1
HRs allowed
5.6%
HR rate (pool)
9.5%
Overall HR/FB
3.0
FIP
3.29
xFIP
-0.29
FIP − xFIP gap
Leak meter
STINGY
LEAKY
21
season HR/FB pctile vs MLB pitchers — higher = more HR-prone
Tonight's read
vulnerability percentile · model flags
no model flags today
Vulnerability 21th pctile (season HR/FB pctile vs MLB pitchers)
Where he leaks
quality of contact allowed · season
Barrel% allowed
0.0%
Hard-Hit% allowed
61.1%
Fly-ball rate
—
avg HR 110.1 EV · 421 ft
max EV allowed 111.0
Batted-ball xSLG splits and HR spray direction aren't tracked for pitchers yet.
Recent form
HR allowed by scored game day
7D · 1 HR
15D · 1 HR
30D · 1 HR
Dot size = HRs allowed that game day · scored pool only.
Threat Matrix
tonight's lineup × his arsenal families
No lineup yet — the Threat Matrix fills in when today's slate lists batters against Braxton Garrett.
Arsenal ledger
per-pitch damage against · season
PitchUseEVLAHRRV/100Damage
Sinker Hard
28.7%
85.3
27.4°
0
+5.5
Fastball Hard
21.7%
74.8
32.0°
0
+0.4
Sweeper Breaking
20.2%
80.4
11.0°
0
+0.9
Slider Breaking
16.3%
74.4
24.5°
0
+5.0
RV/100 = run value against per 100 pitches — higher = more damage allowed. Damage bar is scaled across his own arsenal.
Full ledger
pool + season datapoints · pctile-chipped where ranked
Pool matchups18
HRs allowed (pool)1
Pool HR rate5.6%
Pool HR/game day0.5
Top-15 matchups1
HRs to top-150
Overall HR/FB9.5% 21
HR/9—
FIP3.0 14
xFIP3.29
FIP − xFIP-0.29 30
Barrel% allowed0.0%
Hard-Hit% allowed61.1%
FB%—
K/9—
BB/9—
WHIP—
IP—
Pool = tracked matchup population · pctile chips = MLB-wide percentile (hot ≥ 85) · as of 2026-07-16
Sinker
Hard · 28.7% usage
+5.5
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against85.3 mph
Avg launch angle27.4°
HRs allowed0
Pitches37
Fastball
Hard · 21.7% usage
+0.4
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against74.8 mph
Avg launch angle32.0°
HRs allowed0
Pitches28
Sweeper
Breaking · 20.2% usage
+0.9
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against80.4 mph
Avg launch angle11.0°
HRs allowed0
Pitches26
Slider
Breaking · 16.3% usage
+5.0
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against74.4 mph
Avg launch angle24.5°
HRs allowed0
Pitches21
Usage by handedness
what tonight's lefties/righties will see
Per-handedness pitch usage isn't tracked yet — the arsenal cache is a season aggregate.
Zone map
damage by location
Per-zone damage isn't tracked yet for pitchers.
Pitcher vs. Batter
career PA vs tonight's listed order
No listed order yet — BvP rows appear when today's slate lists batters against Braxton Garrett.
BvP under 20 PA is noise — use it for pitch-mix memory, not projection. Context only: not part of the model score.
HR Log
1 allowed · scored pool
avg 110.1 EV · 421 ft
1 in last 30D
DateBatterRankScoreStadiumEVLADist
Every row is a scored-pool matchup — HRs to unscored batters aren't tracked. Pitch type, count, and field direction aren't in the pool log yet.
Game-day log
last 2 scored game days · pool
DateStadiumMatchupsHRMax EV
2026-05-19
9
1
111.0
2026-05-14
9
0
102.6
Box-score start lines (IP · H · ER · K · BB · pitch counts) aren't tracked yet — this is his scored-pool day log, matchups our model actually graded.
Tonight
park factor · wind · temp
Ballpark conditions unavailable — Braxton Garrett isn't on a scored slate with park & weather inputs.
Fences vs his leak
wall distance · damage overlay
Wall-distance overlays aren't tracked yet.
Venue splits
his HR/9 by venue
Per-venue HR splits aren't tracked yet.