⚾ TheHomeRuns.org 2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 5 Dillon Dingler 5 HRs · 6 JJ Bleday 4 HRs · 7 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 8 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 9 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 10 James Wood 4 HRs · 11 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 12 Ketel Marte 4 HRs 1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 5 Dillon Dingler 5 HRs · 6 JJ Bleday 4 HRs · 7 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 8 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 9 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 10 James Wood 4 HRs · 11 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 12 Ketel Marte 4 HRs
TEX
@ 7:15p
SEA
T-Mobile Park · 18 ranked batters
Park Factor
0.85×
Weather Mod
-3.0%
cold air · light wind out · retractable roof
Combined
0.593
Temp
42.1°F
Wind
2.9 mph
out
Roof
retractable
Nathan Eovaldi
Nathan Eovaldi RHP 💥 Meltdown
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Luke Raley Luke Raley 77 🟡 B · · 25 0.286 92.8 18.8% 40.0% 382 33.3% 33.3% 17.6% 25
2 Cal Raleigh Cal Raleigh 39 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 158 0.112 83.8 9.1% 8.3% 391 11.1% 18.2% 7.0% 39
3 Cole Young Cole Young 38 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 163 0.141 84.9 7.0% 14.3% 381 11.1% 9.1% 8.2% 32
4 Brendan Donovan Brendan Donovan 36 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 176 0.214 84.7 5.1% 33.3% 348 14.3% 10.0% 14.5% 24
5 Julio Rodríguez Julio Rodríguez 26 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 221 0.075 87.9 4.2% 9.1% 426 0.0% 0.0% 7.1% 35
6 Randy Arozarena Randy Arozarena 25 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 225 0.094 90.9 8.0% 9.1% 426 0.0% 0.0% 7.1% 35
7 Josh Naylor Josh Naylor 24 ⚪ D · · 230 0.077 87.2 7.1% 14.3% 399 0.0% 0.0% 8.6% 36
8 J.P. Crawford 18 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 249 0.026 88.5 8.7% 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 6.8% 27
9 Leo Rivas Leo Rivas 10 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 266 0.046 85.4 0.0% 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 6.7% 9
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Corey Seager Corey Seager 63 🔵 C+ · 🌧️ COOL 55 0.264 90.6 15.9% 27.8% 405 26.7% 11.1% 20.2% 31
2 Jake Burger Jake Burger 55 🟠 C · · 76 0.238 90.6 12.8% 38.5% 403 12.5% 0.0% 24.9% 39
3 Brandon Nimmo Brandon Nimmo 50 🟠 C · 🌧️ COOL 95 0.225 89.4 9.4% 28.6% 404 18.8% 20.0% 21.8% 39
4 Evan Carter Evan Carter 49 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 102 0.158 90.4 12.1% 14.3% 381 50.0% 50.0% 11.7% 29
5 Josh Jung Josh Jung 32 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 195 0.162 89.7 0.0% 14.3% · 6.2% 10.0% 8.5% 33
6 Danny Jansen Danny Jansen 30 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 202 0.125 89.5 4.0% 14.3% 409 0.0% 0.0% 6.9% 16
7 Wyatt Langford Wyatt Langford 29 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 209 0.129 90.1 7.1% 9.1% 365 6.2% 10.0% 6.5% 28
8 Josh Smith Josh Smith 19 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 245 0.016 86.8 4.9% 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 5.3% 30
9 Joc Pederson Joc Pederson 15 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 256 0.093 92.0 0.0% 7.7% 361 0.0% 0.0% 6.3% 23
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