⚾ TheHomeRuns.org 2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 5 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs · 6 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 7 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 8 James Wood 4 HRs · 9 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 10 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Spencer Horwitz 4 HRs 1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 5 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs · 6 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 7 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 8 James Wood 4 HRs · 9 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 10 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Spencer Horwitz 4 HRs
STL
@ 6:40p
PIT
PNC Park · 18 ranked batters
Park Factor
0.79×
Weather Mod
-1.0%
cool air · light crosswind · roof open
Combined
0.708
Temp
56.3°F
Wind
5.0 mph
cross
Roof
open
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Oneil Cruz Oneil Cruz 80 🟢 A · 🌧️ COOL 17 0.273 97.3 23.5% 33.3% 415 34.8% 40.0% 26.1% 28
2 Brandon Lowe Brandon Lowe 60 🔵 C+ · 🌤️ WARM 61 0.273 86.5 12.3% 33.3% 390 5.0% 0.0% 15.5% 29
3 Ryan O'Hearn Ryan O'Hearn 54 🟠 C · 🌤️ WARM 78 0.192 90.6 8.6% 20.0% 385 16.7% 22.2% 14.0% 30
4 Marcell Ozuna Marcell Ozuna 39 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 165 0.085 88.5 9.8% 8.3% 405 7.4% 18.2% 7.6% 31
5 Konnor Griffin Konnor Griffin 35 ⚪ D · · 185 0.119 86.6 10.2% 15.4% 386 0.0% 0.0% 8.2% 0
6 Nick Yorke Nick Yorke 34 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 190 0.093 90.8 6.0% 0.0% 394 9.1% 11.1% 5.3% 19
7 Bryan Reynolds Bryan Reynolds 32 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 201 0.123 91.5 9.4% 8.3% 405 12.5% 0.0% 5.9% 26
8 Spencer Horwitz Spencer Horwitz 28 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 218 0.103 86.3 1.9% 17.6% 380 0.0% 0.0% 6.8% 31
9 Nick Gonzales Nick Gonzales 11 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 259 0.051 87.3 1.5% 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 5.2% 39
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Jordan Walker Jordan Walker 70 🟡 B · 🌧️ COOL 31 0.264 94.8 21.7% 31.6% 413 14.3% 0.0% 13.2% 24
2 Nathan Church Nathan Church 58 🟠 C · 🌤️ WARM 65 0.211 84.8 4.7% 41.7% 374 25.0% 27.3% 28.8% 34
3 Ivan Herrera Ivan Herrera 55 🟠 C · 🌤️ WARM 76 0.178 90.1 9.3% 18.8% 391 11.8% 33.3% 13.7% 32
4 Pedro Pagés Pedro Pagés 49 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 109 0.183 86.6 5.1% 27.3% 418 16.7% 0.0% 15.3% 24
5 Alec Burleson Alec Burleson 45 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 129 0.154 92.0 11.3% 10.5% 423 12.0% 10.0% 8.8% 36
6 JJ Wetherholt JJ Wetherholt 39 ⚪ D · · 164 0.194 88.0 5.7% 18.2% 396 0.0% 0.0% 13.6% 0
7 Nolan Gorman Nolan Gorman 37 ⚪ D · · 176 0.147 88.1 5.3% 17.4% 405 8.3% 9.1% 10.8% 36
8 Masyn Winn Masyn Winn 28 ⚪ D · · 220 0.109 85.9 3.5% 9.1% 373 4.2% 10.0% 5.1% 36
9 Victor Scott II Victor Scott II 14 ⚪ D · · 255 0.055 85.6 0.0% 20.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 9.9% 17
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