0
HRs allowed
0%
HR rate (pool)
25.0%
Overall HR/FB
5.48
FIP
4.55
xFIP
#4
Leakiest SP today (of 31, by FIP−xFIP)
Leak meter
STINGY
LEAKY
95
season HR/FB pctile vs MLB pitchers — higher = more HR-prone
Tonight's read
vulnerability percentile · model flags
no model flags today
Vulnerability 95th pctile (season HR/FB pctile vs MLB pitchers)
4 of 7 listed bats hold the platoon edge
Where he leaks
quality of contact allowed · season
Barrel% allowed
—
Hard-Hit% allowed
—
Fly-ball rate
—
Batted-ball xSLG splits and HR spray direction aren't tracked for pitchers yet.
Recent form
HR allowed by scored game day
Not enough scored game days for a trend line yet.
Dot size = HRs allowed that game day · scored pool only.
Threat Matrix
tonight's lineup × his arsenal families
FB 60.3%
BRK 17.6%
OFF 16.8%
Overall
Score
Neutral · 1
Long shots · 6 — below the fade line
No single family leads his damage — the leak is spread across the arsenal.
4 of 7 listed bats hold the platoon edge.
Cells are each batter's season damage vs that family (not vs this pitcher specifically).
Arsenal ledger
per-pitch damage against · season
PitchUseEVLAHRRV/100Damage
Sinker Hard
42.7%
87.2
-13.3°
0
-1.5
Curveball Breaking
17.6%
103.8
8.0°
0
+2.3
Cutter Hard
17.6%
81.5
4.4°
0
-1.7
Splitter Offspeed
16.8%
82.5
10.4°
1
+4.5
RV/100 = run value against per 100 pitches — higher = more damage allowed. Damage bar is scaled across his own arsenal.
Full ledger
pool + season datapoints · pctile-chipped where ranked
Pool matchups0
HRs allowed (pool)0
Pool HR rate0%
Pool HR/game day—
Top-15 matchups0
HRs to top-150
Overall HR/FB25.0% 95
HR/9—
FIP5.48 88
xFIP4.55
FIP − xFIP—
Barrel% allowed—
Hard-Hit% allowed—
FB%—
K/9—
BB/9—
WHIP—
IP—
Pool = tracked matchup population · pctile chips = MLB-wide percentile (hot ≥ 85) · as of 2026-07-07
Sinker
Hard · 42.7% usage
-1.5
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against87.2 mph
Avg launch angle-13.3°
HRs allowed0
Pitches56
Curveball
Breaking · 17.6% usage
+2.3
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against103.8 mph
Avg launch angle8.0°
HRs allowed0
Pitches23
Cutter
Hard · 17.6% usage
-1.7
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against81.5 mph
Avg launch angle4.4°
HRs allowed0
Pitches23
Splitter
Offspeed · 16.8% usage
+4.5
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against82.5 mph
Avg launch angle10.4°
HRs allowed1
Pitches22
Usage by handedness
what tonight's lefties/righties will see
Per-handedness pitch usage isn't tracked yet — the arsenal cache is a season aggregate.
Zone map
damage by location
Per-zone damage isn't tracked yet for pitchers.
Pitcher vs. Batter
career PA vs tonight's listed order
BatterPAHHRKwOBALast damage
BvP under 20 PA is noise — use it for pitch-mix memory, not projection. Context only: not part of the model score.
HR Log
0 allowed · scored pool
No home runs allowed in our scored matchups.
Game-day log
last 0 scored game days · pool
No scored game days yet for Hurston Waldrep.
Box-score start lines (IP · H · ER · K · BB · pitch counts) aren't tracked yet — this is his scored-pool day log, matchups our model actually graded.
Tonight — PNC Park
open-air · game-window conditions
Park Factor
0.808
Wind
2 mph from SSW
Temp
71°F
Roof
Open
TimeWindTempFIT
6:40p
2
71°
-6
7:40p
2
71°
-6
8:40p
2
71°
-6
9:40p
2
71°
-6
10:40p
2
71°
-6
-6
Slight red alignment
park + weather FIT · batter-neutral signal
Game-window avg wind 2 mph from SSW
FIT = park + game-window weather HR signal, batter-neutral. Per-batter spray overlays live on each batter's profile.
Fences vs his leak
wall distance · damage overlay
Wall-distance overlays aren't tracked yet.
Venue splits
his HR/9 by venue
Per-venue HR splits aren't tracked yet.