0
HRs allowed
0%
HR rate (pool)
16.0%
Overall HR/FB
4.72
FIP
4.14
xFIP
#7
Leakiest SP today (of 30, by FIP−xFIP)
Leak meter
STINGY
LEAKY
75
season HR/FB pctile vs MLB pitchers — higher = more HR-prone
Tonight's read
vulnerability percentile · model flags
no model flags today
Vulnerability 75th pctile (season HR/FB pctile vs MLB pitchers)
1 of 5 listed bats hold the platoon edge
Where he leaks
quality of contact allowed · season
Barrel% allowed
—
Hard-Hit% allowed
—
Fly-ball rate
—
Batted-ball xSLG splits and HR spray direction aren't tracked for pitchers yet.
Recent form
HR allowed by scored game day
Not enough scored game days for a trend line yet.
Dot size = HRs allowed that game day · scored pool only.
Threat Matrix
tonight's lineup × his arsenal families
FB 70.7%
BRK 28.2%
Overall
Score
Neutral · 1
Long shots · 4 — below the fade line
Read the columns: the fastball family (70.7% usage) carries his damage — FB is the leak.
1 of 5 listed bats hold the platoon edge.
Cells are each batter's season damage vs that family (not vs this pitcher specifically).
Arsenal ledger
per-pitch damage against · season
PitchUseEVLAHRRV/100Damage
Fastball Hard
58.2%
81.2
22.8°
4
-0.4
Sweeper Breaking
28.2%
80.3
14.8°
3
+2.4
Sinker Hard
12.5%
80.7
-2.5°
0
-3.4
RV/100 = run value against per 100 pitches — higher = more damage allowed. Damage bar is scaled across his own arsenal.
Full ledger
pool + season datapoints · pctile-chipped where ranked
Pool matchups0
HRs allowed (pool)0
Pool HR rate0%
Pool HR/game day—
Top-15 matchups0
HRs to top-150
Overall HR/FB16.0% 75
HR/9—
FIP4.72 73
xFIP4.14
FIP − xFIP—
Barrel% allowed—
Hard-Hit% allowed—
FB%—
K/9—
BB/9—
WHIP—
IP—
Pool = tracked matchup population · pctile chips = MLB-wide percentile (hot ≥ 85) · as of 2026-08-12
Fastball
Hard · 58.2% usage
-0.4
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against81.2 mph
Avg launch angle22.8°
HRs allowed4
Pitches474
Sweeper
Breaking · 28.2% usage
+2.4
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against80.3 mph
Avg launch angle14.8°
HRs allowed3
Pitches230
Sinker
Hard · 12.5% usage
-3.4
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against80.7 mph
Avg launch angle-2.5°
HRs allowed0
Pitches102
Usage by handedness
what tonight's lefties/righties will see
Per-handedness pitch usage isn't tracked yet — the arsenal cache is a season aggregate.
Zone map
damage by location
Per-zone damage isn't tracked yet for pitchers.
Pitcher vs. Batter
career PA vs tonight's listed order
BatterPAHHRKwOBALast damage
BvP under 20 PA is noise — use it for pitch-mix memory, not projection. Context only: not part of the model score.
HR Log
0 allowed · scored pool
No home runs allowed in our scored matchups.
Game-day log
last 0 scored game days · pool
No scored game days yet for Bryan King.
Box-score start lines (IP · H · ER · K · BB · pitch counts) aren't tracked yet — this is his scored-pool day log, matchups our model actually graded.
Tonight — Oracle Park
open-air · game-window conditions
Park Factor
0.872
Wind
9 mph from WSW
Temp
76°F
Roof
Open
TimeWindTempFIT
12:45p
9
76°
+6
1:45p
11
78°
+8
2:45p
12
77°
+9
3:45p
13
76°
+10
4:45p
14
74°
+11
+9
Slight green alignment
park + weather FIT · batter-neutral signal
Game-window avg wind 12 mph from W
FIT = park + game-window weather HR signal, batter-neutral. Per-batter spray overlays live on each batter's profile.
Fences vs his leak
wall distance · damage overlay
LF
339ft
deep
CF
399ft
avg
RF
309ft
short
vs LHH → RF
359ft
0 HRs allowed
vs RHH → LF
352ft
0 HRs allowed
Shortest: RF 309 ft
24-ft RF wall (the Arcade) plays RF bigger than 309
Fence marks are published; power-alley + pull-side depths come from the park's outfield geometry, calibrated to those marks. We don't track HR spray direction — pull side is inferred from batter handedness (LHH→RF, RHH→LF), not a measured read.
Venue splits
HRs allowed by venue · pool
No scored matchups by venue yet for Bryan King.
Common questions about Bryan King
Is Bryan King likely to give up a home run tonight?
Bryan King pitches tonight (HOU @ SF at Oracle Park). This season he has allowed 0 home runs across 0 scored game days. TheHomeRuns model scores every batter he faces; see the matchup table on this page for tonight's most dangerous bats. Model output, not a guarantee. Not gambling advice.
Model output for entertainment and research. Not gambling advice.