0
HRs allowed
0%
HR rate (pool)
3.2%
Overall HR/FB
3.48
FIP
4.24
xFIP
#29
Leakiest SP today (of 30, by FIP−xFIP)
Leak meter
STINGY
LEAKY
3
season HR/FB pctile vs MLB pitchers — higher = more HR-prone
Tonight's read
vulnerability percentile · model flags
no model flags today
Vulnerability 3th pctile (season HR/FB pctile vs MLB pitchers)
5 of 9 listed bats hold the platoon edge
Where he leaks
quality of contact allowed · season
Barrel% allowed
—
Hard-Hit% allowed
—
Fly-ball rate
—
Batted-ball xSLG splits and HR spray direction aren't tracked for pitchers yet.
Recent form
HR allowed by scored game day
Not enough scored game days for a trend line yet.
Dot size = HRs allowed that game day · scored pool only.
Threat Matrix
tonight's lineup × his arsenal families
FB 63.0%
BRK 34.3%
Overall
Score
Neutral · 1
Long shots · 8 — below the fade line
No single family leads his damage — the leak is spread across the arsenal.
5 of 9 listed bats hold the platoon edge.
Cells are each batter's season damage vs that family (not vs this pitcher specifically).
Arsenal ledger
per-pitch damage against · season
PitchUseEVLAHRRV/100Damage
Sinker Hard
51.0%
82.6
17.9°
0
+0.3
Sweeper Breaking
34.3%
79.5
18.6°
1
-0.8
Fastball Hard
12.0%
81.1
40.1°
0
-4.6
RV/100 = run value against per 100 pitches — higher = more damage allowed. Damage bar is scaled across his own arsenal.
Full ledger
pool + season datapoints · pctile-chipped where ranked
Pool matchups0
HRs allowed (pool)0
Pool HR rate0%
Pool HR/game day—
Top-15 matchups0
HRs to top-150
Overall HR/FB3.2% 3
HR/9—
FIP3.48 29
xFIP4.24
FIP − xFIP—
Barrel% allowed—
Hard-Hit% allowed—
FB%—
K/9—
BB/9—
WHIP—
IP—
Pool = tracked matchup population · pctile chips = MLB-wide percentile (hot ≥ 85) · as of 2026-08-01
Sinker
Hard · 51.0% usage
+0.3
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against82.6 mph
Avg launch angle17.9°
HRs allowed0
Pitches290
Sweeper
Breaking · 34.3% usage
-0.8
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against79.5 mph
Avg launch angle18.6°
HRs allowed1
Pitches195
Fastball
Hard · 12.0% usage
-4.6
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against81.1 mph
Avg launch angle40.1°
HRs allowed0
Pitches68
Usage by handedness
what tonight's lefties/righties will see
Per-handedness pitch usage isn't tracked yet — the arsenal cache is a season aggregate.
Zone map
damage by location
Per-zone damage isn't tracked yet for pitchers.
Pitcher vs. Batter
career PA vs tonight's listed order
BatterPAHHRKwOBALast damage
BvP under 20 PA is noise — use it for pitch-mix memory, not projection. Context only: not part of the model score.
HR Log
0 allowed · scored pool
No home runs allowed in our scored matchups.
Game-day log
last 0 scored game days · pool
No scored game days yet for Jordan Hicks.
Box-score start lines (IP · H · ER · K · BB · pitch counts) aren't tracked yet — this is his scored-pool day log, matchups our model actually graded.
Tonight — Tropicana Field
open-air · game-window conditions
Park Factor
0.903
Wind
0 mph from —
Temp
—
Roof
—
TimeWindTempFIT
4:10p
0
—
-3
5:10p
0
—
-3
6:10p
0
—
-3
7:10p
0
—
-3
8:10p
0
—
-3
-3
Neutral alignment
park + weather FIT · batter-neutral signal
Game-window avg wind 0 mph
FIT = park + game-window weather HR signal, batter-neutral. Per-batter spray overlays live on each batter's profile.
Fences vs his leak
wall distance · damage overlay
LF
315ft
short
CF
404ft
avg
RF
322ft
avg
vs LHH → RF
340ft
0 HRs allowed · short porch
vs RHH → LF
345ft
0 HRs allowed · short porch
Shortest: LF 315 ft
Fence marks are published; power-alley + pull-side depths come from the park's outfield geometry, calibrated to those marks. We don't track HR spray direction — pull side is inferred from batter handedness (LHH→RF, RHH→LF), not a measured read.
Venue splits
HRs allowed by venue · pool
No scored matchups by venue yet for Jordan Hicks.