LongDong™ — STL @ MIL

STL

@ 7:40p

MIL

American Family Field · 18 ranked batters

Park Factor

0.97×

Weather Mod

+4.0%

hot air · steady partial wind out · retractable roof

Combined

1.359

Temp

85.2°F

Wind

13.8 mph

slight_out

Roof

retractable

Kyle Harrison LHP

9 batters

#	Batter	Score	Tier	Odds	Form	Rank	ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg.	EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg.	Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg.	HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg.	HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg.	Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor.	14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form.	Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number.	BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1	Jordan Walker	66	🔵 C+	+750	🌧️ COOL	25	0.292	94.3	10.5%	44.4%	406	22.5%	28.6%	32.8%	39
2	Iván Herrera	44	⚪ D	·	·	119	0.174	89.4	6.9%	30.0%	403	14.3%	20.0%	12.2%	42
3	Alec Burleson	40	⚪ D	+1000	🌧️ COOL	149	0.171	91.3	8.3%	8.3%	408	14.0%	7.7%	8.4%	37
4	JJ Wetherholt	40	⚪ D	+1000	·	152	0.158	90.3	7.2%	10.5%	394	8.8%	16.7%	9.9%	33
5	José Fermín	34	⚪ D	·	🌤️ WARM	188	0.139	85.0	3.8%	16.7%	372	0.0%	0.0%	10.0%	17
6	Bryan Torres	28	⚪ D	·	🌧️ COOL	219	0.124	90.5	7.0%	18.2%	415	0.0%	0.0%	8.1%	41
7	Masyn Winn	22	⚪ D	·	·	239	0.086	86.7	4.5%	0.0%	373	2.0%	0.0%	5.9%	32
8	Victor Scott II	13	⚪ D	+900	❄ COLD	255	0.067	87.7	2.6%	16.7%	406	2.0%	7.7%	7.3%	26
9	Yohel Pozo	10	⚪ D	·	🌧️ COOL	260	0.028	86.8	·	0.0%	·	0.0%	0.0%	5.9%	10

Michael McGreevy RHP

9 batters

#	Batter	Score	Tier	Odds	Form	Rank	ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg.	EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg.	Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg.	HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg.	HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg.	Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor.	14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form.	Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number.	BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1	Jake Bauers	60	🔵 C+	+600	·	46	0.250	92.4	11.1%	28.6%	402	12.9%	10.0%	17.6%	29
2	Christian Yelich	60	🔵 C+	+950	🌤️ WARM	49	0.194	88.6	9.6%	25.0%	402	10.5%	66.7%	22.7%	21
3	Jackson Chourio	51	🟠 C	+850	·	70	0.152	92.4	14.0%	5.3%	400	5.0%	14.3%	8.1%	37
4	Garrett Mitchell	46	⚪ D	+850	🌤️ WARM	93	0.120	92.2	11.7%	20.0%	413	3.1%	9.1%	9.7%	18
5	William Contreras	45	⚪ D	+1000	🌤️ WARM	109	0.142	90.5	8.7%	22.2%	406	8.5%	8.3%	9.7%	41
6	Brice Turang	44	⚪ D	+900	❄ COLD	114	0.194	91.3	9.4%	29.6%	400	10.2%	7.7%	14.1%	30
7	Sal Frelick	25	⚪ D	·	🌧️ COOL	224	0.089	85.3	5.5%	10.0%	402	4.4%	0.0%	7.5%	39
8	Luis Rengifo	24	⚪ D	·	🌧️ COOL	230	0.060	87.7	7.6%	0.0%	·	0.0%	0.0%	6.2%	29
9	David Hamilton	16	⚪ D	·	❄ COLD	251	0.057	85.0	4.7%	0.0%	·	0.0%	0.0%	6.2%	21