⚾ TheHomeRuns.org 2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Juan Soto 5 HRs · 2 Jarren Duran 5 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Gunnar Henderson 4 HRs · 5 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 6 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 7 Spencer Horwitz 4 HRs · 8 Yandy Díaz 4 HRs · 9 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 10 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs 1 Juan Soto 5 HRs · 2 Jarren Duran 5 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Gunnar Henderson 4 HRs · 5 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 6 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 7 Spencer Horwitz 4 HRs · 8 Yandy Díaz 4 HRs · 9 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 10 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs
TB
@ 1:35p
NYY
Yankee Stadium · 18 ranked batters
Park Factor
1.06×
Weather Mod
-1.0%
cold air · steady partial wind out · roof open
Combined
0.956
Temp
51.2°F
Wind
11.5 mph
slight_out
Roof
open
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Ben Rice Ben Rice 76 🟡 B · 🌧️ COOL 5 0.347 92.7 12.0% 38.7% 389 27.9% 36.4% 41.9% 38
2 Aaron Judge Aaron Judge 72 🟡 B · 🌧️ COOL 14 0.301 93.6 13.5% 40.0% 406 24.4% 9.1% 21.2% 29
3 Paul Goldschmidt Paul Goldschmidt 62 🔵 C+ · · 36 0.253 90.9 11.8% 14.3% 397 6.2% 0.0% 27.3% 21
4 Austin Wells Austin Wells 49 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 96 0.113 90.4 7.5% 15.8% 377 10.5% 11.1% 15.1% 14
5 Trent Grisham Trent Grisham 47 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 109 0.174 91.0 10.6% 11.8% 381 6.8% 0.0% 13.1% 26
6 Cody Bellinger Cody Bellinger 46 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 117 0.191 89.8 7.7% 10.5% 379 9.1% 9.1% 14.1% 36
7 Jazz Chisholm Jr. 43 ⚪ D · · 140 0.140 88.7 6.7% 16.0% 377 11.4% 9.1% 11.2% 27
8 Ryan McMahon Ryan McMahon 41 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 149 0.120 90.7 8.4% 14.8% 363 14.3% 10.0% 10.3% 26
9 José Caballero José Caballero 35 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 206 0.128 83.5 5.3% 6.7% 365 7.4% 0.0% 9.6% 7
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Junior Caminero Junior Caminero 73 🟡 B · 🌤️ WARM 10 0.226 92.3 12.8% 60.0% 407 26.1% 27.3% 43.1% 36
2 Yandy Díaz Yandy Díaz 62 🔵 C+ · 🌤️ WARM 35 0.177 90.2 10.2% 20.0% 383 16.7% 30.0% 23.4% 37
3 Jonathan Aranda Jonathan Aranda 58 🟠 C · 🌤️ WARM 55 0.192 89.7 11.1% 12.5% 396 13.3% 9.1% 13.0% 30
4 Ryan Vilade Ryan Vilade 47 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 108 0.152 90.0 6.9% 7.1% 402 0.0% 0.0% 17.2% 11
5 Carson Williams Carson Williams 44 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 133 0.118 83.0 13.0% 14.3% · 0.0% 0.0% 12.3% 1
6 Taylor Walls Taylor Walls 35 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 205 0.087 82.4 5.3% 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 7.6% 28
7 Cedric Mullins Cedric Mullins 25 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 254 0.090 87.5 4.5% 0.0% 379 5.7% 9.1% 7.1% 31
8 Chandler Simpson Chandler Simpson 22 ⚪ D · · 266 0.065 84.0 · 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 7.1% 38
9 Nick Fortes Nick Fortes 18 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 274 0.063 87.3 3.5% 0.0% 408 0.0% 0.0% 7.6% 18
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