3
HRs allowed
16.7%
HR rate (pool)
3.2%
Overall HR/FB
3.06
FIP
4.66
xFIP
-1.59
FIP − xFIP gap
Leak meter
STINGY
LEAKY
3
season HR/FB pctile vs MLB pitchers — higher = more HR-prone
Tonight's read
vulnerability percentile · model flags
no model flags today
Vulnerability 3th pctile (season HR/FB pctile vs MLB pitchers)
Where he leaks
quality of contact allowed · season
Barrel% allowed
0.0%
Hard-Hit% allowed
77.8%
Fly-ball rate
—
avg HR 101.5 EV · 401 ft
max EV allowed 112.7
Batted-ball xSLG splits and HR spray direction aren't tracked for pitchers yet.
Recent form
HR allowed by scored game day
7D · 3 HR
15D · 3 HR
30D · 3 HR
Dot size = HRs allowed that game day · scored pool only.
Threat Matrix
tonight's lineup × his arsenal families
No lineup yet — the Threat Matrix fills in when today's slate lists batters against Coleman Crow.
Arsenal ledger
per-pitch damage against · season
PitchUseEVLAHRRV/100Damage
Cutter Hard
36.3%
85.9
26.7°
1
+0.6
Curveball Breaking
20.7%
83.8
-3.7°
0
-2.3
Fastball Hard
18.3%
81.3
18.1°
0
+4.5
Sinker Hard
16.9%
85.0
27.7°
1
+1.0
Sweeper Breaking
7.8%
80.5
25.8°
0
+1.4
RV/100 = run value against per 100 pitches — higher = more damage allowed. Damage bar is scaled across his own arsenal.
Full ledger
pool + season datapoints · pctile-chipped where ranked
Pool matchups18
HRs allowed (pool)3
Pool HR rate16.7%
Pool HR/game day1.5
Top-15 matchups2
HRs to top-151
Overall HR/FB3.2% 3
HR/9—
FIP3.06 17
xFIP4.66
FIP − xFIP-1.59 1
Barrel% allowed0.0%
Hard-Hit% allowed77.8%
FB%—
K/9—
BB/9—
WHIP—
IP—
Pool = tracked matchup population · pctile chips = MLB-wide percentile (hot ≥ 85) · as of 2026-07-16
Cutter
Hard · 36.3% usage
+0.6
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against85.9 mph
Avg launch angle26.7°
HRs allowed1
Pitches107
Curveball
Breaking · 20.7% usage
-2.3
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against83.8 mph
Avg launch angle-3.7°
HRs allowed0
Pitches61
Fastball
Hard · 18.3% usage
+4.5
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against81.3 mph
Avg launch angle18.1°
HRs allowed0
Pitches54
Sinker
Hard · 16.9% usage
+1.0
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against85.0 mph
Avg launch angle27.7°
HRs allowed1
Pitches50
Sweeper
Breaking · 7.8% usage
+1.4
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against80.5 mph
Avg launch angle25.8°
HRs allowed0
Pitches23
Usage by handedness
what tonight's lefties/righties will see
Per-handedness pitch usage isn't tracked yet — the arsenal cache is a season aggregate.
Zone map
damage by location
Per-zone damage isn't tracked yet for pitchers.
Pitcher vs. Batter
career PA vs tonight's listed order
No listed order yet — BvP rows appear when today's slate lists batters against Coleman Crow.
BvP under 20 PA is noise — use it for pitch-mix memory, not projection. Context only: not part of the model score.
HR Log
3 allowed · scored pool
avg 101.5 EV · 401 ft
3 in last 30D
DateBatterRankScoreStadiumEVLADist
Every row is a scored-pool matchup — HRs to unscored batters aren't tracked. Pitch type, count, and field direction aren't in the pool log yet.
Game-day log
last 2 scored game days · pool
DateStadiumMatchupsHRMax EV
2026-06-04
9
2
110.0
2026-05-29
9
1
112.7
Box-score start lines (IP · H · ER · K · BB · pitch counts) aren't tracked yet — this is his scored-pool day log, matchups our model actually graded.
Tonight
park factor · wind · temp
Ballpark conditions unavailable — Coleman Crow isn't on a scored slate with park & weather inputs.
Fences vs his leak
wall distance · damage overlay
Wall-distance overlays aren't tracked yet.
Venue splits
his HR/9 by venue
Per-venue HR splits aren't tracked yet.