TOR
@
6:40p
TB
Park Factor
0.95×
Weather Mod
+0.0%
neutral
Combined
0.952
Wind
0 mph
dome
Kevin Gausman
RHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Junior Caminero | 50 | 🟠 C | · | 🌤️ WARM | 30 | 0.239 | 91.5 | · | 31.8% | 409 | 26.7% | 27.3% | 38.7% | 31 |
| 2 |
|
Jonathan Aranda | 41 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 56 | 0.238 | 89.8 | · | 25.0% | 393 | 17.2% | 27.3% | 25.6% | 29 |
| 3 |
|
Yandy Díaz | 34 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 113 | 0.153 | 90.3 | · | 18.8% | 365 | 14.3% | 18.2% | 16.2% | 31 |
| 4 |
|
Jake Fraley | 29 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 152 | 0.214 | 84.7 | · | 13.3% | 400 | 7.7% | 0.0% | 17.6% | 13 |
| 5 |
|
Ben Williamson | 22 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 196 | 0.088 | 87.7 | · | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 8.6% | 26 |
| 6 |
|
Chandler Simpson | 14 | ⚪ D | · | · | 236 | 0.044 | 83.4 | · | 12.5% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 6.9% | 39 |
| 7 |
|
Nick Fortes | 14 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 237 | 0.106 | 87.4 | · | 11.1% | 408 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 9.6% | 25 |
| 8 |
|
Cedric Mullins | 13 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 245 | 0.110 | 87.4 | · | 11.1% | 385 | 5.0% | 0.0% | 6.7% | 25 |
| 9 |
|
Taylor Walls | 10 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 252 | 0.036 | 82.0 | · | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 5.8% | 21 |
Drew Rasmussen
RHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Kazuma Okamoto | 42 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 53 | 0.165 | 93.0 | · | 38.9% | 411 | 16.7% | 23.1% | 22.5% | 35 |
| 2 |
|
Jesús Sánchez | 39 | ⚪ D | · | · | 69 | 0.193 | 93.2 | · | 27.8% | 400 | 14.3% | 15.4% | 18.3% | 35 |
| 3 |
|
Daulton Varsho | 32 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 129 | 0.152 | 85.4 | · | 15.0% | 391 | 9.1% | 7.7% | 10.6% | 36 |
| 4 |
|
George Springer | 29 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 155 | 0.185 | 88.6 | · | 30.0% | 389 | 6.7% | 0.0% | 13.5% | 11 |
| 5 |
|
Ernie Clement | 26 | ⚪ D | · | · | 169 | 0.110 | 86.4 | · | 5.3% | 360 | 2.9% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 43 |
| 6 |
|
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. | 24 | ⚪ D | · | · | 180 | 0.122 | 91.6 | · | 7.7% | 434 | 5.9% | 0.0% | 7.4% | 42 |
| 7 |
|
Andrés Giménez | 22 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 198 | 0.175 | 86.0 | · | 14.3% | 386 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 12.2% | 32 |
| 8 |
|
Nathan Lukes | 17 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 224 | 0.077 | 86.9 | · | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 9.4% | 7 |
| 9 |
|
Davis Schneider | 14 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 239 | 0.109 | 87.3 | · | 14.3% | 366 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 8.2% | 11 |