2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Junior Caminero 9 HRs · 2 Brandon Marsh 5 HRs · 3 Rafael Devers 5 HRs · 4 Dansby Swanson 5 HRs · 5 Kody Clemens 5 HRs · 6 Ketel Marte 5 HRs · 7 Joc Pederson 5 HRs · 8 Manny Machado 5 HRs · 9 James Wood 4 HRs · 10 Kazuma Okamoto 4 HRs · 11 Cedric Mullins 4 HRs · 12 Michael Busch 4 HRs 1 Junior Caminero 9 HRs · 2 Brandon Marsh 5 HRs · 3 Rafael Devers 5 HRs · 4 Dansby Swanson 5 HRs · 5 Kody Clemens 5 HRs · 6 Ketel Marte 5 HRs · 7 Joc Pederson 5 HRs · 8 Manny Machado 5 HRs · 9 James Wood 4 HRs · 10 Kazuma Okamoto 4 HRs · 11 Cedric Mullins 4 HRs · 12 Michael Busch 4 HRs
Hurston Waldrep

Hurston Waldrep

RHP
0 matchups scored · 0 game days · 7 listed today
0
HRs allowed
0%
HR rate (pool)
25.0%
Overall HR/FB
5.48
FIP
4.55
xFIP
#4
Leakiest SP today (of 31, by FIP−xFIP)
Leak meter STINGY
LEAKY 95
season HR/FB pctile vs MLB pitchers — higher = more HR-prone
Tonight's read
vulnerability percentile · model flags
95
no model flags today
Vulnerability 95th pctile (season HR/FB pctile vs MLB pitchers)
4 of 7 listed bats hold the platoon edge
Where he leaks
quality of contact allowed · season
Barrel% allowed
Hard-Hit% allowed
Fly-ball rate
Batted-ball xSLG splits and HR spray direction aren't tracked for pitchers yet.
Recent form
HR allowed by scored game day
Not enough scored game days for a trend line yet.
Dot size = HRs allowed that game day · scored pool only.
ATL @ PIT 6:40p · PNC Park Park 0.81 Wind 1.5 SSW cross Roof open · 71°F BP FIP 4.07 BP HR 13.0% 2L / 3R listed (+2S) · lineup: proxy_pa_leaders
Threat Matrix
tonight's lineup × his arsenal families
cell = batter Barrel% vs that pitch family — higher runs hotter cold hot
FB 60.3% BRK 17.6% OFF 16.8% Overall Score
Neutral · 1
53 Brandon Lowe L Edge
17.2% 7.4% 13.0% 13.2% C 52
Long shots · 6 — below the fade line
122 Bryan Reynolds S Edge
10.2% 13.6% 5.5% 10.0% D 42
146 Ryan O'Hearn L Edge
9.2% 3.2% 4.8% 7.1% D 38
9.0% 8.7% 0.0% 8.3% D 34
8.1% 8.8% 5.9% 8.1% D 33
1.9% 4.9% 0.0% 2.7% D 25
236 Jake Mangum S Edge
2.6% 0.0% 0.0% 1.1% D 21
No single family leads his damage — the leak is spread across the arsenal. 4 of 7 listed bats hold the platoon edge. Cells are each batter's season damage vs that family (not vs this pitcher specifically).
Arsenal ledger
per-pitch damage against · season
PitchUseEVLAHRRV/100Damage
Sinker Hard 42.7% 87.2 -13.3° 0 -1.5
Curveball Breaking 17.6% 103.8 8.0° 0 +2.3
Cutter Hard 17.6% 81.5 4.4° 0 -1.7
Splitter Offspeed 16.8% 82.5 10.4° 1 +4.5
RV/100 = run value against per 100 pitches — higher = more damage allowed. Damage bar is scaled across his own arsenal.
Full ledger
pool + season datapoints · pctile-chipped where ranked
Pool matchups0
HRs allowed (pool)0
Pool HR rate0%
Pool HR/game day
Top-15 matchups0
HRs to top-150
Overall HR/FB25.0% 95
HR/9
FIP5.48 88
xFIP4.55
FIP − xFIP
Barrel% allowed
Hard-Hit% allowed
FB%
K/9
BB/9
WHIP
IP
Pool = tracked matchup population · pctile chips = MLB-wide percentile (hot ≥ 85) · as of 2026-07-07
Sinker
Hard · 42.7% usage
-1.5 run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against87.2 mph
Avg launch angle-13.3°
HRs allowed0
Pitches56
Curveball
Breaking · 17.6% usage
+2.3 run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against103.8 mph
Avg launch angle8.0°
HRs allowed0
Pitches23
Cutter
Hard · 17.6% usage
-1.7 run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against81.5 mph
Avg launch angle4.4°
HRs allowed0
Pitches23
Splitter
Offspeed · 16.8% usage
+4.5 run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against82.5 mph
Avg launch angle10.4°
HRs allowed1
Pitches22
Usage by handedness
what tonight's lefties/righties will see
Per-handedness pitch usage isn't tracked yet — the arsenal cache is a season aggregate.
Zone map
damage by location
Per-zone damage isn't tracked yet for pitchers.
Pitcher vs. Batter
career PA vs tonight's listed order
BatterPAHHRKwOBALast damage
Brandon Lowe L 2 1 1 0 1.350
Bryan Reynolds S 0 never faced
Ryan O'Hearn L 0 never faced
Marcell Ozuna R 0 never faced
Konnor Griffin R 0 never faced
Nick Gonzales R 0 never faced
Jake Mangum S 0 never faced
BvP under 20 PA is noise — use it for pitch-mix memory, not projection. Context only: not part of the model score.
HR Log
0 allowed · scored pool
No home runs allowed in our scored matchups.
Game-day log
last 0 scored game days · pool
No scored game days yet for Hurston Waldrep.
Box-score start lines (IP · H · ER · K · BB · pitch counts) aren't tracked yet — this is his scored-pool day log, matchups our model actually graded.
Tonight — PNC Park
open-air · game-window conditions
Park Factor 0.808 Wind 2 mph from SSW Temp 71°F Roof Open
TimeWindTempFIT
6:40p 2 71° -6
7:40p 2 71° -6
8:40p 2 71° -6
9:40p 2 71° -6
10:40p 2 71° -6
-6
Slight red alignment
park + weather FIT · batter-neutral signal
Game-window avg wind 2 mph from SSW
FIT = park + game-window weather HR signal, batter-neutral. Per-batter spray overlays live on each batter's profile.
Fences vs his leak
wall distance · damage overlay
Wall-distance overlays aren't tracked yet.
Venue splits
his HR/9 by venue
Per-venue HR splits aren't tracked yet.
Six home runs to freedom

Hurston Waldrep's full pitcher profile is waiting

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