1
HRs allowed
5.6%
HR rate (pool)
7.5%
Overall HR/FB
3.21
FIP
4.34
xFIP
-1.12
FIP − xFIP gap
Leak meter
STINGY
LEAKY
10
season HR/FB pctile vs MLB pitchers — higher = more HR-prone
Tonight's read
vulnerability percentile · model flags
no model flags today
Vulnerability 10th pctile (season HR/FB pctile vs MLB pitchers)
Where he leaks
quality of contact allowed · season
Barrel% allowed
0.0%
Hard-Hit% allowed
94.1%
Fly-ball rate
—
avg HR 95.5 EV · 360 ft
max EV allowed 108.7
Batted-ball xSLG splits and HR spray direction aren't tracked for pitchers yet.
Recent form
HR allowed by scored game day
7D · 1 HR ↑
15D · 1 HR ↑
30D · 1 HR
Dot size = HRs allowed that game day · scored pool only.
Threat Matrix
tonight's lineup × his arsenal families
No lineup yet — the Threat Matrix fills in when today's slate lists batters against Andrew Morris.
Arsenal ledger
per-pitch damage against · season
PitchUseEVLAHRRV/100Damage
Fastball Hard
43.4%
80.8
28.4°
0
-3.0
Cutter Hard
18.1%
82.3
13.4°
1
+0.1
Sweeper Breaking
13.1%
76.7
25.8°
0
+0.2
Sinker Hard
12.5%
82.6
13.7°
1
+1.9
Changeup Offspeed
10.7%
84.4
5.8°
0
+0.2
RV/100 = run value against per 100 pitches — higher = more damage allowed. Damage bar is scaled across his own arsenal.
Full ledger
pool + season datapoints · pctile-chipped where ranked
Pool matchups18
HRs allowed (pool)1
Pool HR rate5.6%
Pool HR/game day0.5
Top-15 matchups0
HRs to top-150
Overall HR/FB7.5% 10
HR/9—
FIP3.21 21
xFIP4.34
FIP − xFIP-1.12 4
Barrel% allowed0.0%
Hard-Hit% allowed94.1%
FB%—
K/9—
BB/9—
WHIP—
IP—
Pool = tracked matchup population · pctile chips = MLB-wide percentile (hot ≥ 85) · as of 2026-07-16
Fastball
Hard · 43.4% usage
-3.0
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against80.8 mph
Avg launch angle28.4°
HRs allowed0
Pitches344
Cutter
Hard · 18.1% usage
+0.1
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against82.3 mph
Avg launch angle13.4°
HRs allowed1
Pitches143
Sweeper
Breaking · 13.1% usage
+0.2
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against76.7 mph
Avg launch angle25.8°
HRs allowed0
Pitches104
Sinker
Hard · 12.5% usage
+1.9
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against82.6 mph
Avg launch angle13.7°
HRs allowed1
Pitches99
Changeup
Offspeed · 10.7% usage
+0.2
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against84.4 mph
Avg launch angle5.8°
HRs allowed0
Pitches85
Usage by handedness
what tonight's lefties/righties will see
Per-handedness pitch usage isn't tracked yet — the arsenal cache is a season aggregate.
Zone map
damage by location
Per-zone damage isn't tracked yet for pitchers.
Pitcher vs. Batter
career PA vs tonight's listed order
No listed order yet — BvP rows appear when today's slate lists batters against Andrew Morris.
BvP under 20 PA is noise — use it for pitch-mix memory, not projection. Context only: not part of the model score.
HR Log
1 allowed · scored pool
avg 95.5 EV · 360 ft
1 in last 30D
DateBatterRankScoreStadiumEVLADist
Every row is a scored-pool matchup — HRs to unscored batters aren't tracked. Pitch type, count, and field direction aren't in the pool log yet.
Game-day log
last 2 scored game days · pool
DateStadiumMatchupsHRMax EV
2026-06-04
9
1
108.7
2026-05-10
9
0
103.2
Box-score start lines (IP · H · ER · K · BB · pitch counts) aren't tracked yet — this is his scored-pool day log, matchups our model actually graded.
Tonight
park factor · wind · temp
Ballpark conditions unavailable — Andrew Morris isn't on a scored slate with park & weather inputs.
Fences vs his leak
wall distance · damage overlay
Wall-distance overlays aren't tracked yet.
Venue splits
his HR/9 by venue
Per-venue HR splits aren't tracked yet.