STL
@
4:10p
SD
Park Factor
0.90×
Weather Mod
-1.0%
cool air · light wind in · roof open
Combined
0.808
Temp
60.5°F
Wind
3.4 mph
in
Roof
open
Kyle Leahy
RHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Gavin Sheets | 49 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 30 | 0.244 | 88.9 | · | 30.0% | 409 | 9.1% | 15.4% | 33.8% | 22 |
| 2 |
|
Manny Machado | 48 | ⚪ D | · | 🔥 HOT | 34 | 0.162 | 90.5 | · | 26.3% | 399 | 14.7% | 23.1% | 18.7% | 34 |
| 3 |
|
Miguel Andujar | 41 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 54 | 0.165 | 89.3 | · | 6.7% | 397 | 9.5% | 15.4% | 10.0% | 36 |
| 4 |
|
Xander Bogaerts | 35 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 86 | 0.156 | 88.3 | · | 30.4% | 392 | 17.6% | 23.1% | 19.8% | 33 |
| 5 |
|
Jackson Merrill | 33 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 101 | 0.130 | 89.7 | · | 15.4% | 408 | 11.8% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 36 |
| 6 |
|
Ramón Laureano | 31 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 127 | 0.187 | 88.8 | · | 25.0% | 406 | 4.5% | 7.7% | 13.2% | 21 |
| 7 |
|
Nick Castellanos | 25 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 168 | 0.109 | 88.3 | · | 7.7% | 405 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.9% | 18 |
| 8 |
|
Jake Cronenworth | 14 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 225 | 0.056 | 87.4 | · | 7.7% | 399 | 2.9% | 0.0% | 8.4% | 14 |
| 9 |
|
Fernando Tatis Jr. | 12 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 233 | 0.036 | 92.7 | · | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 6.0% | 35 |
Walker Buehler
RHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Jordan Walker | 43 | ⚪ D | · | · | 48 | 0.253 | 95.0 | · | 32.0% | 406 | 16.0% | 15.4% | 22.9% | 36 |
| 2 |
|
Nathan Church | 35 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 85 | 0.200 | 86.2 | · | 29.4% | 387 | 13.0% | 7.7% | 13.3% | 41 |
| 3 |
|
JJ Wetherholt | 34 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 91 | 0.203 | 90.0 | · | 17.9% | 394 | 4.8% | 7.7% | 16.5% | 45 |
| 4 |
|
Alec Burleson | 34 | ⚪ D | · | · | 92 | 0.176 | 91.1 | · | 20.0% | 408 | 16.7% | 23.1% | 16.5% | 40 |
| 5 |
|
Nolan Gorman | 28 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 145 | 0.143 | 88.5 | · | 19.2% | 403 | 8.6% | 7.7% | 12.6% | 28 |
| 6 |
|
Pedro Pagés | 26 | ⚪ D | · | · | 162 | 0.183 | 85.5 | · | 21.4% | 397 | 5.9% | 0.0% | 13.0% | 21 |
| 7 |
|
Ivan Herrera | 25 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 170 | 0.181 | 90.2 | · | 17.6% | 400 | 7.7% | 0.0% | 12.4% | 33 |
| 8 |
|
Victor Scott II | 17 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 215 | 0.053 | 87.2 | · | 12.5% | 415 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.1% | 24 |
| 9 |
|
Masyn Winn | 17 | ⚪ D | · | · | 217 | 0.107 | 86.5 | · | 7.7% | 373 | 2.9% | 0.0% | 7.7% | 40 |