Cade Horton
RHP
WSH
1
HRs Allowed
11.1%
HR Rate (Pool)
HR Vulnerability Snapshot
?Pitcher's HR-relevant profile. Red = HR-favorable for batters, blue = HR-resistant. Same vocabulary as batter cards.
Pool + today context
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HR/9 ?Home runs allowed per 9 innings. >1.5 elite-bad (homer-friendly), 1.2–1.5 above avg, <0.9 elite-good (HR-resistant).
·
HR/FB ?Pitcher's HR-per-fly-ball rate. >15% elite homer-prone, 12–15% above avg, <8% homer-resistant. League avg ~12%.
·
Barrel% Allowed ?Percentage of contact against this pitcher classified as barrels (perfect EV+LA). >12% elite-bad, <5% elite-good.
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Hard-Hit% Allowed ?% of batted balls hit ≥95 mph against this pitcher. >45% elite homer-prone, <33% elite homer-resistant.
·
FB% ?Fly-ball rate (% of batted balls that are fly balls). >45% extreme fly-ball pitcher — gives up many HRs. <30% ground-ball pitcher — HR-resistant.
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FIP ?Fielding Independent Pitching. >5.0 elite-bad, 4.0–5.0 above avg, <3.5 elite-good. Isolates pitcher's HR/K/BB skill from defense.
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xFIP ?FIP with HR/FB normalised to league average. Better predictor of FUTURE HR rate than FIP.
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FIP − xFIP ?Positive gap = pitcher has been UNLUCKY with HRs (regression coming). Negative = lucky (regression up). >+0.5 elite regression candidate.
11.1%
Pool HR Rate ?% of LongDong scored matchups against this pitcher that resulted in a HR. Internal benchmark.
9
Pool Matchups
1
HRs Allowed (Pool)
0
Top-15 Matchups
0
HRs to Top-15
11.1%
HR Rate
Recent HR Splits
| Window | Matchups | Game Days | HR | HR Rate | HR/Game | Avg Max EV | Avg HR EV | Avg HR LA | Avg HR Dist | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 7 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 11.1% | 1.0 | 98.5mph | 110.0mph | 18.0° | 364ft | Flat +0.0pp |
| Last 15 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 11.1% | 1.0 | 98.5mph | 110.0mph | 18.0° | 364ft | Flat +0.0pp |
| Last 30 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 11.1% | 1.0 | 98.5mph | 110.0mph | 18.0° | 364ft | Flat +0.0pp |
Batted-Ball Damage
98.5
Avg Max EV
110.0
Max EV Allowed
7
Hard-Hit Proxy · 77.8%
0
Barrel Flags · 0.0%
110.0
Avg HR EV
18.0°
Avg HR Launch
364
Avg HR Distance
| Date | Batter | Max EV | HR EV | HR LA | HR Dist | HR? |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-28 | James Wood | 110.0mph | 110.0mph | 18° | 364ft | Yes |
| 2026-03-28 | Luis García Jr. | 109.7mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-03-28 | Nasim Nuñez | 102.8mph | · | · | · | · |
HRs Allowed Per Game Day
HRs Allowed
| Date | Batter | Rank | Score | Stadium | EV | Angle | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-28 | James Wood | #37 | 51 | Wrigley Field | 110.0mph | 18.0° | 364.0ft |
Pitch Arsenal
| Pitch | Pitches | Usage | RV/100 | Avg EV | Avg LA | HRs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fastball | 54 | 50.9% | -3.4 | 86.4 | 13.1° | 1 |
All Scored Matchups
| Date | Batter | Rank | Score | Tier | Form | HR? |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-28 | José Tena | #249 | 30 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-03-28 | Drew Millas | #248 | 29 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-03-28 | Jacob Young | #241 | 20 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-03-28 | Jorbit Vivas | #222 | 28 | ⚪ D | · — | · |
| 2026-03-28 | Brady House | #216 | 27 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-03-28 | Daylen Lile | #197 | 40 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-03-28 | Luis García Jr. | #180 | 39 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-03-28 | Nasim Nuñez | #67 | 37 | ⚪ D | · — | · |
| 2026-03-28 | James Wood | #37 | 51 | 🟠 C | ❄ COLD | 💥 |