⚾ TheHomeRuns.org 2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 5 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs · 6 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 7 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 8 James Wood 4 HRs · 9 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 10 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Spencer Horwitz 4 HRs 1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 5 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs · 6 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 7 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 8 James Wood 4 HRs · 9 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 10 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Spencer Horwitz 4 HRs
TOR
@ 6:40p
TB
Tropicana Field · 18 ranked batters
Park Factor
0.95×
Weather Mod
+0.0%
neutral
Combined
0.952
Wind
0 mph
dome
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Junior Caminero Junior Caminero 50 🟠 C · 🌤️ WARM 30 0.239 91.5 · 31.8% 409 26.7% 27.3% 38.7% 31
2 Jonathan Aranda Jonathan Aranda 41 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 56 0.238 89.8 · 25.0% 393 17.2% 27.3% 25.6% 29
3 Yandy Díaz Yandy Díaz 34 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 113 0.153 90.3 · 18.8% 365 14.3% 18.2% 16.2% 31
4 Jake Fraley Jake Fraley 29 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 152 0.214 84.7 · 13.3% 400 7.7% 0.0% 17.6% 13
5 Ben Williamson Ben Williamson 22 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 196 0.088 87.7 · 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 8.6% 26
6 Chandler Simpson Chandler Simpson 14 ⚪ D · · 236 0.044 83.4 · 12.5% · 0.0% 0.0% 6.9% 39
7 Nick Fortes Nick Fortes 14 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 237 0.106 87.4 · 11.1% 408 0.0% 0.0% 9.6% 25
8 Cedric Mullins Cedric Mullins 13 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 245 0.110 87.4 · 11.1% 385 5.0% 0.0% 6.7% 25
9 Taylor Walls Taylor Walls 10 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 252 0.036 82.0 · 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 5.8% 21
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Kazuma Okamoto Kazuma Okamoto 42 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 53 0.165 93.0 · 38.9% 411 16.7% 23.1% 22.5% 35
2 Jesús Sánchez Jesús Sánchez 39 ⚪ D · · 69 0.193 93.2 · 27.8% 400 14.3% 15.4% 18.3% 35
3 Daulton Varsho Daulton Varsho 32 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 129 0.152 85.4 · 15.0% 391 9.1% 7.7% 10.6% 36
4 George Springer George Springer 29 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 155 0.185 88.6 · 30.0% 389 6.7% 0.0% 13.5% 11
5 Ernie Clement Ernie Clement 26 ⚪ D · · 169 0.110 86.4 · 5.3% 360 2.9% 7.7% 6.8% 43
6 Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 24 ⚪ D · · 180 0.122 91.6 · 7.7% 434 5.9% 0.0% 7.4% 42
7 Andrés Giménez Andrés Giménez 22 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 198 0.175 86.0 · 14.3% 386 0.0% 0.0% 12.2% 32
8 Nathan Lukes Nathan Lukes 17 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 224 0.077 86.9 · 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 9.4% 7
9 Davis Schneider Davis Schneider 14 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 239 0.109 87.3 · 14.3% 366 0.0% 0.0% 8.2% 11
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