2
HRs allowed
11.1%
HR rate (pool)
0.0%
Overall HR/FB
Leak meter
STINGY
LEAKY
3
season HR/FB pctile vs MLB pitchers — higher = more HR-prone
Tonight's read
vulnerability percentile · model flags
no model flags today
Vulnerability 3th pctile (season HR/FB pctile vs MLB pitchers)
Where he leaks
quality of contact allowed · season
Barrel% allowed
0.0%
Hard-Hit% allowed
71.4%
Fly-ball rate
—
avg HR 106.9 EV · 413 ft
max EV allowed 108.5
Batted-ball xSLG splits and HR spray direction aren't tracked for pitchers yet.
Recent form
HR allowed by scored game day
7D · 2 HR
15D · 2 HR
30D · 2 HR
Dot size = HRs allowed that game day · scored pool only.
Threat Matrix
tonight's lineup × his arsenal families
No lineup yet — the Threat Matrix fills in when today's slate lists batters against Grant Taylor.
Arsenal ledger
per-pitch damage against · season
PitchUseEVLAHRRV/100Damage
Fastball Hard
49.1%
83.7
27.8°
3
-1.2
Curveball Breaking
27.1%
83.0
-1.3°
0
-2.4
Slider Breaking
15.3%
79.5
21.2°
1
+1.7
Sinker Hard
7.8%
79.6
1.6°
0
-3.0
RV/100 = run value against per 100 pitches — higher = more damage allowed. Damage bar is scaled across his own arsenal.
Full ledger
pool + season datapoints · pctile-chipped where ranked
Pool matchups18
HRs allowed (pool)2
Pool HR rate11.1%
Pool HR/game day1.0
Top-15 matchups0
HRs to top-150
Overall HR/FB0.0% 3
HR/9—
FIP—
xFIP—
FIP − xFIP—
Barrel% allowed0.0%
Hard-Hit% allowed71.4%
FB%—
K/9—
BB/9—
WHIP—
IP—
Pool = tracked matchup population · pctile chips = MLB-wide percentile (hot ≥ 85) · as of 2026-07-18
Fastball
Hard · 49.1% usage
-1.2
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against83.7 mph
Avg launch angle27.8°
HRs allowed3
Pitches402
Curveball
Breaking · 27.1% usage
-2.4
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against83.0 mph
Avg launch angle-1.3°
HRs allowed0
Pitches222
Slider
Breaking · 15.3% usage
+1.7
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against79.5 mph
Avg launch angle21.2°
HRs allowed1
Pitches125
Sinker
Hard · 7.8% usage
-3.0
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against79.6 mph
Avg launch angle1.6°
HRs allowed0
Pitches64
Usage by handedness
what tonight's lefties/righties will see
Per-handedness pitch usage isn't tracked yet — the arsenal cache is a season aggregate.
Zone map
damage by location
Per-zone damage isn't tracked yet for pitchers.
Pitcher vs. Batter
career PA vs tonight's listed order
No listed order yet — BvP rows appear when today's slate lists batters against Grant Taylor.
BvP under 20 PA is noise — use it for pitch-mix memory, not projection. Context only: not part of the model score.
HR Log
2 allowed · scored pool
avg 106.9 EV · 413 ft
2 in last 30D
DateBatterRankScoreStadiumEVLADist
Every row is a scored-pool matchup — HRs to unscored batters aren't tracked. Pitch type, count, and field direction aren't in the pool log yet.
Game-day log
last 2 scored game days · pool
DateStadiumMatchupsHRMax EV
2026-04-06
9
1
105.3
2026-04-04
9
1
108.5
Box-score start lines (IP · H · ER · K · BB · pitch counts) aren't tracked yet — this is his scored-pool day log, matchups our model actually graded.
Tonight
park factor · wind · temp
Ballpark conditions unavailable — Grant Taylor isn't on a scored slate with park & weather inputs.
Fences vs his leak
wall distance · damage overlay
Wall-distance overlays aren't tracked yet.
Venue splits
his HR/9 by venue
Per-venue HR splits aren't tracked yet.