1
HRs allowed
11.1%
HR rate (pool)
100.0%
Overall HR/FB
4.79
FIP
2.13
xFIP
+2.66
FIP − xFIP gap
Leak meter
STINGY
LEAKY
100
season HR/FB pctile vs MLB pitchers — higher = more HR-prone
Tonight's read
vulnerability percentile · model flags
Meltdown Risk
Vulnerability 100th pctile (season HR/FB pctile vs MLB pitchers)
Where he leaks
quality of contact allowed · season
Barrel% allowed
0.0%
Hard-Hit% allowed
71.4%
Fly-ball rate
—
avg HR 100.8 EV · 375 ft
max EV allowed 108.8
Batted-ball xSLG splits and HR spray direction aren't tracked for pitchers yet.
Recent form
HR allowed by scored game day
Not enough scored game days for a trend line yet.
7D · 1 HR
15D · 1 HR
30D · 1 HR
Dot size = HRs allowed that game day · scored pool only.
Threat Matrix
tonight's lineup × his arsenal families
No lineup yet — the Threat Matrix fills in when today's slate lists batters against Kyle Backhus.
Arsenal ledger
per-pitch damage against · season
PitchUseEVLAHRRV/100Damage
Sinker Hard
55.7%
84.4
14.8°
1
+0.5
Sweeper Breaking
34.8%
79.6
20.5°
2
+1.5
Changeup Offspeed
9.6%
81.2
28.0°
0
+1.6
RV/100 = run value against per 100 pitches — higher = more damage allowed. Damage bar is scaled across his own arsenal.
Full ledger
pool + season datapoints · pctile-chipped where ranked
Pool matchups9
HRs allowed (pool)1
Pool HR rate11.1%
Pool HR/game day1.0
Top-15 matchups2
HRs to top-150
Overall HR/FB100.0% 100
HR/9—
FIP4.79 75
xFIP2.13
FIP − xFIP+2.66 99
Barrel% allowed0.0%
Hard-Hit% allowed71.4%
FB%—
K/9—
BB/9—
WHIP—
IP—
Pool = tracked matchup population · pctile chips = MLB-wide percentile (hot ≥ 85) · as of 2026-07-16
Sinker
Hard · 55.7% usage
+0.5
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against84.4 mph
Avg launch angle14.8°
HRs allowed1
Pitches157
Sweeper
Breaking · 34.8% usage
+1.5
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against79.6 mph
Avg launch angle20.5°
HRs allowed2
Pitches98
Changeup
Offspeed · 9.6% usage
+1.6
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against81.2 mph
Avg launch angle28.0°
HRs allowed0
Pitches27
Usage by handedness
what tonight's lefties/righties will see
Per-handedness pitch usage isn't tracked yet — the arsenal cache is a season aggregate.
Zone map
damage by location
Per-zone damage isn't tracked yet for pitchers.
Pitcher vs. Batter
career PA vs tonight's listed order
No listed order yet — BvP rows appear when today's slate lists batters against Kyle Backhus.
BvP under 20 PA is noise — use it for pitch-mix memory, not projection. Context only: not part of the model score.
HR Log
1 allowed · scored pool
avg 100.8 EV · 375 ft
1 in last 30D
DateBatterRankScoreStadiumEVLADist
Every row is a scored-pool matchup — HRs to unscored batters aren't tracked. Pitch type, count, and field direction aren't in the pool log yet.
Game-day log
last 1 scored game days · pool
DateStadiumMatchupsHRMax EV
2026-04-22
9
1
108.8
Box-score start lines (IP · H · ER · K · BB · pitch counts) aren't tracked yet — this is his scored-pool day log, matchups our model actually graded.
Tonight
park factor · wind · temp
Ballpark conditions unavailable — Kyle Backhus isn't on a scored slate with park & weather inputs.
Fences vs his leak
wall distance · damage overlay
Wall-distance overlays aren't tracked yet.
Venue splits
his HR/9 by venue
Per-venue HR splits aren't tracked yet.