⚾ TheHomeRuns.org 2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 5 Dillon Dingler 5 HRs · 6 JJ Bleday 4 HRs · 7 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 8 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 9 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 10 James Wood 4 HRs · 11 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 12 Ketel Marte 4 HRs 1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 5 Dillon Dingler 5 HRs · 6 JJ Bleday 4 HRs · 7 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 8 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 9 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 10 James Wood 4 HRs · 11 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 12 Ketel Marte 4 HRs
STL
@ 6:40p
MIA
loanDepot Park · 18 ranked batters
Park Factor
0.94×
Weather Mod
+0.0%
neutral
Combined
0.943
Wind
0 mph
dome
Max Meyer
Max Meyer RHP
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Jordan Walker Jordan Walker 80 🟢 A · 🌧️ COOL 10 0.341 95.8 24.4% 40.0% 413 25.0% 16.7% 33.2% 34
2 Alec Burleson Alec Burleson 53 🟠 C · · 46 0.171 92.8 12.1% 13.6% 431 15.8% 18.2% 10.0% 41
3 Ivan Herrera Ivan Herrera 37 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 101 0.120 90.0 5.9% 22.2% 401 7.7% 14.3% 9.6% 35
4 JJ Wetherholt JJ Wetherholt 34 ⚪ D · · 111 0.131 89.8 7.7% 16.7% 396 0.0% 0.0% 10.1% 0
5 Masyn Winn Masyn Winn 34 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 112 0.111 87.4 2.9% 11.1% · 5.6% 10.0% 7.4% 24
6 Nolan Gorman Nolan Gorman 33 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 118 0.134 87.0 6.3% 17.6% 431 11.8% 10.0% 8.3% 25
7 Pedro Pagés Pedro Pagés 26 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 140 0.119 88.2 4.2% 11.1% 418 25.0% 0.0% 7.4% 21
8 Nathan Church Nathan Church 25 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 143 0.084 84.4 8.0% 16.7% 378 0.0% 0.0% 9.9% 16
9 Victor Scott II Victor Scott II 10 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 170 0.019 87.1 0.0% 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 7.2% 20
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Owen Caissie Owen Caissie 62 🔵 C+ · 🌤️ WARM 35 0.180 92.8 22.2% 18.2% 387 0.0% 0.0% 10.8% 17
2 Otto Lopez Otto Lopez 60 🔵 C+ · 🌤️ WARM 38 0.212 93.0 13.2% 15.8% 385 10.0% 8.3% 12.7% 40
3 Connor Norby Connor Norby 51 🟠 C · 🌤️ WARM 54 0.164 87.4 10.5% 11.1% 376 10.0% 16.7% 12.6% 29
4 Liam Hicks Liam Hicks 44 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 70 0.224 88.8 6.1% 26.7% 367 22.2% 9.1% 15.0% 40
5 Xavier Edwards Xavier Edwards 35 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 109 0.133 89.8 3.4% 6.2% 377 0.0% 0.0% 6.7% 40
6 Agustín Ramírez Agustín Ramírez 33 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 115 0.117 88.5 6.1% 9.1% 418 0.0% 0.0% 7.1% 39
7 Heriberto Hernández 19 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 154 0.039 90.4 6.1% 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 6.3% 20
8 Javier Sanoja Javier Sanoja 16 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 160 0.060 89.4 2.8% 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 6.5% 26
9 Jakob Marsee Jakob Marsee 15 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 165 0.059 88.3 2.0% 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 5.7% 40
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