HR Vulnerability Snapshot
?Pitcher's HR-relevant profile. Red = HR-favorable for batters, blue = HR-resistant. Same vocabulary as batter cards.
Pool + today context
0.25
Pool HR/G ?Home runs allowed per tracked LongDong game day. Used when season HR/9 is unavailable.
·
Overall HR/FB ?Pitcher's overall season HR-per-fly-ball rate. Matchup rows may show handedness splits such as vs LHH or vs RHH.
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Barrel% Allowed ?Percentage of contact against this pitcher classified as barrels (perfect EV+LA). >12% elite-bad, <5% elite-good.
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Hard-Hit% Allowed ?% of batted balls hit ≥95 mph against this pitcher. >45% elite homer-prone, <33% elite homer-resistant.
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FB% ?Fly-ball rate (% of batted balls that are fly balls). >45% extreme fly-ball pitcher — gives up many HRs. <30% ground-ball pitcher — HR-resistant.
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FIP ?Fielding Independent Pitching. >5.0 elite-bad, 4.0–5.0 above avg, <3.5 elite-good. Isolates pitcher's HR/K/BB skill from defense.
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xFIP ?FIP with HR/FB normalised to league average. Better predictor of FUTURE HR rate than FIP.
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FIP − xFIP ?Positive gap = pitcher has been UNLUCKY with HRs (regression coming). Negative = lucky (regression up). >+0.5 elite regression candidate.
3.1%
Pool HR Rate ?% of LongDong scored matchups against this pitcher that resulted in a HR. Internal benchmark.
32
Pool Matchups
1
HRs Allowed (Pool)
3
Top-15 Matchups
0
HRs to Top-15
3.1%
HR Rate
HRs Allowed Per Game Day
HRs Allowed
| Date | Batter | Rank | Score | Stadium | EV | Angle | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-07 | Freddy Fermin | #227 | 20 | Petco Park | 103.6mph | 32.0° | 404ft |
All Scored Matchups
| Date | Batter | Rank | Score | Tier | Form | HR? |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-07 | Freddy Fermin | #227 | 20 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | 💥 |
| 2026-06-07 | Xander Bogaerts | #181 | 31 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-06-07 | Jackson Merrill | #161 | 37 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-07 | Manny Machado | #105 | 46 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-07 | Ty France | #78 | 50 | 🟠 C | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-27 | TJ Friedl | #244 | 24 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-05-27 | Blake Dunn | #229 | 27 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-05-27 | Eugenio Suárez | #226 | 28 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-27 | Tyler Stephenson | #183 | 35 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-27 | Spencer Steer | #162 | 37 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-27 | Sal Stewart | #109 | 46 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-27 | Elly De La Cruz | #73 | 54 | 🟠 C | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-27 | JJ Bleday | #59 | 57 | 🟠 C | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-27 | Nathaniel Lowe | #42 | 62 | 🔵 C+ | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-16 | Anthony Volpe | #229 | 24 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-05-16 | Jazz Chisholm Jr. | #221 | 27 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-05-16 | Austin Wells | #147 | 40 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-16 | Cody Bellinger | #92 | 50 | 🟠 C | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-16 | Trent Grisham | #59 | 58 | 🟠 C | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-16 | Amed Rosario | #55 | 59 | 🟠 C | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-16 | Ben Rice | #9 | 84 | 🟢 A | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-16 | Paul Goldschmidt | #8 | 85 | 🟢 A | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-16 | Aaron Judge | #4 | 88 | 🟢 A | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-10 | Jorge Barrosa | #222 | 14 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-10 | Alek Thomas | #221 | 14 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-10 | Ketel Marte | #220 | 14 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-10 | Jose Fernandez | #213 | 15 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-10 | Nolan Arenado | #203 | 17 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-10 | Adrian Del Castillo | #192 | 19 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-10 | Geraldo Perdomo | #188 | 20 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-10 | Ildemaro Vargas | #169 | 22 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-10 | Corbin Carroll | #144 | 25 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |