0
HRs allowed
0%
HR rate (pool)
27.2%
Overall HR/FB
4.94
FIP
3.8
xFIP
#2
Leakiest SP today (of 30, by FIP−xFIP)
Leak meter
STINGY
LEAKY
96
season HR/FB pctile vs MLB pitchers — higher = more HR-prone
Tonight's read
vulnerability percentile · model flags
no model flags today
Vulnerability 96th pctile (season HR/FB pctile vs MLB pitchers)
5 of 9 listed bats hold the platoon edge
Where he leaks
quality of contact allowed · season
Barrel% allowed
—
Hard-Hit% allowed
—
Fly-ball rate
—
Batted-ball xSLG splits and HR spray direction aren't tracked for pitchers yet.
Recent form
HR allowed by scored game day
Not enough scored game days for a trend line yet.
Dot size = HRs allowed that game day · scored pool only.
Threat Matrix
tonight's lineup × his arsenal families
FB 80.5%
BRK 16.8%
Overall
Score
Neutral · 2
Long shots · 7 — below the fade line
Read the columns: the fastball family (80.5% usage) carries his damage — FB is the leak.
5 of 9 listed bats hold the platoon edge.
Cells are each batter's season damage vs that family (not vs this pitcher specifically).
Arsenal ledger
per-pitch damage against · season
PitchUseEVLAHRRV/100Damage
Cutter Hard
42.0%
82.3
4.8°
1
-2.5
Sinker Hard
24.5%
88.9
2.3°
1
+0.9
Sweeper Breaking
16.8%
85.0
17.2°
0
+0.1
Fastball Hard
14.0%
87.3
21.7°
2
+7.5
RV/100 = run value against per 100 pitches — higher = more damage allowed. Damage bar is scaled across his own arsenal.
Full ledger
pool + season datapoints · pctile-chipped where ranked
Pool matchups0
HRs allowed (pool)0
Pool HR rate0%
Pool HR/game day—
Top-15 matchups0
HRs to top-150
Overall HR/FB27.2% 96
HR/9—
FIP4.94 79
xFIP3.8
FIP − xFIP—
Barrel% allowed—
Hard-Hit% allowed—
FB%—
K/9—
BB/9—
WHIP—
IP—
Pool = tracked matchup population · pctile chips = MLB-wide percentile (hot ≥ 85) · as of 2026-07-24
Cutter
Hard · 42.0% usage
-2.5
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against82.3 mph
Avg launch angle4.8°
HRs allowed1
Pitches153
Sinker
Hard · 24.5% usage
+0.9
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against88.9 mph
Avg launch angle2.3°
HRs allowed1
Pitches89
Sweeper
Breaking · 16.8% usage
+0.1
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against85.0 mph
Avg launch angle17.2°
HRs allowed0
Pitches61
Fastball
Hard · 14.0% usage
+7.5
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against87.3 mph
Avg launch angle21.7°
HRs allowed2
Pitches51
Usage by handedness
what tonight's lefties/righties will see
Per-handedness pitch usage isn't tracked yet — the arsenal cache is a season aggregate.
Zone map
damage by location
Per-zone damage isn't tracked yet for pitchers.
Pitcher vs. Batter
career PA vs tonight's listed order
BatterPAHHRKwOBALast damage
BvP under 20 PA is noise — use it for pitch-mix memory, not projection. Context only: not part of the model score.
HR Log
0 allowed · scored pool
No home runs allowed in our scored matchups.
Game-day log
last 0 scored game days · pool
No scored game days yet for Beck Way.
Box-score start lines (IP · H · ER · K · BB · pitch counts) aren't tracked yet — this is his scored-pool day log, matchups our model actually graded.
Tonight — Comerica Park
open-air · game-window conditions
Park Factor
0.860
Wind
8 mph from S
Temp
76°F
Roof
Open
TimeWindTempFIT
6:40p
8
76°
-11
7:40p
8
75°
-10
8:40p
7
72°
-9
9:40p
6
69°
-9
10:40p
4
66°
-8
-9
Slight red alignment
park + weather FIT · batter-neutral signal
Game-window avg wind 7 mph from S
FIT = park + game-window weather HR signal, batter-neutral. Per-batter spray overlays live on each batter's profile.
Fences vs his leak
wall distance · damage overlay
LF
345ft
deep
CF
412ft
deep
RF
330ft
avg
vs LHH → RF
346ft
0 HRs allowed · short porch
vs RHH → LF
356ft
0 HRs allowed
Shortest: RF 330 ft
Deep left-center
Fence marks are published; power-alley + pull-side depths come from the park's outfield geometry, calibrated to those marks. We don't track HR spray direction — pull side is inferred from batter handedness (LHH→RF, RHH→LF), not a measured read.
Venue splits
HRs allowed by venue · pool
No scored matchups by venue yet for Beck Way.