STL
@
6:40p
PIT
Park Factor
0.79×
Weather Mod
-1.0%
cool air · light crosswind · roof open
Combined
0.708
Temp
56.3°F
Wind
5.0 mph
cross
Roof
open
Andre Pallante
RHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Oneil Cruz | 80 | 🟢 A | · | 🌧️ COOL | 17 | 0.273 | 97.3 | 23.5% | 33.3% | 415 | 34.8% | 40.0% | 26.1% | 28 |
| 2 |
|
Brandon Lowe | 60 | 🔵 C+ | · | 🌤️ WARM | 61 | 0.273 | 86.5 | 12.3% | 33.3% | 390 | 5.0% | 0.0% | 15.5% | 29 |
| 3 |
|
Ryan O'Hearn | 54 | 🟠 C | · | 🌤️ WARM | 78 | 0.192 | 90.6 | 8.6% | 20.0% | 385 | 16.7% | 22.2% | 14.0% | 30 |
| 4 |
|
Marcell Ozuna | 39 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 165 | 0.085 | 88.5 | 9.8% | 8.3% | 405 | 7.4% | 18.2% | 7.6% | 31 |
| 5 |
|
Konnor Griffin | 35 | ⚪ D | · | · | 185 | 0.119 | 86.6 | 10.2% | 15.4% | 386 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 8.2% | 0 |
| 6 |
|
Nick Yorke | 34 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 190 | 0.093 | 90.8 | 6.0% | 0.0% | 394 | 9.1% | 11.1% | 5.3% | 19 |
| 7 |
|
Bryan Reynolds | 32 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 201 | 0.123 | 91.5 | 9.4% | 8.3% | 405 | 12.5% | 0.0% | 5.9% | 26 |
| 8 |
|
Spencer Horwitz | 28 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 218 | 0.103 | 86.3 | 1.9% | 17.6% | 380 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 6.8% | 31 |
| 9 |
|
Nick Gonzales | 11 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 259 | 0.051 | 87.3 | 1.5% | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 5.2% | 39 |
Bubba Chandler
RHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Jordan Walker | 70 | 🟡 B | · | 🌧️ COOL | 31 | 0.264 | 94.8 | 21.7% | 31.6% | 413 | 14.3% | 0.0% | 13.2% | 24 |
| 2 |
|
Nathan Church | 58 | 🟠 C | · | 🌤️ WARM | 65 | 0.211 | 84.8 | 4.7% | 41.7% | 374 | 25.0% | 27.3% | 28.8% | 34 |
| 3 |
|
Ivan Herrera | 55 | 🟠 C | · | 🌤️ WARM | 76 | 0.178 | 90.1 | 9.3% | 18.8% | 391 | 11.8% | 33.3% | 13.7% | 32 |
| 4 |
|
Pedro Pagés | 49 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 109 | 0.183 | 86.6 | 5.1% | 27.3% | 418 | 16.7% | 0.0% | 15.3% | 24 |
| 5 |
|
Alec Burleson | 45 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 129 | 0.154 | 92.0 | 11.3% | 10.5% | 423 | 12.0% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 36 |
| 6 |
|
JJ Wetherholt | 39 | ⚪ D | · | · | 164 | 0.194 | 88.0 | 5.7% | 18.2% | 396 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 13.6% | 0 |
| 7 |
|
Nolan Gorman | 37 | ⚪ D | · | · | 176 | 0.147 | 88.1 | 5.3% | 17.4% | 405 | 8.3% | 9.1% | 10.8% | 36 |
| 8 |
|
Masyn Winn | 28 | ⚪ D | · | · | 220 | 0.109 | 85.9 | 3.5% | 9.1% | 373 | 4.2% | 10.0% | 5.1% | 36 |
| 9 |
|
Victor Scott II | 14 | ⚪ D | · | · | 255 | 0.055 | 85.6 | 0.0% | 20.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 9.9% | 17 |