3
HRs allowed
33.3%
HR rate (pool)
15.0%
Overall HR/FB
4.14
FIP
4.29
xFIP
-0.15
FIP − xFIP gap
Leak meter
STINGY
LEAKY
71
season HR/FB pctile vs MLB pitchers — higher = more HR-prone
Tonight's read
vulnerability percentile · model flags
no model flags today
Vulnerability 71th pctile (season HR/FB pctile vs MLB pitchers)
Where he leaks
quality of contact allowed · season
Barrel% allowed
0.0%
Hard-Hit% allowed
87.5%
Fly-ball rate
—
avg HR 105.3 EV · 411 ft
max EV allowed 109.0
Batted-ball xSLG splits and HR spray direction aren't tracked for pitchers yet.
Recent form
HR allowed by scored game day
Not enough scored game days for a trend line yet.
7D · 3 HR
15D · 3 HR
30D · 3 HR
Dot size = HRs allowed that game day · scored pool only.
Threat Matrix
tonight's lineup × his arsenal families
No lineup yet — the Threat Matrix fills in when today's slate lists batters against John King.
Arsenal ledger
per-pitch damage against · season
PitchUseEVLAHRRV/100Damage
Sinker Hard
32.4%
83.7
3.9°
0
-2.9
Slider Breaking
21.5%
87.0
18.6°
3
+0.9
Changeup Offspeed
20.3%
81.9
3.5°
0
-5.2
Sweeper Breaking
13.8%
79.2
24.5°
0
-5.0
Curveball Breaking
10.1%
84.8
15.5°
0
-1.4
RV/100 = run value against per 100 pitches — higher = more damage allowed. Damage bar is scaled across his own arsenal.
Full ledger
pool + season datapoints · pctile-chipped where ranked
Pool matchups9
HRs allowed (pool)3
Pool HR rate33.3%
Pool HR/game day3.0
Top-15 matchups0
HRs to top-150
Overall HR/FB15.0% 71
HR/9—
FIP4.14 54
xFIP4.29
FIP − xFIP-0.15 38
Barrel% allowed0.0%
Hard-Hit% allowed87.5%
FB%—
K/9—
BB/9—
WHIP—
IP—
Pool = tracked matchup population · pctile chips = MLB-wide percentile (hot ≥ 85) · as of 2026-07-16
Sinker
Hard · 32.4% usage
-2.9
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against83.7 mph
Avg launch angle3.9°
HRs allowed0
Pitches176
Slider
Breaking · 21.5% usage
+0.9
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against87.0 mph
Avg launch angle18.6°
HRs allowed3
Pitches117
Changeup
Offspeed · 20.3% usage
-5.2
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against81.9 mph
Avg launch angle3.5°
HRs allowed0
Pitches110
Sweeper
Breaking · 13.8% usage
-5.0
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against79.2 mph
Avg launch angle24.5°
HRs allowed0
Pitches75
Curveball
Breaking · 10.1% usage
-1.4
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against84.8 mph
Avg launch angle15.5°
HRs allowed0
Pitches55
Usage by handedness
what tonight's lefties/righties will see
Per-handedness pitch usage isn't tracked yet — the arsenal cache is a season aggregate.
Zone map
damage by location
Per-zone damage isn't tracked yet for pitchers.
Pitcher vs. Batter
career PA vs tonight's listed order
No listed order yet — BvP rows appear when today's slate lists batters against John King.
BvP under 20 PA is noise — use it for pitch-mix memory, not projection. Context only: not part of the model score.
HR Log
3 allowed · scored pool
avg 105.3 EV · 411 ft
3 in last 30D
DateBatterRankScoreStadiumEVLADist
Every row is a scored-pool matchup — HRs to unscored batters aren't tracked. Pitch type, count, and field direction aren't in the pool log yet.
Game-day log
last 1 scored game days · pool
DateStadiumMatchupsHRMax EV
2026-05-31
9
3
109.0
Box-score start lines (IP · H · ER · K · BB · pitch counts) aren't tracked yet — this is his scored-pool day log, matchups our model actually graded.
Tonight
park factor · wind · temp
Ballpark conditions unavailable — John King isn't on a scored slate with park & weather inputs.
Fences vs his leak
wall distance · damage overlay
Wall-distance overlays aren't tracked yet.
Venue splits
his HR/9 by venue
Per-venue HR splits aren't tracked yet.