WSH
@
6:40p
CIN
Park Factor
1.28×
Weather Mod
-5.0%
mild air · strong wind in · roof open
Combined
0.638
Temp
70.0°F
Wind
18.4 mph
in
Roof
open
Jake Irvin
RHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Nathaniel Lowe | 59 | 🟠 C | +425 | 🌧️ COOL | 7 | 0.306 | 89.6 | · | 40.0% | 393 | 25.0% | 15.4% | 38.4% | 21 |
| 2 |
|
Sal Stewart | 52 | 🟠 C | +330 | 🌧️ COOL | 16 | 0.298 | 91.2 | · | 21.9% | 391 | 8.0% | 7.7% | 25.1% | 41 |
| 3 |
|
Elly De La Cruz | 50 | 🟠 C | +290 | ❄ COLD | 21 | 0.292 | 94.0 | · | 20.8% | 394 | 15.8% | 0.0% | 20.7% | 37 |
| 4 |
|
Spencer Steer | 48 | ⚪ D | +400 | · | 27 | 0.213 | 90.0 | · | 13.8% | 392 | 13.2% | 15.4% | 20.1% | 38 |
| 5 |
|
Eugenio Suárez | 32 | ⚪ D | · | · | 113 | 0.132 | 84.8 | · | 18.2% | 397 | 4.5% | 0.0% | 13.8% | 0 |
| 6 |
|
Tyler Stephenson | 28 | ⚪ D | +500 | 🌧️ COOL | 144 | 0.116 | 91.9 | · | 9.1% | 379 | 2.9% | 0.0% | 10.6% | 26 |
| 7 |
|
TJ Friedl | 27 | ⚪ D | +575 | · | 157 | 0.068 | 87.9 | · | 9.1% | 364 | 5.4% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 30 |
| 8 |
|
Ke'Bryan Hayes ⚡ | 27 | ⚪ D | +850 | 🌧️ COOL | 158 | 0.078 | 91.5 | · | 5.0% | 365 | 9.1% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 22 |
| 9 |
|
Matt McLain | 25 | ⚪ D | +575 | ❄ COLD | 176 | 0.109 | 87.1 | · | 6.2% | 404 | 5.3% | 7.7% | 9.8% | 34 |