⚾ TheHomeRuns.org 2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 5 Dillon Dingler 5 HRs · 6 JJ Bleday 4 HRs · 7 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 8 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 9 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 10 James Wood 4 HRs · 11 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 12 Ketel Marte 4 HRs 1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 5 Dillon Dingler 5 HRs · 6 JJ Bleday 4 HRs · 7 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 8 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 9 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 10 James Wood 4 HRs · 11 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 12 Ketel Marte 4 HRs
TEX
@ 9:40p
SEA
T-Mobile Park · 18 ranked batters
Park Factor
0.85×
Weather Mod
-2.0%
cold air · light wind out · retractable roof
Combined
0.680
Temp
51.7°F
Wind
2.5 mph
out
Roof
retractable
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Luke Raley Luke Raley 78 🟡 B · · 19 0.295 92.8 18.8% 40.0% 382 50.0% 50.0% 17.2% 25
2 Cal Raleigh Cal Raleigh 38 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 136 0.117 83.8 9.1% 8.7% 391 11.8% 20.0% 7.0% 39
3 Cole Young Cole Young 37 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 143 0.145 84.9 7.0% 15.4% 381 11.8% 10.0% 8.3% 32
4 Brendan Donovan Brendan Donovan 36 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 156 0.222 84.7 5.1% 37.5% 348 15.4% 11.1% 14.9% 25
5 Randy Arozarena Randy Arozarena 26 ⚪ D · · 204 0.100 90.9 8.0% 9.1% 426 0.0% 0.0% 7.0% 36
6 Julio Rodríguez Julio Rodríguez 24 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 220 0.067 87.9 4.2% 10.0% 426 0.0% 0.0% 7.1% 36
7 Josh Naylor Josh Naylor 22 ⚪ D · · 229 0.079 87.2 7.1% 14.3% 399 0.0% 0.0% 7.7% 39
8 J.P. Crawford 19 ⚪ D · · 236 0.029 88.5 8.7% 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 6.7% 25
9 Leo Rivas Leo Rivas 12 ⚪ D · · 254 0.049 85.4 0.0% 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 6.6% 10
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Corey Seager Corey Seager 59 🟠 C · 🌧️ COOL 62 0.250 90.6 15.9% 27.8% 405 28.6% 12.5% 20.5% 28
2 Jake Burger Jake Burger 55 🟠 C · · 76 0.254 90.6 12.8% 41.7% 403 13.3% 0.0% 24.5% 38
3 Evan Carter Evan Carter 48 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 97 0.169 90.4 12.1% 14.3% 381 100.0% 100.0% 12.3% 27
4 Brandon Nimmo Brandon Nimmo 40 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 131 0.197 89.4 9.4% 23.1% 404 13.3% 11.1% 11.0% 39
5 Wyatt Langford Wyatt Langford 31 ⚪ D · · 183 0.138 90.1 7.1% 10.0% 365 6.7% 11.1% 6.4% 29
6 Josh Jung Josh Jung 26 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 209 0.123 89.7 0.0% 14.3% · 6.7% 11.1% 6.3% 31
7 Josh Smith Josh Smith 17 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 242 0.018 86.8 4.9% 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 4.9% 32
8 Joc Pederson Joc Pederson 17 ⚪ D · · 244 0.097 92.0 0.0% 7.7% 361 0.0% 0.0% 5.8% 24
9 Danny Jansen Danny Jansen 14 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 250 0.116 89.5 4.0% 16.7% 409 0.0% 0.0% 6.4% 16
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