⚾ TheHomeRuns.org 2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Dillon Dingler 5 HRs · 4 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 5 Freddie Freeman 4 HRs · 6 JJ Bleday 4 HRs · 7 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 8 Wenceel Pérez 4 HRs · 9 Hunter Goodman 4 HRs · 10 Spencer Horwitz 4 HRs · 11 Ronald Acuña Jr. 4 HRs · 12 James Wood 4 HRs 1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Dillon Dingler 5 HRs · 4 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 5 Freddie Freeman 4 HRs · 6 JJ Bleday 4 HRs · 7 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 8 Wenceel Pérez 4 HRs · 9 Hunter Goodman 4 HRs · 10 Spencer Horwitz 4 HRs · 11 Ronald Acuña Jr. 4 HRs · 12 James Wood 4 HRs
Cade Horton
Cade Horton RHP WSH
9 matchups scored · 1 game days
1 HRs Allowed
11.1% HR Rate (Pool)
HR Vulnerability Snapshot Pool + today context
·
HR/9 ?Home runs allowed per 9 innings. >1.5 elite-bad (homer-friendly), 1.2–1.5 above avg, <0.9 elite-good (HR-resistant).
·
HR/FB ?Pitcher's HR-per-fly-ball rate. >15% elite homer-prone, 12–15% above avg, <8% homer-resistant. League avg ~12%.
·
Barrel% Allowed ?Percentage of contact against this pitcher classified as barrels (perfect EV+LA). >12% elite-bad, <5% elite-good.
·
Hard-Hit% Allowed ?% of batted balls hit ≥95 mph against this pitcher. >45% elite homer-prone, <33% elite homer-resistant.
·
FB% ?Fly-ball rate (% of batted balls that are fly balls). >45% extreme fly-ball pitcher — gives up many HRs. <30% ground-ball pitcher — HR-resistant.
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FIP ?Fielding Independent Pitching. >5.0 elite-bad, 4.0–5.0 above avg, <3.5 elite-good. Isolates pitcher's HR/K/BB skill from defense.
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xFIP ?FIP with HR/FB normalised to league average. Better predictor of FUTURE HR rate than FIP.
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FIP − xFIP ?Positive gap = pitcher has been UNLUCKY with HRs (regression coming). Negative = lucky (regression up). >+0.5 elite regression candidate.
11.1%
Pool HR Rate ?% of LongDong scored matchups against this pitcher that resulted in a HR. Internal benchmark.
9
Pool Matchups
1
HRs Allowed (Pool)
0
Top-15 Matchups
0
HRs to Top-15
11.1%
HR Rate
Recent HR Splits
trend vs full-pool HR rate
Window Matchups Game Days HR HR Rate HR/Game Avg Max EV Avg HR EV Avg HR LA Avg HR Dist Trend
Last 7 9 1 1 11.1% 1.0 98.5mph 110.0mph 18.0° 364ft Flat +0.0pp
Last 15 9 1 1 11.1% 1.0 98.5mph 110.0mph 18.0° 364ft Flat +0.0pp
Last 30 9 1 1 11.1% 1.0 98.5mph 110.0mph 18.0° 364ft Flat +0.0pp
Batted-Ball Damage
9 tracked BBE from 9 pool matchups
98.5
110.0
7
0
110.0
18.0°
364
Date Batter Max EV HR EV HR LA HR Dist HR?
2026-03-28 James Wood 110.0mph 110.0mph 18° 364ft Yes
2026-03-28 Luis García Jr. 109.7mph · · · ·
2026-03-28 Nasim Nuñez 102.8mph · · · ·
HRs Allowed Per Game Day
1 days · 1 total HRs
HRs Allowed
1 home runs against scored batters
Date Batter Rank Score Stadium EV Angle Dist
2026-03-28 James Wood #37 51 Wrigley Field 110.0mph 18.0° 364.0ft
Pitch Arsenal
higher RV = more hittable
Pitch Pitches Usage RV/100 Avg EV Avg LA HRs
Fastball 54 50.9% -3.4 86.4 13.1° 1
All Scored Matchups
9 matchups · newest first
Date Batter Rank Score Tier Form HR?
2026-03-28 José Tena #249 30 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-03-28 Drew Millas #248 29 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-03-28 Jacob Young #241 20 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-03-28 Jorbit Vivas #222 28 ⚪ D · — ·
2026-03-28 Brady House #216 27 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-03-28 Daylen Lile #197 40 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-03-28 Luis García Jr. #180 39 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-03-28 Nasim Nuñez #67 37 ⚪ D · — ·
2026-03-28 James Wood #37 51 🟠 C ❄ COLD 💥
LD 3.2.93

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