batters against Logan Allen.
BvP under 20 PA is noise — use it for pitch-mix memory, not projection. Context only: not part of the model score.
HR Log
1 allowed · scored pool
avg 100.2 EV · 387 ft
1 in last 30D
DateBatterRankScoreStadiumEVLADist
Every row is a scored-pool matchup — HRs to unscored batters aren't tracked. Pitch type, count, and field direction aren't in the pool log yet.
Game-day log
last 1 scored game days · pool
DateStadiumMatchupsHRMax EV
2026-07-18
6
1
107.7
Box-score start lines (IP · H · ER · K · BB · pitch counts) aren't tracked yet — this is his scored-pool day log, matchups our model actually graded.
Tonight
park factor · wind · temp
Ballpark conditions unavailable — Logan Allen isn't on a scored slate with park & weather inputs.
Fences vs his leak
wall distance · damage overlay
Logan Allen isn't on a scored slate — no park to compare his damage against.
Venue splits
HRs allowed by venue · pool
VenueFacedHRRate
6
1
17%
HRs allowed ÷ scored matchups at each park. Rate is per scored matchup, not HR/9 — box-score innings aren't tracked.
Common questions about Logan Allen
How many home runs has Logan Allen allowed this season?
Logan Allen has allowed 1 home run across 1 scored game day in the TheHomeRuns pool this season.
Which batters have homered off Logan Allen?
In the TheHomeRuns scored pool, the batters with home runs against Logan Allen include George Springer (2), Adolis Garcia (1), Ceddanne Rafaela (1) and 18 more.
Model output for entertainment and research. Not gambling advice.