TEX
@
9:40p
SEA
Park Factor
0.85×
Weather Mod
-2.0%
cold air · light wind out · retractable roof
Combined
0.680
Temp
51.7°F
Wind
2.5 mph
out
Roof
retractable
Jacob deGrom
RHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Luke Raley | 78 | 🟡 B | · | · | 19 | 0.295 | 92.8 | 18.8% | 40.0% | 382 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 17.2% | 25 |
| 2 |
|
Cal Raleigh | 38 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 136 | 0.117 | 83.8 | 9.1% | 8.7% | 391 | 11.8% | 20.0% | 7.0% | 39 |
| 3 |
|
Cole Young | 37 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 143 | 0.145 | 84.9 | 7.0% | 15.4% | 381 | 11.8% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 32 |
| 4 |
|
Brendan Donovan | 36 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 156 | 0.222 | 84.7 | 5.1% | 37.5% | 348 | 15.4% | 11.1% | 14.9% | 25 |
| 5 |
|
Randy Arozarena | 26 | ⚪ D | · | · | 204 | 0.100 | 90.9 | 8.0% | 9.1% | 426 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.0% | 36 |
| 6 |
|
Julio Rodríguez | 24 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 220 | 0.067 | 87.9 | 4.2% | 10.0% | 426 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.1% | 36 |
| 7 |
|
Josh Naylor | 22 | ⚪ D | · | · | 229 | 0.079 | 87.2 | 7.1% | 14.3% | 399 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.7% | 39 |
| 8 | J.P. Crawford | 19 | ⚪ D | · | · | 236 | 0.029 | 88.5 | 8.7% | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 6.7% | 25 | |
| 9 |
|
Leo Rivas | 12 | ⚪ D | · | · | 254 | 0.049 | 85.4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 6.6% | 10 |
Logan Gilbert
RHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Corey Seager | 59 | 🟠 C | · | 🌧️ COOL | 62 | 0.250 | 90.6 | 15.9% | 27.8% | 405 | 28.6% | 12.5% | 20.5% | 28 |
| 2 |
|
Jake Burger | 55 | 🟠 C | · | · | 76 | 0.254 | 90.6 | 12.8% | 41.7% | 403 | 13.3% | 0.0% | 24.5% | 38 |
| 3 |
|
Evan Carter | 48 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 97 | 0.169 | 90.4 | 12.1% | 14.3% | 381 | 100.0% | 100.0% | 12.3% | 27 |
| 4 |
|
Brandon Nimmo | 40 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 131 | 0.197 | 89.4 | 9.4% | 23.1% | 404 | 13.3% | 11.1% | 11.0% | 39 |
| 5 |
|
Wyatt Langford | 31 | ⚪ D | · | · | 183 | 0.138 | 90.1 | 7.1% | 10.0% | 365 | 6.7% | 11.1% | 6.4% | 29 |
| 6 |
|
Josh Jung | 26 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 209 | 0.123 | 89.7 | 0.0% | 14.3% | · | 6.7% | 11.1% | 6.3% | 31 |
| 7 |
|
Josh Smith | 17 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 242 | 0.018 | 86.8 | 4.9% | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 4.9% | 32 |
| 8 |
|
Joc Pederson | 17 | ⚪ D | · | · | 244 | 0.097 | 92.0 | 0.0% | 7.7% | 361 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 5.8% | 24 |
| 9 |
|
Danny Jansen | 14 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 250 | 0.116 | 89.5 | 4.0% | 16.7% | 409 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 6.4% | 16 |