HR Vulnerability Snapshot
?Pitcher's HR-relevant profile. Red = HR-favorable for batters, blue = HR-resistant. Same vocabulary as batter cards.
Pool + today context
0.6
Pool HR/G ?Home runs allowed per tracked LongDong game day. Used when season HR/9 is unavailable.
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Overall HR/FB ?Pitcher's overall season HR-per-fly-ball rate. Matchup rows may show handedness splits such as vs LHH or vs RHH.
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Barrel% Allowed ?Percentage of contact against this pitcher classified as barrels (perfect EV+LA). >12% elite-bad, <5% elite-good.
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Hard-Hit% Allowed ?% of batted balls hit ≥95 mph against this pitcher. >45% elite homer-prone, <33% elite homer-resistant.
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FB% ?Fly-ball rate (% of batted balls that are fly balls). >45% extreme fly-ball pitcher — gives up many HRs. <30% ground-ball pitcher — HR-resistant.
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FIP ?Fielding Independent Pitching. >5.0 elite-bad, 4.0–5.0 above avg, <3.5 elite-good. Isolates pitcher's HR/K/BB skill from defense.
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xFIP ?FIP with HR/FB normalised to league average. Better predictor of FUTURE HR rate than FIP.
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FIP − xFIP ?Positive gap = pitcher has been UNLUCKY with HRs (regression coming). Negative = lucky (regression up). >+0.5 elite regression candidate.
6.9%
Pool HR Rate ?% of LongDong scored matchups against this pitcher that resulted in a HR. Internal benchmark.
130
Pool Matchups
9
HRs Allowed (Pool)
8
Top-15 Matchups
1
HRs to Top-15
6.9%
HR Rate
HRs Allowed Per Game Day
HRs Allowed
| Date | Batter | Rank | Score | Stadium | EV | Angle | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-16 | Esteury Ruiz | #39 | 61 | Citizens Bank Park | 98.0mph | 29.0° | 358ft |
| 2026-06-05 | Randal Grichuk | #93 | 47 | Citizens Bank Park | 104.3mph | 28.0° | 418ft |
| 2026-06-05 | Derek Hill | #200 | 28 | Citizens Bank Park | 101.7mph | 26.0° | 383ft |
| 2026-05-08 | Hunter Goodman | #22 | 48 | Citizens Bank Park | 101.8mph | 35.0° | 389.0ft |
| 2026-04-21 | Nico Hoerner | #174 | 27 | Wrigley Field | 96.3mph | 30.0° | 371.0ft |
| 2026-04-15 | Dansby Swanson | #7 | 53 | Citizens Bank Park | 103.5mph | 34.0° | 389.0ft |
| 2026-04-15 | Nico Hoerner | #75 | 23 | Citizens Bank Park | 98.8mph | 29.0° | 400.0ft |
| 2026-03-29 | Brandon Nimmo | #103 | 40 | Citizens Bank Park | 103.7mph | 30.0° | 410.0ft |
| 2026-03-29 | Andrew McCutchen | #140 | 35 | Citizens Bank Park | 105.7mph | 22.0° | 347.0ft |
All Scored Matchups
| Date | Batter | Rank | Score | Tier | Form | HR? |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-16 | Javier Sanoja | #210 | 24 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-06-16 | Jakob Marsee | #209 | 24 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-06-16 | Xavier Edwards | #173 | 35 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-16 | Otto Lopez | #168 | 36 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-16 | Connor Norby | #149 | 40 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-16 | Liam Hicks | #131 | 43 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-06-16 | Esteury Ruiz | #39 | 61 | 🔵 C+ | 📈 WARM | 💥 |
| 2026-06-10 | Myles Straw | #208 | 24 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-06-10 | Nathan Lukes | #174 | 34 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-10 | George Springer | #134 | 41 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-06-10 | Ernie Clement | #90 | 48 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-10 | Kazuma Okamoto | #59 | 55 | 🟠 C | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-10 | Brandon Valenzuela | #21 | 65 | 🔵 C+ | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-05 | Luisangel Acuña | #239 | 8 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-06-05 | Sam Antonacci | #217 | 23 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-06-05 | Tristan Peters | #209 | 25 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-06-05 | Derek Hill | #200 | 28 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | 💥 |
| 2026-06-05 | Edgar Quero | #176 | 34 | ⚪ D | 🔥 HOT | · |
| 2026-06-05 | Chase Meidroth | #169 | 35 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-06-05 | Randal Grichuk | #93 | 47 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | 💥 |
| 2026-06-05 | Colson Montgomery | #42 | 59 | 🟠 C | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-06-05 | Miguel Vargas | #32 | 63 | 🔵 C+ | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-30 | Hyeseong Kim | #240 | 24 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-30 | Kyle Tucker | #196 | 36 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-30 | Alex Freeland | #186 | 38 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-30 | Will Smith | #110 | 50 | 🟠 C | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-30 | Freddie Freeman | #78 | 55 | 🟠 C | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-30 | Teoscar Hernández | #74 | 56 | 🟠 C | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-30 | Max Muncy | #52 | 60 | 🔵 C+ | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-05-30 | Shohei Ohtani | #31 | 64 | 🔵 C+ | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-30 | Andy Pages | #27 | 66 | 🔵 C+ | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-25 | Fernando Tatis Jr. | #228 | 14 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-05-25 | Rodolfo Durán | #212 | 23 | ⚪ D | · — | · |
| 2026-05-25 | Jackson Merrill | #196 | 28 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-25 | Xander Bogaerts | #190 | 29 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-25 | Nick Castellanos | #154 | 36 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-25 | Ramón Laureano | #142 | 38 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-25 | Manny Machado | #134 | 40 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-25 | Miguel Andujar | #75 | 51 | 🟠 C | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-25 | Ty France | #69 | 52 | 🟠 C | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-19 | Blake Dunn | #178 | 33 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-19 | Ke'Bryan Hayes | #140 | 38 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-05-19 | Tyler Stephenson | #103 | 45 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-05-19 | Dane Myers | #94 | 46 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-19 | Matt McLain | #93 | 46 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-19 | Spencer Steer | #25 | 66 | 🔵 C+ | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-19 | Elly De La Cruz | #15 | 72 | 🟡 B | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-19 | Sal Stewart | #13 | 74 | 🟡 B | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-19 | JJ Bleday | #7 | 80 | 🟢 A | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-14 | Isiah Kiner-Falefa | #182 | 9 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-05-14 | Caleb Durbin | #180 | 10 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-14 | Trevor Story | #155 | 21 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-14 | Andruw Monasterio | #148 | 23 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-05-14 | Carlos Narváez | #132 | 27 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-14 | Ceddanne Rafaela | #125 | 30 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-14 | Jarren Duran | #115 | 32 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-14 | Wilyer Abreu | #74 | 41 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-14 | Willson Contreras | #47 | 50 | 🟠 C | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-08 | Brenton Doyle | #153 | 22 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-05-08 | Ezequiel Tovar | #126 | 26 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-08 | Kyle Karros | #120 | 28 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-08 | Troy Johnston | #102 | 30 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-08 | TJ Rumfield | #83 | 32 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-08 | Willi Castro | #70 | 34 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-08 | Edouard Julien | #52 | 38 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-08 | Mickey Moniak | #30 | 46 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-08 | Hunter Goodman | #22 | 48 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | 💥 |
| 2026-05-03 | Heriberto Hernández | #238 | 9 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-05-03 | Owen Caissie | #203 | 17 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-05-03 | Xavier Edwards | #196 | 18 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-03 | Otto Lopez | #160 | 24 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-03 | Agustín Ramírez | #154 | 25 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-03 | Jakob Marsee | #153 | 25 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-03 | Connor Norby | #141 | 26 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-03 | Graham Pauley | #129 | 27 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-03 | Liam Hicks | #77 | 34 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-28 | Luis Arraez | #151 | 35 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-28 | Matt Chapman | #122 | 41 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-28 | Patrick Bailey | #96 | 45 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-28 | Rafael Devers | #91 | 47 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-28 | Jung Hoo Lee | #81 | 50 | 🟠 C | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-28 | Harrison Bader | #73 | 52 | 🟠 C | 🔥 HOT | · |
| 2026-04-28 | Willy Adames | #50 | 58 | 🟠 C | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-28 | Casey Schmitt | #22 | 70 | 🟡 B | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-28 | Heliot Ramos | #18 | 71 | 🟡 B | 🔥 HOT | · |
| 2026-04-21 | Michael Busch | #212 | 19 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-21 | Nico Hoerner | #174 | 27 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | 💥 |
| 2026-04-21 | Pete Crow-Armstrong | #170 | 28 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-21 | Alex Bregman | #150 | 32 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-21 | Matt Shaw | #126 | 36 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-04-21 | Carson Kelly | #51 | 53 | 🟠 C | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-21 | Dansby Swanson | #50 | 54 | 🟠 C | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-21 | Moisés Ballesteros | #18 | 64 | 🔵 C+ | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-21 | Ian Happ | #14 | 66 | 🔵 C+ | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-15 | Nico Hoerner | #75 | 23 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | 💥 |
| 2026-04-15 | Alex Bregman | #26 | 48 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-04-15 | Ian Happ | #25 | 54 | 🟠 C | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-15 | Miguel Amaya | #20 | 50 | 🟠 C | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-04-15 | Matt Shaw | #17 | 47 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-15 | Pete Crow-Armstrong | #15 | 51 | 🟠 C | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-15 | Seiya Suzuki | #13 | 41 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-15 | Michael Busch | #8 | 54 | 🟠 C | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-15 | Dansby Swanson | #7 | 53 | 🟠 C | ➖ NTRL | 💥 |
| 2026-04-10 | Jorge Barrosa | #227 | 18 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-10 | Nolan Arenado | #218 | 32 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-04-10 | Alek Thomas | #211 | 33 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-10 | Ildemaro Vargas | #208 | 29 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-10 | Gabriel Moreno | #177 | 35 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-10 | Jose Fernandez | #162 | 32 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-10 | Tim Tawa | #160 | 37 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-10 | Geraldo Perdomo | #158 | 38 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-04-10 | Ketel Marte | #76 | 49 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-04 | Tyler Freeman | #201 | 26 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-04-04 | Ryan Ritter | #198 | 27 | ⚪ D | 🔥 HOT | · |
| 2026-04-04 | Ezequiel Tovar | #126 | 40 | ⚪ D | 🔥 HOT | · |
| 2026-04-04 | Kyle Farmer | #104 | 37 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-04-04 | Brenton Doyle | #98 | 41 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-04 | Jordan Beck | #93 | 42 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-04 | Michael Toglia | #66 | 43 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-04 | Mickey Moniak | #54 | 54 | 🟠 C | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-04-04 | Hunter Goodman | #37 | 53 | 🟠 C | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-03-29 | Ezequiel Duran | #188 | 22 | ⚪ D | 🔥 HOT | · |
| 2026-03-29 | Sam Haggerty | #165 | 28 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-03-29 | Andrew McCutchen | #140 | 35 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | 💥 |
| 2026-03-29 | Josh Jung | #133 | 36 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-03-29 | Kyle Higashioka | #132 | 38 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-03-29 | Jake Burger | #108 | 44 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-03-29 | Brandon Nimmo | #103 | 40 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | 💥 |
| 2026-03-29 | Wyatt Langford | #101 | 45 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-03-29 | Corey Seager | #72 | 49 | ⚪ D | 🔥 HOT | · |